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Bitcoin trading calls

  • #161
  • Edited 4:59am Apr 21, 2026 4:33am | Edited 4:59am
Quoting Zappa
Went long. Tight stop at 75500. Feel like a big move is about to happen one direction or the other. Should've gone down by now, but its still running higher. So im giving a long another shot
My stop was reached overnight.
Technically price spiked above yesterday's high (lower TF chart attached) but has not settled above that level.
Yesterday's high and lows are the big box you see on the chart.
I cant go long. For me right now it is either short or wait till my short price invalidation.
If I find another shelf of support like I posted I could go long.
One thing though, if the stock market, in my opinion (for me the sp500) is going up it is futile to sell bitcoin.
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #162
  • Apr 21, 2026 5:20am Apr 21, 2026 5:20am
I have added the small TF charts for the bitcoin and sp500 and the boxes for yesterdays price action.
The sp500 (all the common US indices) is definitely on the way up and can act as a pull for bitcoin (i.e. risk on mode)
There is a support area (76.2k) shown on the bitcoin chart - not as pronounced as the one I drew yesterday though.
Real true support is the 75.5k area. We are in the UK session (my local) and the real fireworks might be waiting for the NY session
Will keep you posted
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #163
  • Apr 21, 2026 7:27am Apr 21, 2026 7:27am
major pullback here if bellow 76,400.. short scalp here if bears hold it <76,4
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  • #164
  • Apr 21, 2026 7:28am Apr 21, 2026 7:28am
Quick update:
Market is not impulsive to the upside anymore.
I might still get my short.
A break of that line will get me short.
Looking for a break of the 75.5k low.
RSI is supportive.
One thing to know though. Trump is speaking today and retail sales coming out as well
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #165
  • Apr 21, 2026 7:31am Apr 21, 2026 7:31am
here now DA PULLBACK SOON !! if bellow SHORT IT if bellow !
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  • #166
  • Apr 21, 2026 7:31am Apr 21, 2026 7:31am
easy money shorting this bellow the red dashed line here
  • #167
  • Apr 21, 2026 7:36am Apr 21, 2026 7:36am
I'm still long and pretty confident in it. Sellers seem out of ammunition. Buyers still here. I think a true breakout to upside is very close.
  • #168
  • Apr 21, 2026 7:43am Apr 21, 2026 7:43am
And right on cue we see a $500 selloff as soon as I posted that.

Tricky situation here. Hanging by a thread in either direction
  • #169
  • Apr 21, 2026 7:44am Apr 21, 2026 7:44am
Downmove - courtesy of you know who. Short in play. Stops at BE
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #170
  • Apr 21, 2026 7:47am Apr 21, 2026 7:47am
You know who has rattled the stockmarket
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #171
  • Apr 21, 2026 7:47am Apr 21, 2026 7:47am
out here after a shot scalp
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  • #172
  • Apr 21, 2026 7:49am Apr 21, 2026 7:49am
Quoting Zappa
And right on cue we see a $500 selloff as soon as I posted that. Tricky situation here. Hanging by a thread in either direction
Blame it on the man Zappa.
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #173
  • Apr 21, 2026 7:54am Apr 21, 2026 7:54am
Quoting ngonlip
out here after a shot scalp {image}
Well done on that scalp. In these markets a win is a win.
I am looking forward to my usual longer term trades but these 1000point swings are doing my head in
If price can get back to the breakdown line again I will short again
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #174
  • Apr 21, 2026 8:59am Apr 21, 2026 8:59am
Price is heading down nicely.
New local short term support area shown on the chart tested 3x.
If it blows then the 75.5k low is just around the corner
Stock market is going recovering though. And this instrument is correlated with the stock market.
As the song goes - will it stay or will it go.
My vote is stay for now and then go later
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #175
  • Apr 21, 2026 9:38am Apr 21, 2026 9:38am
Probably jinxing myself by posting this, but my gut is telling my BTC about to explode
  • #176
  • Apr 21, 2026 10:02am Apr 21, 2026 10:02am
Another day like yesterday. Simple support held and price took off.
Price blew past the previous support and again on the way down.
Taken out the bottom support line too. Can we get to 75.5k support?
Stock market has taken a big dump as well
NB: Bottom support touched now. I am flat now.
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #177
  • Apr 21, 2026 10:10am Apr 21, 2026 10:10am
Quoting Zappa
Probably jinxing myself by posting this, but my gut is telling my BTC about to explode
It has exploded down. 75.5k line might hold. I am thinking about a buy off the 75750 area. Price put in a long legged doji off the 75.5k level
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If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #178
  • Apr 21, 2026 11:13am Apr 21, 2026 11:13am
Man I hate trades like this. Tools telling me one thing, but gut saying the opposite. If there wasn't so much potential for a big move I'd just stay out altogether.

I am still long. I did move the stop a little further away. The stop now is where this TL is. That is the key for me where I don't want to risk anymore.

Fucking bears coming out of woods to ruin the party every fucking time. So annoying
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  • #179
  • Apr 21, 2026 11:25am Apr 21, 2026 11:25am
Quoting Olu
{quote} It has exploded down. 75.5k line might hold. I am thinking about a buy off the 75750 area. Price put in a long legged doji off the 75.5k level {image}

I'm talking about an explosion up to 84k. A REAL explosion
  • #180
  • Apr 21, 2026 11:30am Apr 21, 2026 11:30am
Its just hard to bet against this right now. I think the weekly TL will hold. Really, how much bitcoin IS there to sell?? Almost 75% of all coins in circulation are basically locked away. Saylor buying millions every week.
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