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The Swamp

  • #127,161
  • Mar 31, 2026 3:52am Mar 31, 2026 3:52am
Quoting johncen
{quote} some says we are already in WW3. Possibly, there might be a temporary cease fire but it will drag on for a long time.
WW looks different now, i dont see it as easily comparable to WW1 and 2 . Different weapons, economic warfare , digital etc...
Some arn't firing bullets, but still are active participants, lines are drawn and involvement is blurred...history will decide when WW3 started
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #127,162
  • Edited 9:12am Mar 31, 2026 9:00am | Edited 9:12am
Quoting axecap
{quote} WW looks different now, i dont see it as easily comparable to WW1 and 2 . Different weapons, economic warfare , digital etc... Some arn't firing bullets, but still are active participants, lines are drawn and involvement is blurred...history will decide when WW3 started
It started the day Trump was giving Putin blowjobs. The world saw how week he was. He cussed NATO.. That was the beginning. He publicly said he believed Putin over his own intelligence. He has done everything to help Russia, and still does today. He removed sanctions while Russia targets Americas troops today. Yet people continue to make excuses for him. You can not possible make so many mistakes without it being on purpose. He is a plant. He does exactly opposite of what military experts have told him. The first cabinet of Generals already told us this. They were called traitors. Why is everyone so surprised. A six time bankrupt idiot did this?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,163
  • Mar 31, 2026 9:38am Mar 31, 2026 9:38am
Hang on to your panties.. its a month close day.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,164
  • Mar 31, 2026 10:01am Mar 31, 2026 10:01am
The euro is not on the same page as the gbp..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,165
  • Mar 31, 2026 10:33am Mar 31, 2026 10:33am
That eu close above 1488 flipped the script some.
NZD and Aud weak. Euro and yen strong. usd mid strong
I don't know if it a months end outlier
That move above 1488 did it.
Below may take it away
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,166
  • Mar 31, 2026 11:31am Mar 31, 2026 11:31am
the eu has a 4h and day close coming. if not above 1519, it may be a head fake. But there are better pairs to trade with more potential. This could be a month's end sweep.
Waiting a few days may be best
With oil its more likely to fall later. It would need to start below 1519 and later 1488. Its still feral. The kiwi is likely the better short currency even if wrong. It less likely to be strong against other currencies regardless.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,167
  • Mar 31, 2026 12:33pm Mar 31, 2026 12:33pm
Quoting gatorinla
the eu has a 4h and day close coming. if not above 1519, it may be a head fake. But there are better pairs to trade with more potential. This could be a month's end sweep. Waiting a few days may be best With oil its more likely to fall later. It would need to start below 1519 and later 1488. Its still feral. The kiwi is likely the better short currency even if wrong. It less likely to be strong against other currencies regardless.
If a head fake it may remain above 1519 maybe until april 3. If a head fake it should start coming down within a few days . not often would it go much above 1570. Maybe on a NFP extreme week. If its to line up with higher oil. It should fall. This being a quarter gives it more wings. look for exhaustion, if none. expect up.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,168
  • Mar 31, 2026 1:01pm Mar 31, 2026 1:01pm
I got some eu exhaustion on the 1h. make of it what your want.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,169
  • Mar 31, 2026 1:19pm Mar 31, 2026 1:19pm
Quoting gatorinla
I got some eu exhaustion on the 1h. make of it what your want. {image}
its a critical resistance level so do edpect some reaction from here.
if daily closed above 1520 1484…. Tomorrow 1484 may support
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #127,170
  • Mar 31, 2026 1:19pm Mar 31, 2026 1:19pm
NZD is stubborn. .5757/58 has some decent R. I didn't think it would reach it. That will be "shame on me" for not waiting to short. It does nave a pin.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,171
  • Mar 31, 2026 1:23pm Mar 31, 2026 1:23pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} its a critical resistance level so do edpect some reaction from here. if daily closed above 1520 1484…. Tomorrow 1484 may support
I don't think there is a perfect trade. I shoot for some with better moves, without a large stop. The eu is in the window with a pin. I'm not trading it because its stronger on my list than the nzd. I'm not saying it wont fall. I just think the Kiwi has more room to fall, plus its weaker. The eu may fall and go sideways.
The eu back below 1519 may show less bullish, more so below 1488.. Fundi wise the nzd may outpace all the currencies with a fall. Granted the kiwi on the month does have a bullish divergence that may have held it up this long. But its in worse shape with oil than the jpy. the yen is even stronger than the kiwi. It and the aud are looking bad. But the aud at least is mining and refining rare earth this year.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,172
  • Apr 1, 2026 12:01am Apr 1, 2026 12:01am
Quoting gatorinla
NZD is stubborn. .5757/58 has some decent R. I didn't think it would reach it. That will be "shame on me" for not waiting to short. It does nave a pin. {image}
kiwi, this is a place to see if it wants to fall, or rise. The eu about the same 1570 ish.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,173
  • Apr 1, 2026 12:03am Apr 1, 2026 12:03am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If a head fake it may remain above 1519 maybe until april 3. If a head fake it should start coming down within a few days . not often would it go much above 1570. Maybe on a NFP extreme week. If its to line up with higher oil. It should fall. This being a quarter gives it more wings. look for exhaustion, if none. expect up.
eu 1570 ish should be monitored, A head fake on a quarter can play out here. these can take a few days to decide.
the euro looks to be stronger than most others. Today Iran may be attacking tech companies in the ME. Although DT looks to be pulling out after fucking everything up. Losing billions and our dead boys blood. Most ME u.s. bases are too fucked up to function. Big mouth will manage to fuck up something else to change the subject. Iran did go after the Israel's desalination plants. Israel is wounded bad.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,174
  • Apr 1, 2026 9:15am Apr 1, 2026 9:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} eu 1570 ish should be monitored, A head fake on a quarter can play out here. these can take a few days to decide. the euro looks to be stronger than most others. Today Iran may be attacking tech companies in the ME. Although DT looks to be pulling out after fucking everything up. Losing billions and our dead boys blood. Most ME u.s. bases are too fucked up to function. Big mouth will manage to fuck up something else to change the subject. Iran did go after the Israel's desalination plants. Israel is wounded bad.
Yesterday a bunch of usd weakness crossed thresholds. On a quarter close this happens. But it sometimes changes in a few days. I think the kiwi may be the first . the eu 1519 may be a reject. It was the stronger. Since the CHF has gained. kiwi is holding its foothold at .5757. - 5703 is a another Kiwi needs to hold.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,175
  • Apr 1, 2026 9:23am Apr 1, 2026 9:23am
brent 101/02 supports, 111 resist. if and when above the usd will probably gain in forex.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,176
  • Apr 1, 2026 9:43am Apr 1, 2026 9:43am
about 2 hours until 8..
As of April 1, 2026, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has threatened to attack major U.S. tech firms in the Middle East, setting a deadline for Wednesday at 8 p.m. Tehran time. The threat specifically targets data centers and offices of companies like Microsoft, Google, Apple, and Amazon (AWS) in the region.
WIRED +2
Key Details:

  1. Targeted Firms: 18 companies are reportedly listed, including Amazon, Apple, Cisco, Google, IBM, Intel, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla.
  2. Motivation: Retaliation for U.S. and Israeli actions against Iranian leaders and infrastructure.
  3. Previous Action: Reports suggest that earlier Iranian drone strikes had already caused damage to Amazon Web Services (AWS) data centers in the UAE and Bahrain.
  4. The Deadline: The threatened attacks on infrastructure were scheduled for 8 p.m. Tehran time on Wednesday, April 1, 2026. WIRED +3

those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,177
  • Apr 1, 2026 10:24am Apr 1, 2026 10:24am
Quoting gatorinla
brent 101/02 supports, 111 resist. if and when above the usd will probably gain in forex. {image}
wti on a smaller support..
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  • #127,178
  • Apr 1, 2026 2:50pm Apr 1, 2026 2:50pm
The first few days of a quarter are less reliable for me. But if Friday pa is below 1.1519., later 1488. There is a good chance the eu will fall. Above these, is more chance to rise. Now its on the bullish side of these and 1527,, Possible buy, with * it sometimes changes before the 4th of the month. I state this because of oil. After the 4th 1519 can still be in play. If not for the oil wildcard, its bullish to me. That would make the usd bearish until oil says different. I think oil is going up. It may have other plans. Oil going up is my opinion, what pa has done is the opposite forex reflection since yesterday.
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  • #127,179
  • Apr 1, 2026 8:28pm Apr 1, 2026 8:28pm
I dont know.. but that quarter fix may be starting.
I dont know the reason it does that. Maybe just a slow motion sweep. Allowing a close to look in direction before turning. I got caught many times in it. The rug gets pulled out on the real ones. Often before the 4th of the month. I speculate institutional.
Taking profit before the month closed on some shorts.. Now adding some back on the new quarter.
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  • #127,180
  • Apr 1, 2026 9:33pm Apr 1, 2026 9:33pm
1528.. some support value.. support, 1519 stronger. below 1519 and 1488.. I think 1519 is the bigger.. losing 1488 may confirm a run. Need some closes. I think oil is the catalyst and its going up. and so is the usd.
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