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A very simple system - trade with arrow

  • #12,461
  • Mar 12, 2026 7:47am Mar 12, 2026 7:47am
Last night I entered a short when price was trading below the 200ema and also knowing I will be getting +ve triple swap. I left about 25% for the target but got hit with a +ve stop. I took a short again and hopefully my target can be reached
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD.rawM15.png Size: 77 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #12,462
  • Mar 13, 2026 12:40am Mar 13, 2026 12:40am
I’m not quite sure about any moving average, better to use volume indicators to determine who is now in control of market buyers or sellers. But I like the general idea of keeping things simple, not flooding the chart with 10 indicators and waiting for the Holy Grail entry with all kinds of confirmation, which is unreal.
You’re right trading is all about probabilities and how you manage this uncertainty.
  • #12,463
  • Mar 13, 2026 1:09am Mar 13, 2026 1:09am
Quoting pips29
just the same old trade, nothing advanced {image}
Can you share the indicators and the parameters that I marked?
Thank you in advance.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: InCollage_20260313_100834395.jpg Size: 23 KB
  • #12,464
  • Mar 13, 2026 4:00am Mar 13, 2026 4:00am
Quoting pips29
Looks like further downside to me for EU. Price is trading below the 200 ema atm on the daily. If it stays below I expect further downside {image} {image}
price is now in between the levels marked on my chart
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #12,465
  • Mar 13, 2026 4:05am Mar 13, 2026 4:05am
Quoting pips29
GU is also very bearish looking {image}
price is getting closer to the box and fib78.6
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #12,466
  • Mar 13, 2026 10:30am Mar 13, 2026 10:30am
I closed the first sell with just about 2 pips. I re-entered later and scaled 70% out with profits. My target is a few pips above the box but will close the balance before the market close
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSD.cM15.png Size: 80 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #12,467
  • Mar 13, 2026 4:14pm Mar 13, 2026 4:14pm
Quoting pips29
I closed the first sell with just about 2 pips. I re-entered later and scaled 70% out with profits. My target is a few pips above the box but will close the balance before the market close {image}
price did close where I expected
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSD.cDaily.png Size: 76 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #12,468
  • Mar 16, 2026 10:33am Mar 16, 2026 10:33am
I have just closed this trade I took in the morning. It was the only trade I have, taken on M5
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPJPY.cM5.png Size: 66 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #12,469
  • Mar 18, 2026 7:18am Mar 18, 2026 7:18am
I took only this trade this morning and wonder if I should close it before red hot data from the US. My initial entry is already scaled out with some profits, hmnn will probably scale more out before the data release
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPJPY.cM15.png Size: 84 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #12,470
  • Edited 11:15am Mar 18, 2026 10:07am | Edited 11:15am
Quoting pips29
I took only this trade this morning and wonder if I should close it before red hot data from the US. My initial entry is already scaled out with some profits, hmnn will probably scale more out before the data release {image}
The above trade was stopped out. I reentered the 2nd time and was also stopped out after taking some profits . I reenterd for the 3rd time and now waiting for my target to be hit. In between I had also taken some profits
EDit: trade closed as I need a break, will come back after fomc
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPJPY.cM15.png Size: 88 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #12,471
  • Mar 18, 2026 1:50pm Mar 18, 2026 1:50pm
I will close the trade before the changeover if it is not closed yet
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD.rawM15.png Size: 75 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #12,472
  • Mar 19, 2026 5:14am Mar 19, 2026 5:14am
Good morning folks, I just took my first trade and it's a long UY. It is not the usual 10/34 ema entry but more of a candlestick pattern at perceived S/R levels, therefore quite risky and a stop is very necessary in this case
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPY.cH1.png Size: 96 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #12,473
  • Apr 7, 2026 3:53am Apr 7, 2026 3:53am
this morning trade
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSD.rM15.png Size: 85 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #12,474
  • Apr 7, 2026 3:59am Apr 7, 2026 3:59am
also on this trade and target moved higher. 2/3 taken off
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD.rM15.png Size: 90 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #12,475
  • Apr 7, 2026 9:48am Apr 7, 2026 9:48am
Quoting pips29
also on this trade and target moved higher. 2/3 taken off {image}
Finally the target is hit but before that happened I took another long when priced retraced and almost hit my stop on the first long. I have taken 50% off the 2nd entry
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD.rM15.png Size: 94 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #12,476
  • Apr 7, 2026 2:51pm Apr 7, 2026 2:51pm
Quoting pips29
{quote} Finally the target is hit but before that happened I took another long when priced retraced and almost hit my stop on the first long. I have taken 50% off the 2nd entry {image}
Taken the remainder out just shy of target
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD.rM15.png Size: 85 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #12,477
  • Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm
Quoting pips29
this morning trade {image}
I re-entered and my target was hit..a good day with wins on both EU and GU, the only pairs traded
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSD.rM15.png Size: 88 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #12,478
  • Apr 7, 2026 3:46pm Apr 7, 2026 3:46pm
Hi pips29 can you share your dashboard i have search the thread but can`t find it thanks.
  • #12,479
  • Apr 8, 2026 3:15am Apr 8, 2026 3:15am
Quoting roddy321
Hi pips29 can you share your dashboard i have search the thread but can`t find it thanks.
Just go to paperclip and you will find whatever you need
the cautious seldom err....C
  • #12,480
  • Apr 8, 2026 3:17am Apr 8, 2026 3:17am
morning trade is a sell EU based on R3 rejection, evening star and tdi cross.Lets see
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD.rM15.png Size: 94 KB
the cautious seldom err....C
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