A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
EUR/USD - GBP/USD -- Clean Price Action(no indicators)
{quote} buy? wait for daily close, if lucky, they will run the new low, bringing price closer to the 50% retracement, entering discount array (which is also confluence with inverted monthly fvg)
I‘ve shorted EURNZD and EURCHF yesterday afternoon.
- #303
- Apr 8, 2026 2:56pm Apr 8, 2026 2:56pm
- Temporarily Suspended | Joined Dec 2025 | 2,637 Posts
{quote} Nope, I‘ll sit it out, just observing. Not entering any Usd pairs, could hurt.
unfortunately for me I cant trade like this, I need to study the chart for some weeks to see if my model works on it - but I should have one of those pairs as back-up!
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
{quote} Yea! this is probably 100+ IQ play there lol unfortunately for me I cant trade like this, I need to study the chart for some weeks to see if my model works on it - but I should have one of those pairs as back-up!
EU is still my main focus, just not in a tradable phase right now no point forcing it when there are cleaner opportunities elsewhere. Definitely recommend.Besides forex, the DAX does it for me.
- #307
- Edited 2:45am Apr 10, 2026 2:30am | Edited 2:45am
- Temporarily Suspended | Joined Dec 2025 | 2,637 Posts
Friday - typical stop clearing day or reverse day
(before I start influencing anyone to this particular trade, I just want to make one thing clear - I have had the worst trading record since 2020 - currently the market dont operate based on TA or FA, but news - these news bits are dropped purposely to justify the algorithm manipulating price certain direction - only on few occasions did the news drop make sense in terms of MY TA, mostly it was random according to MY TA)
GU:
- Price broke the bearish structure and started attacking the highs - these highs are quite significant in terms of being a resistance wall for several weeks (aprox 30 days)
- Price did swipe the highs, but by measly 1.2 pips - in my book its too shallow - I consider a liquidity pool (multiple highs/lows) vs a swing high/low differently, in the former(multiple) you want clear violation, even in the event of rejection, a clear purge needs to be displayed to clear out whatever resting stops above/below - when its comes to the latter (single) sometime 1 pip is enough, however you need an underlying narrative to justify drop thereafter (which I can delve into deeper by showing historical examples later)
Orderflow narrative justification:
(
4H)
Entry model/point:
- Considering my record recently, I am clearly affected psychologically, earlier were I would jump in for a setup like this, now I am more hesitant and consider the max pain scenario over the most likely scenario - but this is the nature of trading, price will always present you with 2 entry options: the most likely when orderflow is clear and price makes a higher low or max pain scenario were price runs local low for boost - recently it seems like the max pain scenario is the preferred MO with the algorithm!
- Max pain:
- In this potential entry, I have market certain POI: 
(4H)
This is a 100 pip trade and there are several ways to enter - my preferred method:
Confirmed entry:
- In a confirmed entry you want to let price do its dirty work and enter after, you hope that an entry will be presented around the initial PD array or worst case you, you catch it further up - the only downside to this type of entry is you get worst risk - you either accept bigger risk or more appetite for several entries using tight stops:
(15min)
Below I have 30min chart, 2 blue lines marked up, once either of them is broken, will change my approach, if the top one broken with body close, I expect local bottom to be set and price will attack the top - HOWEVER if price continue going down the whole London session, I will consider the confirmed entry model explained above.
(30min)
(before I start influencing anyone to this particular trade, I just want to make one thing clear - I have had the worst trading record since 2020 - currently the market dont operate based on TA or FA, but news - these news bits are dropped purposely to justify the algorithm manipulating price certain direction - only on few occasions did the news drop make sense in terms of MY TA, mostly it was random according to MY TA)
GU:
- Price broke the bearish structure and started attacking the highs - these highs are quite significant in terms of being a resistance wall for several weeks (aprox 30 days)
- Price did swipe the highs, but by measly 1.2 pips - in my book its too shallow - I consider a liquidity pool (multiple highs/lows) vs a swing high/low differently, in the former(multiple) you want clear violation, even in the event of rejection, a clear purge needs to be displayed to clear out whatever resting stops above/below - when its comes to the latter (single) sometime 1 pip is enough, however you need an underlying narrative to justify drop thereafter (which I can delve into deeper by showing historical examples later)
Orderflow narrative justification:
(
4H)Entry model/point:
- Considering my record recently, I am clearly affected psychologically, earlier were I would jump in for a setup like this, now I am more hesitant and consider the max pain scenario over the most likely scenario - but this is the nature of trading, price will always present you with 2 entry options: the most likely when orderflow is clear and price makes a higher low or max pain scenario were price runs local low for boost - recently it seems like the max pain scenario is the preferred MO with the algorithm!
- Max pain:
- In this potential entry, I have market certain POI:
- triple bottom on 4h - liquidity pool
- 1 Day FVG (the green box represent top 25% of that gap)
- Break of structure, which might entice novice traders to counter the rebound - further fuel for upward
(
4H)This is a 100 pip trade and there are several ways to enter - my preferred method:
Confirmed entry:
- In a confirmed entry you want to let price do its dirty work and enter after, you hope that an entry will be presented around the initial PD array or worst case you, you catch it further up - the only downside to this type of entry is you get worst risk - you either accept bigger risk or more appetite for several entries using tight stops:
(
15min)Below I have 30min chart, 2 blue lines marked up, once either of them is broken, will change my approach, if the top one broken with body close, I expect local bottom to be set and price will attack the top - HOWEVER if price continue going down the whole London session, I will consider the confirmed entry model explained above.
(
30min)
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #308
- Apr 10, 2026 5:37am Apr 10, 2026 5:37am
- Temporarily Suspended | Joined Dec 2025 | 2,637 Posts
Friday - typical stop clearing day or reverse day (before I start influencing anyone to this particular trade, I just want to make one thing clear - I have had the worst trading record since 2020 - currently the market dont operate based on TA or FA, but news - these news bits are dropped purposely to justify the algorithm manipulating price certain direction - only on few occasions did the news drop make sense in terms of MY TA, mostly it was random according to MY TA) GU: - Price broke the bearish structure and started attacking the highs - these...
- In this case, London Low is holy!
- I will share my setup soon, waiting for 7am NY to tick it, which is in 23 minutes
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #309
- Apr 10, 2026 6:21am Apr 10, 2026 6:21am
- Temporarily Suspended | Joined Dec 2025 | 2,637 Posts
Will try to catch a long at the discount array measured from London low to NY 7am swing - invalidation is London low!
There are two minor liqs and 5m FVG were only the upper half filled, making it a good candidate
(5min)
There are two minor liqs and 5m FVG were only the upper half filled, making it a good candidate
(
5min)
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #310
- Apr 11, 2026 1:20pm Apr 11, 2026 1:20pm
- Temporarily Suspended | Joined Dec 2025 | 2,637 Posts
Friday did not produce an entry, but order flow was predicted correctly, which is improvement and a sign that the market might return normalcy 
- Looking at in hindsight, forex market acted as if it bottomed before hostilities calmed down, were official confirmation lagged behind and eventually confirmed in form a temporary ceasefire
- As a technical trader, I will revert back to simple principles and find confluences to justify trades - instead of complicating things by being a contrarian
- These simple principles are liquidity pools and seasonal tendencies
Seasonal tendencies:
- This simple principle take account for historical movements and pair them with technical analysis to predict a certain movement - one end justify the other
-- If we look at GU historically, April month tend to produce green candle:
Technical Analysis GU:
- There are two immediate targets I have my eyes on in form of liquidity pools, which I believe will act as magnet for price the coming week(s)
- The first one, which is the closest - the purported target during Friday (green line)
- The second is further up in form of relative equal highs with a daily FVG above, unbalanced price (blue line)
DXY:
- We can see its showing its hand by indicating weaker response from the multiple touches of the FVG, which initially broke the high
- Second touch gave us lower jump, while not clearing the original low
- Third touch gave us an even lower jump, also without clearing any low
- Which builds a technical weak price structure, indicating sell-mode coming to purge the lows
The important part is how to trade this information in forms of setups:
- Looking at the weekly economic calendar, we have USD CPI on Tuesday and GBP GDP on Thursday
- A setup will be formed depending how we open, my preferred opening is if gap down, I would really like for either Monday or Tuesday to clear the nearest triple bottom, before upward momentum, this will provide more confluences to actually long - which perhaps will be a small gift for technical traders given the hard conditions we have endured the last 2 months
- If price gaps up or start attacking the top straight from opening will be no gifts for the pain we endured, however, orderflow will be further confirmed and the next target can be aimed for
(GU 30min)
(all charts displayed are 4h TF unless stated otherwise)
- Looking at in hindsight, forex market acted as if it bottomed before hostilities calmed down, were official confirmation lagged behind and eventually confirmed in form a temporary ceasefire
- As a technical trader, I will revert back to simple principles and find confluences to justify trades - instead of complicating things by being a contrarian
- These simple principles are liquidity pools and seasonal tendencies
Seasonal tendencies:
- This simple principle take account for historical movements and pair them with technical analysis to predict a certain movement - one end justify the other
-- If we look at GU historically, April month tend to produce green candle:
Technical Analysis GU:
- There are two immediate targets I have my eyes on in form of liquidity pools, which I believe will act as magnet for price the coming week(s)
- The first one, which is the closest - the purported target during Friday (green line)
- The second is further up in form of relative equal highs with a daily FVG above, unbalanced price (blue line)
DXY:
- We can see its showing its hand by indicating weaker response from the multiple touches of the FVG, which initially broke the high
- Second touch gave us lower jump, while not clearing the original low
- Third touch gave us an even lower jump, also without clearing any low
- Which builds a technical weak price structure, indicating sell-mode coming to purge the lows
The important part is how to trade this information in forms of setups:
- Looking at the weekly economic calendar, we have USD CPI on Tuesday and GBP GDP on Thursday
- A setup will be formed depending how we open, my preferred opening is if gap down, I would really like for either Monday or Tuesday to clear the nearest triple bottom, before upward momentum, this will provide more confluences to actually long - which perhaps will be a small gift for technical traders given the hard conditions we have endured the last 2 months
- If price gaps up or start attacking the top straight from opening will be no gifts for the pain we endured, however, orderflow will be further confirmed and the next target can be aimed for
(
GU 30min)(all charts displayed are 4h TF unless stated otherwise)
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #311
- Apr 12, 2026 8:33am Apr 12, 2026 8:33am
- Temporarily Suspended | Joined Dec 2025 | 2,637 Posts
Friday did not produce an entry, but order flow was predicted correctly, which is improvement and a sign that the market might return normalcy
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #312
- Apr 12, 2026 11:10am Apr 12, 2026 11:10am
- Joined Oct 2020 | Status: couldn't give a flying duck | 7,377 Posts
- #313
- Apr 12, 2026 11:16am Apr 12, 2026 11:16am
- Temporarily Suspended | Joined Dec 2025 | 2,637 Posts
{image}
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #315
- Apr 13, 2026 12:14pm Apr 13, 2026 12:14pm
- Temporarily Suspended | Joined Dec 2025 | 2,637 Posts
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #316
- Apr 13, 2026 12:56pm Apr 13, 2026 12:56pm
- Temporarily Suspended | Joined Dec 2025 | 2,637 Posts
Friday did not produce an entry, but order flow was predicted correctly, which is improvement and a sign that the market might return normalcy
1: Price did gap down and it did touch the daily FVG which I intended to long - BUT IT VIOLATED THE LOWS AND ENTERED THE FVG BY 0.3 PIPS
2: Price recovered the gap and is clearing the highs
But unfortunately this was not tradable, I was waiting during London and NY sessions hoping for dump to properly clear the lows and fill in the FVG further, but it kept climbing.
The first easy target cleared, now its the more difficult target left, which is the blue line (quoted post) - again a double top and FVG right above the liq pool
- Possible play: Depends how price close today, but a return to the NWOG (new week opening gap) after daily close, filling upper part before continuation toward the second target - which is around 125 pips measured from the top of the NWOG to the blue target (check quoted post)
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #317
- Apr 13, 2026 1:36pm Apr 13, 2026 1:36pm
{quote} whats your target? post charts
The levels themselves come from measured distances off major opens, especially the yearly open.
Quick example:
This year’s open is 1.17440 / 1.17338 (broker feed dependent). From that level, I project fixed increments, typically 250, 500, 750 points, and so on.
Price tends to respect these measured distances surprisingly well.
For instance:
The recent low around 1.1440 sits almost exactly 3000 points from the yearly open at 1.17440. That kind of alignment is something I pay attention to, as reactions often occur at those round displacements. F.x. here:
The same logic applies on smaller legs.
You’ll often see moves expand in 250-point blocks(which are the blue lines on my chart):
- 250 points
- 500 points
- 750 points
- 1000 points
- etc.
That’s what I illustrate in the chart measured legs stacking in consistent increments. It’s not always perfect, but the structure shows up often enough to build trade targets around:
*Last marked leg is 460 not 500 points // my mistake //
The current upper area I’m watching comes from combining several of projections across different charts and anchors. I do use multiple charts to build the final level, which can get messy quick.
- #318
- Apr 13, 2026 2:11pm Apr 13, 2026 2:11pm
- Temporarily Suspended | Joined Dec 2025 | 2,637 Posts
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #320
- Apr 14, 2026 3:38pm Apr 14, 2026 3:38pm
- Temporarily Suspended | Joined Dec 2025 | 2,637 Posts
{quote} The analysis turned out to be correct: 1: Price did gap down and it did touch the daily FVG which I intended to long - BUT IT VIOLATED THE LOWS AND ENTERED THE FVG BY 0.3 PIPS
- did not get any pull-back or trade setup, just ripped up and up.
I am changing to EU - PA seems more clean, including interesting targets.
- I expect some pull-back on the market.
I hope to improve my setup the coming days or so, now that things have calmed in my city, but certain things out of my control that is needed before I can do so
- with that, I want to post some videos and maybe do some live-streams during London and NY sessions - either streaming trades or tape reading
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs