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  • #19,761
  • Apr 20, 2026 3:26am Apr 20, 2026 3:26am
Quoting johncen
{quote} i expect a move to 1667 1650 levels but let see
Bears showed but it might take time until moving. I'm in with small risk. Not for far away from 1.1700+/- also.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,762
  • Apr 20, 2026 5:22am Apr 20, 2026 5:22am
its moving slower than I thought…
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,763
  • Edited 8:21am Apr 20, 2026 8:07am | Edited 8:21am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: flip.jpg Size: 33 KB


CHOCH: 1.1774
BOS: 1.1766

  1. Below both levels
  2. Short bias

As long as we don't get back above 1.1774:
Buyers have no control

Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,764
  • Edited 10:24pm Apr 20, 2026 10:07am | Edited 10:24pm
Quoting johncen
its moving slower than I thought…
Big money should wait higher at 1.1800. A recovery seems underway but without a strong hand from the sellers and with a steady recovery from 1.1728. I'll stay aside and wait for what Tuesday brings!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,765
  • Apr 20, 2026 10:26pm Apr 20, 2026 10:26pm
EUR/USD is trading with a neutral to bullish bias above the 1.1758/67 zone, likely continuing its consolidation ahead of news regarding a potential ceasefire extension or a US-Iran deal by tomorrow. The 1.1728 and 1.1700 levels should support any dips below the primary zone, while 1.1800 and 1.1835/49 are the next upside targets for buyers if sentiment remains positive


Daily volatility (range) 49 pips

Significant news - US Retail Sales & GER ZEW Sentiment.


Have a great day!

4H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-04-21_06-18-12.png Size: 58 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,766
  • Apr 21, 2026 2:35am Apr 21, 2026 2:35am
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} there s a liquidity pool @98,25
Actually DX is holding @POC (price of control) and the nearest liquidity polls are located @98,40 and 97,40. Impossible to forecast where we ll'go first. Got to go in wait and see mode, otherwise is just a gamble.
chaos is just unknown order
  • #19,767
  • Apr 21, 2026 3:13am Apr 21, 2026 3:13am
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} Actually DX is holding @POC (price of control) and the nearest liquidity polls are located @98,40 and 97,40. Impossible to forecast where we ll'go first. Got to go in wait and see mode, otherwise is just a gamble.
yea agreed, lets wait for confirmation before shorting!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,768
  • Apr 21, 2026 10:16am Apr 21, 2026 10:16am
Support is now broken, eu has turned neutral to bearish so next downside level/s should get a visit.

Attention is at Iran-US ceasefire talks and any negotiations news should help the pair find its feet again. So keeping that in mind!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,769
  • Edited 12:45pm Apr 21, 2026 12:09pm | Edited 12:45pm
Quoting josip
{image} CHOCH: 1.1774 BOS: 1.1766 Below both levels Short bias As long as we don't get back above 1.1774: Buyers have no control
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dxy.jpg Size: 30 KB


Current Structure (H1): Now we already have:

  1. Lower high
  2. Lower low

Therefore H1 = bearish market structure
BOS (Break of Structure) The last clear BOS DOWN is: CHOCH / BOS DOWN: 1.1765 – 1.1770

This is the moment when:

  1. Price broke the previous higher low
  2. Broke the bullish structure

CHOCH (Change of Character) The same spot also functions as: CHOCH: 1.1765 – 1.1770 Why:

  1. Before, it WAS an uptrend
  2. It broke here → the first signal of weakness

Critical Point: H4 decides here:
1.1720 – 1.1730= H4 demand / BOS zone

Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,770
  • Edited 12:43pm Apr 21, 2026 12:25pm | Edited 12:43pm
dxy h1
Key level: R: 98.25
Conclusion: Watch 1 thing: Behavior of DXY at 98.25

  1. Reject → EURUSD up (from 1.1720)
  2. Break + retest → EURUSD down

Connection in practice: If DXY:

  1. Breaks 98.25
  2. Holds above it

EURUSD:

  1. Will very likely break 1.1720

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dxy2.jpg Size: 27 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,771
  • Apr 21, 2026 12:31pm Apr 21, 2026 12:31pm
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} Actually DX is holding @POC (price of control) and the nearest liquidity polls are located @98,40 and 97,40. Impossible to forecast where we ll'go first. Got to go in wait and see mode, otherwise is just a gamble.
Taken!
chaos is just unknown order
  • #19,772
  • Apr 21, 2026 12:32pm Apr 21, 2026 12:32pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea agreed, lets wait for confirmation before shorting!
have u enjoyed the fall mate?
chaos is just unknown order
  • #19,773
  • Apr 21, 2026 4:01pm Apr 21, 2026 4:01pm
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} have u enjoyed the fall mate?
now i need 1743 to cap any upmove!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,774
  • Apr 21, 2026 10:24pm Apr 21, 2026 10:24pm
EUR/USD dropped to 1.1719 after breaking support yesterday. The pair is currently trading below that level (1.1758) and the 1.1791 resistance with a neutral to bearish bias, targeting the 1.1700 psychological level and 1.1668 support. Should the pair regain its bullish momentum, the 1.1800 and 1.1835/49 levels will become the primary targets for buyers.


Daily volatility (range) 51 pips


Have a great day!

4H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-04-22_06-14-19.png Size: 59 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,775
  • Apr 22, 2026 10:10am Apr 22, 2026 10:10am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
EUR/USD dropped to 1.1719 after breaking support yesterday. The pair is currently trading below that level (1.1758) and the 1.1791 resistance with a neutral to bearish bias, targeting the 1.1700 psychological level and 1.1668 support. Should the pair regain its bullish momentum, the 1.1800 and 1.1835/49 levels will become the primary targets for buyers. Daily volatility (range) 51 pips Have a great day! 4H {image}
As the pair is moving closer to 1.1700 I have protected my short.

Sellers are now targeting the psychological 1.1700 handle. If this fails to hold overnight, we enter a correction acceleration phase towards 1.1668.

1.1762 now caps!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,776
  • Apr 22, 2026 11:09am Apr 22, 2026 11:09am
EURUSD H1 – current state:
Price is below the 1.1720 / 1.1730 zone
This means: CHOCH DOWN confirmed

What we just got:
Break of structure
Loss of H1 support
Movement below the channel
This is NO LONGER just a retrace
This is a reversal of the short-term trend

What to watch now: 1. RETEST
If the price returns upward:

  1. 1.1720 – 1.1730
  2. Or the trendline (from below)

This is: Short opportunity

The most important thing now:
Watch: The reaction at 1.1720 – 1.1730

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: flip.jpg Size: 30 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,777
  • Apr 22, 2026 11:43am Apr 22, 2026 11:43am
Quoting josip
dxy h1 Key level: R: 98.25 Conclusion: Watch 1 thing: Behavior of DXY at 98.25 Reject → EURUSD up (from 1.1720) Break + retest → EURUSD down Connection in practice: If DXY: Breaks 98.25 Holds above it EURUSD: Will very likely break 1.1720 {image}
update
DXY H1
still below R
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dxy.jpg Size: 28 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,778
  • Apr 22, 2026 12:41pm Apr 22, 2026 12:41pm
Entered long term EUR/USD short at 1.17126 at 50:1 leverage to hold for the next few months. SL 1.18297 (-50.21% ROI), TP = 1.12000 (+219.78% ROI).
You cannot fail if you never give up.
  • #19,779
  • Apr 22, 2026 12:58pm Apr 22, 2026 12:58pm
Quoting 7154Superman
Entered long term EUR/USD short at 1.17126 at 50:1 leverage to hold for the next few months. SL 1.18297 (-50.21% ROI), TP = 1.12000 (+219.78% ROI).
whats up bro long time dont see
  • #19,780
  • Apr 22, 2026 8:35pm Apr 22, 2026 8:35pm
Quoting Godspromise
{quote} whats up bro long time dont see
Yeah, not trading full time, and sometimes when I do trade, I'd rather not talk. I read a lot here without talking.
You cannot fail if you never give up.
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