Gold with No Drama

holy shit, im not touching this and im a degenerate

Oil collapsed, stock markets worldwide will zoom

Sell close, buy close...
I don't trade news that 1h is one thing and in the other are the opposite...
Just take caution with volatility on your risk....
Momentum trading is to get in, and get out, is not bias...

Would it be easy for you to explain what averaging price in confluence with high probability tests is? You may help a brother here. Thanks in advance.

Inflation back on big time.

But gold

ceasefire just announced. 5k or 4100?

Short BIAS is cooked for now. Entered longs at 4800 TP 5000.

Looking for a dip to enter, but will keep SL's very strict, don't want to get pissed among these big mouths, small talk, manipulative people

Already explain several times here diferent ways to do it. Here goes another.
Pay attention to the closes, are they manipulated or not ( not wicked, but with a close)? If it were you will have a high probability when they comeback inside or follow thru average both closes or tap initial pivot open...
You never should average price at high volatility times or ending the day in a volatility breakout, they will do it but most likely will take more time.
Even when is not right after they will do it...
But let candles close!
In averaging price proper risk management is important, knowing your potential daily extremes makes you have your risk controled, will not be only one trade per day, will have several as price is fractal, but only one each time.
Averaging price is not a high RR trading, is a consistent one...
Basically you can apply this at any manipulation pattern that is known out there because someone with money left open orders there.
I prefer the closes to average.
Study open/closes price behaviour and you will understand better why averaging those zones work, even counter trend...
Stick to this rules, pratice and train your eye.
For instance you have none at the moment, but you will have daily if close above 4778.270.

EDIT: Actualy you have one missed at 4772.580, so averaging this is a high probability trade, the problem is we end day in volatility breakout and requieres a bit of experience and confluences... Is a lower tf miss test in 1h...
IN front of it you have 4818.415 (4h) and 4778 (daily) as higher levels, is where the trade should be already locked, the rest is let them do what they want, is up to them.

Story continues

oil is down 22% in 5h wtf

Not an advice....

Universal truth : during every push and pull the same logic applies in trading break out then retrace then break out

Price has already broken and closed above the entry level (now +55 points higher at ~4811). This is a classic breakout confirmation above daily resistance. The same blue up-arrows and recent green candle momentum are visible. The overall structure remains higher-timeframe bullish despite the March correction.
Fundamental Context: Same as above — safe-haven demand + structural buying floors gold. The March sell-off was largely USD-driven; any easing in Fed hawkishness or fresh geopolitical flare-ups would act as a strong catalyst for the next leg higher toward 5000–5200.
Overall Verdict & Trading Signal (for your thread)
SIGNAL: BUY XAUUSD (Gold) – Breakout Confirmed
Entry: 4810 – 4815 (current market / already in profit from the 4756.74 indicator trigger) Stop Loss: Opposite signal (below recent swing low ~4700–4720 or ~1.5–2% risk) Take-Profit 1: 18751 pts (per indicator) → ~5000 area Take-Profit 2: 54445 pts (per indicator) → major weekly resistance zone ~5200–5280
Risk/Reward: Very favorable on the breakout. The 56.25% historical success rate of this system improves significantly when price is already above the trigger level with momentum arrows firing.
Bias: Bullish (short-term recovery + long-term structural uptrend intact). Key Levels to Watch:

1. Support: 4756 (former resistance, now support) → 4405 (D1/W1 Sup)
2. Resistance: 5000 psychological → 5200–5280 (W1/MN1 cluster)

This setup combines a clean indicator breakout with the broader gold bull-market narrative. The March correction looks like a healthy pullback rather than a trend reversal.

Using regular chart analysis during times of crisis is like calling a dumpster fire a candlelight, 5-star dining experience!

TP hit even it swept me lol, but i still hold last week buy

Mr Taco is back. if he doesn't open his mouth for 2 weeks gold traders will take that. the moment 4632 was taken out once and again crossed and failure to take that out again it was bullish. this ceasefire news has caused more of a spike than i thought. again there is a risk of everything being in the air. Iran are difficult to negotiate with

Fine

To be honest, Gold is being very merciful. It goes back and forth even when it pumps. No more straight line like the bull market.

It even left a bottom wick at 4725, which will probably revisit at some point.