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  • #19,681
  • Edited 1:25am Apr 13, 2026 12:58am | Edited 1:25am
Quoting josip
{quote} update 1.1665 – 1.1670 from Thursday, April 9th has been breached, and we now have support. Most important now: S: 1.1670 – 1.1685 (Main) R: 1.1725 – 1.1750 (Current ceiling) CHOCH = 1.1530 (macro trend shift) BOS = 1.1685 (trend confirmation) next BOS = 1.1725 (if broken) bullish continuation phase after BOS around R: 1.1725 weakening momentum multiple rejections (wicks)...
update

H1

  1. Breakdown from the trendline
  2. Return back into the zone
  3. Test of 1.1685 from above

Retest of the BOS level 1.1685

Structure now:

  1. CHOCH: 1.1530
  2. BOS: 1.1685
  3. R: 1.1725

That red trendline:

  1. Has already been broken to the downside
  2. Currently acting more as a dynamic R


Now it is simple:

  1. Holds → long bias
  2. Falls → short pullback

This is exactly the moment where the next move is decided

SUMMARY:
Price ~ 1.1690 And we have confluence R there:

  1. Dynamic R (trendline from the channel)
  2. Retest BOS 1.1685 (might fail from the other side)

BOS carries more weight than a trendline.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: H1.jpg Size: 40 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,682
  • Edited 4:25am Apr 13, 2026 4:15am | Edited 4:25am
update2
Eurusd h1
trendlines, pattern
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: d1.jpg Size: 28 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,683
  • Apr 13, 2026 4:30am Apr 13, 2026 4:30am
pa kinda in the range that I would probably just wait and see. We didnt get to 1743 last week so it can still go up again to take it out even 1820ish area if bull momemtum is strong.

however with what US is planning to later today, i won’t be surprise if we head down to 1630ish level first.

I would prefer to wait
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,684
  • Apr 13, 2026 8:13am Apr 13, 2026 8:13am
Third time at the HOD
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: PIC ONE.png Size: 55 KB
  • #19,685
  • Apr 13, 2026 9:32am Apr 13, 2026 9:32am
technicals are indicating but there's an old trendline temporarily holding the
It is what it is
  • #19,686
  • Apr 13, 2026 1:47pm Apr 13, 2026 1:47pm
Quoting josip
update2 Eurusd h1 trendlines, pattern {image}
update
Blue pattern (short scenario)

  1. Failed
  2. Did not hold the lower high
  3. Did not give continuation down

Bearish scenario is currently invalidated
Price: Breaking through 1.1725 That is:

  1. BOS UP (H1)

Break above the last high
We have a higher high
Momentum continues

Structure:

  1. HH → HL → HH (clean trend)

1.1725 is changing into:

  1. Support (flip)

Bullish:

  1. Retest 1.1725
  2. Hold
  3. Continuation:

    1. 1.1780
    2. 1.1800


Bearish:

  1. Return below 1.1725
  2. Fake BOS
  3. Return into the range

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: h1 1.jpg Size: 30 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,687
  • Apr 13, 2026 1:53pm Apr 13, 2026 1:53pm
1743 taken finally, now i wait for reaction to see if we will slow down here
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,688
  • Apr 13, 2026 2:16pm Apr 13, 2026 2:16pm
What 1.1750 is:

  1. Internal level (intraday S/R)

Specifically:

  1. Former intraday high / micro BOS
  2. Minor swing on H1
  3. Intermediate step between:

    1. 1.1725 (main BOS)
    2. 1.1800 (main R)

What it means: It is not a level that changes the trend But:

  1. It maintains momentum

Interpretation: Above 1.1750: Market is:

  1. Strong
  2. Holding HH/HL
  3. Continuation likely

Below 1.1750: First signal of weakness But not yet bearish
Important: If we fall below:

  1. 1.1750 = OK (just a pullback)
  2. 1.1725 = Problem
  3. 1.1685 = Trend at risk

Summary: 1.1750 = momentum support It is not a key BOS level
One sentence: Above 1.1750 = the market breathes bullish, but 1.1725 is the ultimate decider

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: flip.jpg Size: 23 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,689
  • Apr 13, 2026 9:21pm Apr 13, 2026 9:21pm
Quoting josip
What 1.1750 is: Internal level (intraday S/R) Specifically: Former intraday high / micro BOS Minor swing on H1 Intermediate step between: 1.1725 (main BOS) 1.1800 (main R) What it means: It is not a level that changes the trend But: It maintains momentum Interpretation: Above 1.1750: Market is: Strong Holding HH/HL Continuation likely Below 1.1750: First signal...
I just saw your comment after I made one somewhere else! Spot on!
  • #19,690
  • Edited 11:20pm Apr 13, 2026 10:40pm | Edited 11:20pm
The EUR/USD is trading above the 1.1740/47 level - a former resistance that has turned into support following an earlier breakout. Buyers are now targeting the 1.1800/06 range and as long as the 1.1664 low holds, the uptrend remains intact, with 1.1700 serving as a key psychological level to watch. If the pair breaks above 1.1806, it could rise significantly toward 1.1835, provided that hopes for a US-Iran deal persist.

Daily volatility (range) 50 pips

Significant news - US PPI


Have a great day!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-04-14_06-37-47.png Size: 55 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,691
  • Apr 14, 2026 12:25am Apr 14, 2026 12:25am
Quoting josip
What 1.1750 is: Internal level (intraday S/R) Specifically: Former intraday high / micro BOS Minor swing on H1 Intermediate step between: 1.1725 (main BOS) 1.1800 (main R) What it means: It is not a level that changes the trend But: It maintains momentum Interpretation: Above 1.1750: Market is: Strong Holding HH/HL Continuation likely Below 1.1750: First signal...
update

Signals of weakening:

  1. Smaller candles
  2. Less aggressive HH (Higher Highs)
  3. Sideways movement begins (micro range)
  4. Price is holding around 1.1750–1.1760

1.1725 = main support
1.1750 = micro support
1.1780 = next resistance

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: H1.jpg Size: 34 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,692
  • Apr 14, 2026 1:04am Apr 14, 2026 1:04am
IMHO marke overreacted, oil prices still leading FX and dollar will resume his strenght soon. Liquidity is a must in this environment.
chaos is just unknown order
  • #19,693
  • Apr 14, 2026 1:39am Apr 14, 2026 1:39am
no sign of bear as yet so will continue to wait
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,694
  • Apr 14, 2026 1:50am Apr 14, 2026 1:50am
Quoting johncen
no sign of bear as yet so will continue to wait
For shorts I'm looking for a stop run above 1.1800 that fails, followed by a drift back toward the 1.1720 or 1.1665 area. This is where bulls might want to build the bulk of their long position for the next leg higher.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,695
  • Apr 14, 2026 4:40am Apr 14, 2026 4:40am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} For shorts I'm looking for a stop run above 1.1800 that fails, followed by a drift back toward the 1.1720 or 1.1665 area. This is where bulls might want to build the bulk of their long position for the next leg higher.
we are closed to closing the gap created on 2nd March
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,696
  • Apr 14, 2026 6:15am Apr 14, 2026 6:15am
Quoting johncen
{quote} we are closed to closing the gap created on 2nd March
Gap closing at 1.1811 in my screen if it cant take it out and stay above 1.1835 then it has only one simple move to make!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,697
  • Apr 14, 2026 6:24am Apr 14, 2026 6:24am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Gap closing at 1.1811 in my screen if it cant take it out and stay above 1.1835 then it has only one simple move to make!
WHAT MOVE?
Never Lose Hope
  • #19,698
  • Apr 14, 2026 6:35am Apr 14, 2026 6:35am
Quoting Mr.rama
{quote} WHAT MOVE?
from kitchen to bedroom
chaos is just unknown order
  • #19,699
  • Apr 14, 2026 6:43am Apr 14, 2026 6:43am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Gap closing at 1.1811 in my screen if it cant take it out and stay above 1.1835 then it has only one simple move to make!
As 1743 didnt react much i guess 1835 will be taken at some point. But bear will be waiting there! Let see

entire drop in March is now wiped, will be interesting to see where we close the month at
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,700
  • Apr 14, 2026 6:45am Apr 14, 2026 6:45am
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} from kitchen to bedroom
surely bed time for me
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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