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  • #19,701
  • Apr 14, 2026 4:53am Apr 14, 2026 4:53am
Quoting Mr.rama
{quote} WHAT MOVE?
I see a possible move down again. For now banks seems to target stop orders higher to fill their orders.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,702
  • Apr 14, 2026 4:57am Apr 14, 2026 4:57am
Quoting johncen
{quote} As 1743 didnt react much i guess 1835 will be taken at some point. But bear will be waiting there! Let see entire drop in March is now wiped, will be interesting to see where we close the month at
We are still in the half plenty of time until then! I don't see the reason to chase a long without a deal yet. So a dip down probably.
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  • #19,703
  • Apr 14, 2026 8:48am Apr 14, 2026 8:48am
All I see coming up on noon EST is boatload of trapped longs with a long way to fall.
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  • #19,704
  • Apr 14, 2026 8:59am Apr 14, 2026 8:59am
1.1800 – 1.1805 = SHORT TERM R

  1. We are exactly at the psychological 1.1800+
  2. First strong reject (you see slowing down + wicks)
  3. Expansion → exhaustion (parabolic move up)

This is a typical spot where:

  1. Smart money takes profits

Reject: Holding below 1.1805
Pullback:

  1. 1.1755
  2. 1.1725

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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,705
  • Apr 14, 2026 12:22pm Apr 14, 2026 12:22pm
evening update
trendline, pattern

The steeper the rise (rising wedge),
The higher the chance of a pullback before further growth
The structure is still UP

1.1755 = technical support

Real BOS in this area:

  1. 1.1685 – main BOS
  2. 1.1725 – next BOS (strong) must hold for the bullish trend

These levels changed the structure.

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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,706
  • Apr 14, 2026 12:41pm Apr 14, 2026 12:41pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} We are still in the half plenty of time until then! I don't see the reason to chase a long without a deal yet. So a dip down probably.
yea purely speculation trade based on talks/tweets. Technical wise we are at resistance area so pull back is likely
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,707
  • Apr 14, 2026 1:13pm Apr 14, 2026 1:13pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea purely speculation trade based on talks/tweets. Technical wise we are at resistance area so pull back is likely
EU had topping signature, which is triple indian on 30min - were it pushes up 3x before BOS - obviously context need to be aligned with this signature, as in confluences.

But a pull-back seems healthy, just to balance price and run some liquidity, while trapping late/top buyers.
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #19,708
  • Apr 14, 2026 7:35pm Apr 14, 2026 7:35pm
I hope the Bulls remember all those traps a few weeks ago and there STILL
  • #19,709
  • Apr 14, 2026 8:34pm Apr 14, 2026 8:34pm
EUR/USD is trading below the 1.1800/11 high established after breaking the 1.1739/47 zone, which keeps the four-hour uptrend intact. While the target remains higher at 1.1835, we may see a deeper retracement before the pair bounces back. Conversely, a break below the support zone would open the path toward the 1.1722/00 psychological level.

Daily volatility (range) 50 pips


Have a great day!
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,710
  • Apr 14, 2026 9:29pm Apr 14, 2026 9:29pm
Quoting Twocans
All I see coming up on noon EST is boatload of trapped longs with a long way to fall. {image} {image}
What is your general estimate for how far EUR/USD should fall by the end of the week? And next week?
I'm in short at 1.17925, SL at 1.18036 and TP at 1.1703. I was wondering if I might want to extend my TP farther down into the 1.16s for this week?
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You cannot fail if you never give up.
  • #19,711
  • Apr 14, 2026 9:48pm Apr 14, 2026 9:48pm
Quoting Riziq-Cap
{quote} EU had topping signature, which is triple indian on 30min - were it pushes up 3x before BOS - obviously context need to be aligned with this signature, as in confluences. But a pull-back seems healthy, just to balance price and run some liquidity, while trapping late/top buyers.
yea see how that plays out and see if we get another leg up potentially
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,712
  • Edited 11:30pm Apr 14, 2026 11:19pm | Edited 11:30pm
It looks like a topping pattern / failure to break out up. Hopefully down to 1.17 from here. I did move my SL farther away at 1.18146 in case of impulsive spikes. I need to go to bed, so I'm hoping my SL holds and I'll wake up with good profit. I'm all in 50:1 leverage.
SL -10% ROI and TP +40% ROI. 1:4 RRR.
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You cannot fail if you never give up.
  • #19,713
  • Apr 14, 2026 11:37pm Apr 14, 2026 11:37pm
by looking at TF H4 i m tempted to short for 1.1770 and 1.1745 for intraday operativity, best entry prices 1.1818<>1.1795
chaos is just unknown order
  • #19,714
  • Apr 14, 2026 11:59pm Apr 14, 2026 11:59pm
Quoting Riziq-Cap
{quote} EU had topping signature, which is triple indian on 30min - were it pushes up 3x before BOS - obviously context need to be aligned with this signature, as in confluences. But a pull-back seems healthy, just to balance price and run some liquidity, while trapping late/top buyers.
Referring to this:
- people call it many things, three-drive pattern, triple indian

Its not necessarily market top, it could be a local top - were you would get a low - lower high and lower low, before possible continuation upward.
- context is everything, confluences to justify possible top/bottom
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A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #19,715
  • Apr 15, 2026 12:20am Apr 15, 2026 12:20am
Quoting 7154Superman
It looks like a topping pattern / failure to break out up. Hopefully down to 1.17 from here. I did move my SL farther away at 1.18146 in case of impulsive spikes. I need to go to bed, so I'm hoping my SL holds and I'll wake up with good profit. I'm all in 50:1 leverage. SL -10% ROI and TP +40% ROI. 1:4 RRR. {image}
Better set a trail stop if you haven't when at 1.1739/47 this level might find strong buyers and push up above the 1.1811 high.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,716
  • Edited 1:35am Apr 15, 2026 12:29am | Edited 1:35am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea see how that plays out and see if we get another leg up potentially
Nobody get a free ride. There is no way they're going to 'help' all the bag holders in the top half of the range while 'carrying' the longs below 50% to higher profits. I don't care anything about Fibs ... I just use the tool for reference. BTW They spooked the Bull this morning before the London session and trapped more of them just hours ago. That's my crystal ball....scenario anyway. https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1KVUwK6YFG/ <<< Enjoy a good chuckle!

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  • #19,717
  • Apr 15, 2026 12:58am Apr 15, 2026 12:58am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Better set a trail stop if you haven't when at 1.1739/47 this level might find strong buyers and push up above the 1.1811 high.
I've actually never used a trailing stop successfully. How many pips should I trail in this case? In the case of 20 pips, I find it's way too easy for it to get stopped out on the way down before it gets far, only for price action to end up moving all the way to my TP area without me.
Since you're saying 1.1747 may be a strong support area, I might as well set my TP for 1.1748 and be happy with it. That's still +20% ROI, 1:2 RRR. Imagine making that much profit every trading day consistently... If it were only possible. It takes a genius, and nerves of steel.
You cannot fail if you never give up.
  • #19,718
  • Apr 15, 2026 1:38am Apr 15, 2026 1:38am
Quoting 7154Superman
{quote} I've actually never used a trailing stop successfully. How many pips should I trail in this case? In the case of 20 pips, I find it's way too easy for it to get stopped out on the way down before it gets far, only for price action to end up moving all the way to my TP area without me. Since you're saying 1.1747 may be a strong support area, I might as well set my TP for 1.1748 and be happy with it. That's still +20% ROI, 1:2 RRR. Imagine making that much profit every trading day consistently... If it were only possible. It takes a genius,...
Agree. Always get smoked out if they're close enough to do any good
  • #19,719
  • Apr 15, 2026 1:38am Apr 15, 2026 1:38am
Quoting 7154Superman
{quote} I've actually never used a trailing stop successfully. How many pips should I trail in this case? In the case of 20 pips, I find it's way too easy for it to get stopped out on the way down before it gets far, only for price action to end up moving all the way to my TP area without me. Since you're saying 1.1747 may be a strong support area, I might as well set my TP for 1.1748 and be happy with it. That's still +20% ROI, 1:2 RRR. Imagine making that much profit every trading day consistently... If it were only possible. It takes a genius,...
At least use a break even. 1:2 is a traders dream but money management can save your account. If you can't use a smaller lot and sleep well.

Just my 2 cents from things that work best for me. Good luck!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,720
  • Apr 15, 2026 1:39am Apr 15, 2026 1:39am
Quoting Luxyus
by looking at TF H4 i m tempted to short for 1.1770 and 1.1745 for intraday operativity, best entry prices 1.1818<>1.1795
in half lot
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chaos is just unknown order
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