Bitcoin (BTCUSD)

What is being displayed here is a recurring pattern similar to what occurred in January 2026, where a consolidation phase lasted for several days before a strong bearish move broke through the 0.618 level with significant momentum over multiple days.

At present, we are observing a situation with a nearly identical scenario; however, this time the consolidation is occurring above the 0.618 level. Will history repeat itself? We shall wait and see. If it does, we will revise our wave structure count based on the latest developments.

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When we analyze the structure of bitcoin from the daily timeframe starting in 2023, it becomes evident that the price action from mid-2025 up to the present is part of a corrective phase, specifically forming an irregular correction pattern.

If my count is correct, it suggests that bitcoin may now be at the early stage of a new bullish cycle—one that has the potential to be stronger and more sustained than the previous cycle observed between 2023 and 2025.

From my point of view the current south trend had broken the north trend .. so be cautious!!

BTC continued its slide down after been rejected by 76k.. It's now looking at 59-60k support

At the moment, we are simply adopting a wait-and-see approach.

for me the 'tick' signals are for directions only

On average, bearish news has been gradually softening. However, I still believe there could be another push toward the 63.5K level before Bitcoin stabilizes again.

arbitrum.
I expect something very similar from arbitrum.
H1.

my view is Bitcoin to head to 50k where it will bounce back up . Here is the last filling stop for me .

Bitcoin is near the interested area
planetary fan 1x1
Any break of this support the price will collapse to new lows.

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BOSS i have suggestion for next month
Here’s your full roadmap translated into clear English:
1D Structure (Most Important)

1. The chart shows:
   1. Market formed a Lower High (LH) around the 95k zone
   2. Then a strong impulse down
   3. Lower highs and lower lows continue

   
   
   

Final verdict:
HTF = Bearish structure
Current Position

1. Price is now in the discount zone (60k–66k)
2. Recent bounce is weak
3. Struggling below EMAs

Meaning:
Relief rally is ending.
Key Zones (Month Plan)
Sell Zone (Premium / Supply)

1. 72k–75k
2. Strong rejection area
3. Previous LH
4. Liquidity zone

Buy Zone (Major Demand)

1. 58k–60k
2. Strong discount
3. HTF support
4. Liquidity pool

Next 1-Month Game Plan
Primary Scenario (High Probability)

1. BTC likely to:
   1. Move sideways / weak bounce
   2. Then break down

Targets:

1. 64k break
2. 62k
3. 60k (major target)

Secondary Scenario (Liquidity Sweep)

1. BTC moves up:
   70k → 72k → 74k
2. Then big rejection down:
   65k → 62k → 60k

Third Scenario (Less Likely)

1. Strong breakout above 75k
2. Attempted trend shift:
   78k → 80k

Smart Money Logic

1. Structure indicates:
   Distribution → Markdown phase
2. First accumulation
3. Then distribution
4. Now dump phase

Final Bias

1. Next 1 month = Bearish bias
2. But not a straight dump
3. Expect fake pumps and traps before dumping

Strategy:

1. Short at resistance
2. Enter only on confirmation

Trade Plan
Swing Shorts

1. Entry: 70k–74k zone
2. Stop-loss: Above 76k
3. Targets: 65k, 62k, 60k

Swing Buy (Only Here)

1. Entry: 58k–60k zone

Updated ...

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Is this the bottom? The price structure appears to be forming a complete 5-wave move to the downside, with the target zone already reached. However, caution is still warranted at this stage, as confirmation of a reversal is not yet fully established.

Updated ...

From a channel analysis perspective, it clearly shows that this is the end of wave (c) at 65K. For this wave to qualify as a bearish impulse wave, bitcoin’s price momentum would need to break out of the channel boundaries. I am sticking with this count, and my bias is bullish.

“When bad news can’t push price lower, market is strong.”

It appears that recent threats from Donald Trump are no longer triggering the kind of selloffs we’ve seen in the past. Despite negative sentiment, price is holding steady and refusing to break lower, suggesting that selling pressure may already be absorbed.
This shift in behavior is a constructive sign for the market in the near term, indicating underlying strength and the possibility that buyers are gradually taking control.