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  • #19,821
  • Apr 30, 2026 2:54am Apr 30, 2026 2:54am
Month end today. 1690 seems not holding bull so will see if we can stay below 1710
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,822
  • Edited 4:04am Apr 30, 2026 3:38am | Edited 4:04am
Quoting johncen
Month end today. 1690 seems not holding bull so will see if we can stay below 1710
1710 1711 touched

Downtrend seems to be broken by UJ intervention warnings! Everytime when we are above 160 we have to be careful.

i stay sideline now
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,823
  • Apr 30, 2026 7:23am Apr 30, 2026 7:23am
Quoting johncen
{quote} 1710 1711 touched Downtrend seems to be broken by UJ intervention warnings! Everytime when we are above 160 we have to be careful. i stay sideline now
Not good day for trading. Hit my stop and did only a small profit all week instead going down after German GDP and now intervention threats, eu might turn tide. Staying out and will reacces.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,824
  • Apr 30, 2026 7:47am Apr 30, 2026 7:47am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: d1.jpg Size: 40 KB

1.1680 (H1)

  1. Intraday support
  2. Keeps shorts under pressure
  3. Enables growth

Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,825
  • Edited 8:25am Apr 30, 2026 8:03am | Edited 8:25am
Quoting josip
dxy 98.28 critical support If FOMC sends the dollar below 98.28, that entire "Bulls Run" becomes a false breakout (Fakeout). At that moment, it is necessary to immediately re-evaluate the bearish scenario on EURUSD. {image}
UPDATE

BOS Down on DXY: By closing below the previous low on the H1 timeframe, the dollar has changed the market character to bearish.
Liquidity: The market swept all liquidity below 98.28. If the DXY does not quickly return above this red line, the buying sentiment on the dollar is dead for a long time.
The Safety Net: The price at 97.870 stalled almost exactly at the green dynamic support. This is a zone where, after that brutal flush below 98.282, the remaining buyers are trying to find at least some temporary footing.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dxy.jpg Size: 33 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,826
  • Apr 30, 2026 10:57am Apr 30, 2026 10:57am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Not good day for trading. Hit my stop and did only a small profit all week instead going down after German GDP and now intervention threats, eu might turn tide. Staying out and will reacces.
yea if it turns then maybe 1.1920 will get hit.
let see if month end can closed below 1743
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,827
  • Apr 30, 2026 8:40pm Apr 30, 2026 8:40pm
EUR/USD is trading above 1.1700 after regaining some bullish momentum on the lower timeframes however, it remains in a consolidation phase below 1.1755.

Support is located at the 1.1655 low and 1.1682, the latter of which is keeping the upward momentum intact. If a breakout occurs, I expect 1.1782 and 1.1800 to be tested. Conversely, if the pair gains bearish momentum below 1.1682, the bias will shift back toward yesterday’s low.


Daily volatility (range) 48 pips



Have a great day!

1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-05-01_06-15-15.png Size: 47 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,828
  • Apr 30, 2026 9:16pm Apr 30, 2026 9:16pm
1.1720–1.1725

  1. Short-term support
  2. Holds momentum
  3. If it holds → continuation up

BUT the real decisive level is: 1.1680 That is:

  1. Origin low
  2. Break point of the impulse
  3. Invalidation of the long scenario

Losing 1.1680

  1. End of the bullish structure
  2. Likely a deeper retrace

Resistance: 1.1735 – 1.1750

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: graf.jpg Size: 42 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,829
  • Edited 9:37pm Apr 30, 2026 9:21pm | Edited 9:37pm
Quoting josip
{quote} UPDATE BOS Down on DXY: By closing below the previous low on the H1 timeframe, the dollar has changed the market character to bearish. Liquidity: The market swept all liquidity below 98.28. If the DXY does not quickly return above this red line, the buying sentiment on the dollar is dead for a long time. The Safety Net: The price at 97.870 stalled almost exactly at the green dynamic support. This is a zone where, after that brutal flush below 98.282, the remaining buyers are trying to find at least some temporary footing. {image}
update
DXY – current levels (H1)
Resistance: 98.28
Resistance: 98.55 – 98.70
Support: 97.84 – 97.90
Support: 97.60 (lower target)

Bullish (Strong USD)

  1. We must get back above 98.28 BOS DOWN
  2. Ideally a close + holding above it

98.28 97.84 = intraday range / consolidation zone

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dxy2.jpg Size: 33 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,830
  • Apr 30, 2026 10:12pm Apr 30, 2026 10:12pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: h1 1.jpg Size: 56 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,831
  • Apr 30, 2026 10:38pm Apr 30, 2026 10:38pm
We will see what the price does at the upper white line, if the price even gets there...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dxy2.jpg Size: 37 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,832
  • May 1, 2026 4:44am May 1, 2026 4:44am
EURUSD – Current Situation

  1. Resistance: 1.1750-60
  2. Resistance: 1.1780 (H4 LH)
  3. Support: 1.1720
  4. Support: 1.1680 (Main)

Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,833
  • May 1, 2026 7:11am May 1, 2026 7:11am
bull in control today 1720 and now 1743 turns into support
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,834
  • May 1, 2026 7:41am May 1, 2026 7:41am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
EUR/USD is trading above 1.1700 after regaining some bullish momentum on the lower timeframes however, it remains in a consolidation phase below 1.1755. Support is located at the 1.1655 low and 1.1682, the latter of which is keeping the upward momentum intact. If a breakout occurs, I expect 1.1782 and 1.1800 to be tested. Conversely, if the pair gains bearish momentum below 1.1682, the bias will shift back toward yesterday’s low. Daily volatility (range) 48 pips Have a great day! 1H {image}
Well done bulls! 1.1800 might not visited today as traders have to rethink for the weekend but now the tide has turned to bullish so expect choppy price action untill the end of the session.

1.1755 previous resistance now support is for me the line that protects bulls to stay strong.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,835
  • May 1, 2026 11:38pm May 1, 2026 11:38pm
EUR/USD traded higher at the end of the week, reaching 1.1785 from an earlier low of 1.1655. However, it failed to close above the 1.1755 structural resistance level, resulting in a no demand bar on the weekly chart. The pair is currently consolidating with a neutral to bearish bias below 1.1849 on higher timeframes and on smaller timeframes, the bias remains bearish below 1.1791 and the 1.1800 psychological level.

Following next week's open, I expect the 1.1700-1.1682 zone to hold the downside. From there, the pair may attempt another leg up toward 1.1785/90 and 1.1800, potentially reaching 1.1849 if momentum strengthens. Conversely, if 1.1682 breaks, an increase in bearish positions could test the 1.1655 low, with a risk of extension toward 1.1640/33 and the 1.1600 round number.


Weekly volatility (range) 113 pips

Significant news - US Factory Orders, US Trade Balance, US JOLTS Job Openings, US Initial Jobless Claims, US Nonfarm Payrolls & US Unemployment Rate.



Have a great weekend!

4H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-05-02_08-44-32.png Size: 48 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,836
  • May 3, 2026 8:34pm May 3, 2026 8:34pm
EUR/USD is trading above 1.1700 following a gap up at the open, which was halted by resistance at 1.1747. Since then, the pair has entered a period of consolidation.

At this stage, it remains unclear whether the upward momentum will persist toward the next resistance level at 1.1785. However, if the 1.1700/10 support zone holds, a continuation higher seems likely once trading volume returns. Conversely, if this support breaks, sellers will likely target the 1.1682 level and the 1.1655/43 area.


Daily volatility (range) 52 pips

Significant news - US Factory Orders



Have a great week!

1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-05-04_06-12-02.png Size: 46 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,837
  • May 3, 2026 10:05pm May 3, 2026 10:05pm
We are between 1720 and 1743. Not sure where next
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,838
  • May 3, 2026 11:15pm May 3, 2026 11:15pm
Quoting johncen
We are between 1720 and 1743. Not sure where next
All majors still in hold position buddy, no trades to take atm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 6 KB
chaos is just unknown order
  • #19,839
  • May 4, 2026 12:21am May 4, 2026 12:21am
H4
Resistance: 1.1750 (internal CHOCH)
Main Resistance: 1.1780
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_20260504_091902_TradingView.jpg Size: 26 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,840
  • Edited 12:58am May 4, 2026 12:29am | Edited 12:58am
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} All majors still in hold position buddy, no trades to take atm {image}
yea i dont see any confirmation at this stage
my daily and my hourly charts are not sync
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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