The Swamp | Page 6372 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #127,421
  • Apr 15, 2026 10:04pm Apr 15, 2026 10:04pm
if oil was a currency, I would have it in a downtrend the last 2 weeks.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 50 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,422
  • Apr 16, 2026 3:45am Apr 16, 2026 3:45am
Quoting gatorinla
if oil was a currency, I would have it in a downtrend the last 2 weeks. {image}
oil has a heartbeat. Slight, but it likely the driver of the weak usd. If the usd crosses those lines if may be strengthening.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 55 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,423
  • Apr 16, 2026 3:48am Apr 16, 2026 3:48am
Quoting gatorinla
All prices on whatever vehicle you are trading could be a resistance or a support in the future. On most or all usd crosses in forex, oil gold, silver or whatever. Monitor last hours close. I'm not saying its rigid yet. But it may be when a direction is chosen. The USD at face value is weak. Monitor at this point (last hour) if the weakness continues or turns around to strength. Every vehicle has its own timing to change or continue. It may not all happen in the same moment. Minutes, days, weeks maybe a week can be the timing. The market can stall...
these lines on anything touching the usd
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,424
  • Apr 16, 2026 4:14am Apr 16, 2026 4:14am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} oil has a heartbeat. Slight, but it likely the driver of the weak usd. If the usd crosses those lines if may be strengthening. {image}
I haven't checked all pairs. The chf eu gbp and nzd gave the usd a heartbeat. The aud didn't, the yen barley missed. The usd has a little life showing. Oil may be why.
All the usa equities are still on the bull side, so is Bitcoin.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,425
  • Edited 4:54am Apr 16, 2026 4:17am | Edited 4:54am
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} This is eurusd. Because of change of character trend is down. 1825 could be swept, i don't know. {image}
Just woke up. i put my entry a pip below but didn't get filled.
I think it may not be over though.
edit: if we close below 1772 we still may get 1811. If not 1825+.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 39 KB
  • #127,426
  • Apr 16, 2026 4:27am Apr 16, 2026 4:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I haven't checked all pairs. The chf eu gbp and nzd gave the usd a heartbeat. The aud didn't, the yen barley missed. The usd has a little life showing. Oil may be why. All the usa equities are still on the bull side, so is Bitcoin.
the cad and the aud. both earth commodity currencies are still on the usd bear side.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 83 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,427
  • Apr 16, 2026 4:52am Apr 16, 2026 4:52am
https://www.reuters.com/business/ene...ay-2026-04-15/
This may hurt Australia. When added with they import 80% of their fuel.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,428
  • Apr 16, 2026 5:22am Apr 16, 2026 5:22am
oil bulls recovered some here on wti spot.
Its a 12h.. I dont know if it can crack 100.73+.. The last s was 93.14. possible r there to start.
The usd may benefit because of oil
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 24 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,429
  • Apr 16, 2026 8:48am Apr 16, 2026 8:48am
Quoting gatorinla
I don't see this in u.s. news. Did China take over the Scarborough Shoals with a blockade?
Anyone out there have any confirmation? It could be bullshit.. Its starting to get active on social
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,430
  • Apr 16, 2026 8:56am Apr 16, 2026 8:56am
oil rising.. usd may gain if oil bottomed
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 55 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,431
  • Apr 16, 2026 12:41pm Apr 16, 2026 12:41pm
Quoting gatorinla
All prices on whatever vehicle you are trading could be a resistance or a support in the future. On most or all usd crosses in forex, oil gold, silver or whatever. Monitor last hours close. I'm not saying its rigid yet. But it may be when a direction is chosen. The USD at face value is weak. Monitor at this point (last hour) if the weakness continues or turns around to strength. Every vehicle has its own timing to change or continue. It may not all happen in the same moment. Minutes, days, weeks maybe a week can be the timing. The market can stall...
For the past few weeks there was an anomaly in the price of oil. Brent is rarely cheaper than wti. It is now back to more normal. In that abnormal time I couldn't figure out why the usd was flat, and weak. They crossed back about 102$ 3 days ago. Now the spread is about 3.50$.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 37 KB

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 30 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 49 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,432
  • Apr 16, 2026 1:08pm Apr 16, 2026 1:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if above the purple and below the blue and yellow its chop to me. {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 21 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,433
  • Apr 16, 2026 1:13pm Apr 16, 2026 1:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
All prices on whatever vehicle you are trading could be a resistance or a support in the future. On most or all usd crosses in forex, oil gold, silver or whatever. Monitor last hours close. I'm not saying its rigid yet. But it may be when a direction is chosen. The USD at face value is weak. Monitor at this point (last hour) if the weakness continues or turns around to strength. Every vehicle has its own timing to change or continue. It may not all happen in the same moment. Minutes, days, weeks maybe a week can be the timing. The market can stall...
The aud has been bullish verses the usd. Its at support as described above. But that changes below that magenta line. The cad still looks strong verses the usd. Its likely the strongest major because oil is rising.
1.3746 u-cad may have some resistance. these 2 are fighting for big doq if the aud losses its footing.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 27 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 21 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,434
  • Apr 16, 2026 3:53pm Apr 16, 2026 3:53pm
AUD at resistance w1, could see a correction soon maybe a full risk off drive, there is a weak D1 pin forming now in AUD and Double top but the DT is blown out somewhat on 4h so not so convincing and it actually looks like it may close bullish - more important for me is the USD may turn on this support, everytime its been around here, there has been big war talk, maybe itll be big peace talk this time, its also sitting around a TL thats been supportive since the time around the arab spring - im debating whats actually being defended in the USD, Trump is advocating peace and it looks" to be going well - if peace is going to drive USD down then whos been supporting USD dominance, it looks to be at a high pressure point, maybe im viewing this at the wrong angle - either way its at a strong volatility zone weekly tf
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDWeekly.png Size: 88 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDWeekly.png Size: 102 KB
  • #127,435
  • Edited 5:18pm Apr 16, 2026 5:01pm | Edited 5:18pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if above the purple and below the blue and yellow its chop to me. {image}
this is 4h chart.
According to SMC, bears are in control until price closes above the top of the range.
If it closes above i think maybe 8755. its not where we are now.
i like it its simple.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 47 KB
  • #127,436
  • Apr 16, 2026 5:14pm Apr 16, 2026 5:14pm
Is anyone hearing anything about DT talking to Ford and GM about building war equipment?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,437
  • Apr 16, 2026 5:18pm Apr 16, 2026 5:18pm
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} this is 4h chart. According to SMC, bears are in control until price closes above the top of the range. i like it its simple. {image}
I got that upper level on the chart provided as a b/o R. but it don't need to get there if bearish. .6712 is a lighter R than .873x. above 873xx can be a breakout. There should be some volume there, break out or rejection. see level on the chart. .8693 is a likely support bears need to break, and hold below to drop. Between them is maybe a range and chop. .8693/873x. The blue line and yellow is larger than the magenta line. But it may be a sweep below them. At face value pa should drop below the blue. Because its large. But there is often sweeps opposite.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,438
  • Apr 16, 2026 5:26pm Apr 16, 2026 5:26pm
Quoting gatorinla
Is anyone hearing anything about DT talking to Ford and GM about building war equipment?
Yes....
https://www.newsweek.com/ford-gm-cou...e-ww2-11836674

and fox for waht its worth....

https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics...wii-style-push


https://nypost.com/2026/04/16/busine...s-push-report/
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #127,439
  • Apr 16, 2026 5:31pm Apr 16, 2026 5:31pm
I was supposed to take a AJ long at the magenta line.
The audusd is the second ranking. its testing it magenta support also.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 15 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 53 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,440
  • Apr 16, 2026 5:37pm Apr 16, 2026 5:37pm
Quoting axecap
{quote} Yes.... https://www.newsweek.com/ford-gm-cou...e-ww2-11836674 and fox for waht its worth.... https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics...wii-style-push https://nypost.com/2026/04/16/busine...s-push-report/
I'm sure some here wanted the orange stain. Before it was lowered. We used to draft 45 year old's. The last time Ford and GM built war equipment. Old men send young men to die.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
180 traders viewing now