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  • #19,501
  • Edited 1:56am Mar 27, 2026 1:29am | Edited 1:56am
Quoting johncen
{quote} no clear direction so it is best to wait. i have been staying sideline most of the week waiting
I am an aggressive trader; as soon as we break above today's high, I already have my long set up.
By the time I post something here, my entries are already set.
But these signals change quickly, especially when that clown Trump interferes.
That’s why I have pending orders for both buy and sell, not just one direction.
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,502
  • Mar 27, 2026 1:31am Mar 27, 2026 1:31am
Quoting josip
{quote} I am an aggressive trader; as soon as we break above today's high, I already have my long set up. By the time I post something here, my entries are already set. But these signals change quickly, especially when that clown Trump interferes.
that is true…. Unpredictable too
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,503
  • Mar 27, 2026 2:06am Mar 27, 2026 2:06am
Quoting josip
So, Trump has slowed down the fall after all... Stronger Zone: 1.1538 – 1.1543 (the two white lines) Why: This zone has: More touches (history) S/R flip (support ➝ resistance) Proximity to the major 1.1530 level Therefore: Higher order flow + more weight 1.1556 vs. Zone 1.1556: Only 1 reaction (LH) Acts more as: Trigger level Momentum level 1.1538 – 1.1543: More reactions Consolidation Flip zone Real barrier Critical Point ...
update

1.1538 – 1.1543 worked perfectly
What happened:

  1. Price entered the zone
  2. Failed to break through cleanly
  3. Immediate reaction to the downside

This means: Sellers are still in control of this area

Key to Growth: 1.1538 – 1.1543
Without breaking through this zone:

  1. We won’t move higher
  2. Every rally is just a pullback

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 11.jpg Size: 34 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,504
  • Mar 27, 2026 2:17am Mar 27, 2026 2:17am
Quoting johncen
{quote} that is true…. Unpredictable too
i m not convinced with buy yet and same as for sell so i likely to remain sideline. Have a good weekend
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,505
  • Mar 27, 2026 6:26am Mar 27, 2026 6:26am
I am seeing the possibility of another liquidity grab to the upside going in to the NY open. There is a shitload of Short Positions (and some trapped Bulls too) up to 1.154. a spike similar to the one an hour before the NY close yesterday. Then a reversal following the higher time frames trend which is still Bearish since the Jan multi year high. Short trap then more of the same ole same ole Trapp'n Bulls. Big boys need to create Sellers (covering) in order to dump at the highest prices possible. Total manipulation of both side of the market. IMHO
  • #19,506
  • Mar 27, 2026 8:08am Mar 27, 2026 8:08am
Quoting Twocans
I am seeing the possibility of another liquidity grab to the upside going in to the NY open. There is a shitload of Short Positions (and some trapped Bulls too) up to 1.154. a spike similar to the one an hour before the NY close yesterday. Then a reversal following the higher time frames trend which is still Bearish since the Jan multi year high. Short trap then more of the same ole same ole Trapp'n Bulls. Big boys need to create Sellers (covering) in order to dump at the highest prices possible. Total manipulation of both side of the market. IMHO...
I have something similar in mind but will have to close before the end of the week (today) if the trade isn't with 20+ pips in profit cause of weekend! That means I'll have to also close the trade if I'm with -15 pips and I hate that!

Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I have something similar in mind but will have to close before the end of the week (today) if the trade isn't with 20+ pips in profit cause of weekend! That means I'll have to also close the trade if I'm with -15 pips and I hate that!
Closed at break even and will monitor if a break below 1.1500 happen. Best I could do!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,507
  • Mar 27, 2026 11:35am Mar 27, 2026 11:35am
Quoting josip
{quote} update 1.1538 – 1.1543 worked perfectly What happened: Price entered the zone Failed to break through cleanly Immediate reaction to the downside This means: Sellers are still in control of this area Key to Growth: 1.1538 – 1.1543 Without breaking through this zone: We won’t move higher Every rally is just a pullback {image}
update2

EURUSD – current state (reset)
Trend:
H1: bearish
H4: bearish (pressure toward 1.1460)

CHOCH DOWN: 1.1530 (H1)
BOS DOWN (H4): 1.1460 (H4 closed below)

Price:

  1. has returned to the 1.1538–1.1545 zone
  2. is making a pullback within a downtrend

we are in a SELL ZONE

SHORT if:

  1. rejection below 1.1545
  2. weak candles / upper wicks

Invalidation
CHOCH UP: above 1.1556 (H1)
bias shifts

Nice weekend...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 15.jpg Size: 30 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,508
  • Mar 27, 2026 7:15pm Mar 27, 2026 7:15pm
critical level
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_1983.jpeg Size: 58 KB
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,509
  • Mar 28, 2026 2:55am Mar 28, 2026 2:55am
The EUR/USD advanced strongly to the 1.1616 level at the start of the week, creating bullish momentum that led the pair higher to 1.1640 later in the week. However, stronger hands drove it lower to the 1.1500 round number by the close. As long as 1.1572 caps the pair, it will remain bearish, targeting a break below 1.1500 with the potential to reach 1.1411—provided intermediate support at 1.1483 and 1.1443 allows for it. An advance above this resistance would open the way toward 1.1600/40/67, with the scope for the pair to turn bullish again if a breakout occurs.


Weekly volatility (range) 149 pips

Significant news - GER/EU CPI, US JOLTS Job Openings, US Retail Sales, US Initial Jobless Claims, US Trade Balance & US NFP.


Have great weekend!

Daily
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-03-28_08-55-29.png Size: 69 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,510
  • Mar 29, 2026 10:30pm Mar 29, 2026 10:30pm
The EUR/USD dipped to 1.1485 before a quick recovery back above 1.1500, signaling strong support at that level. The 1.1548/58 resistance zone is preventing the pair from rising toward the 1.1572 resistance and the 1.1600 psychological level. On the other hand, if 1.1483 breaks, a further drop to 1.1443 or lower is likely.


Daily volatility (range) 68 pips

Significant news - German CPI


Have great week!

4H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-03-30_06-27-18.png Size: 53 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,511
  • Mar 29, 2026 10:48pm Mar 29, 2026 10:48pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD dipped to 1.1485 before a quick recovery back above 1.1500, signaling strong support at that level. The 1.1548/58 resistance zone is preventing the pair from rising toward the 1.1572 resistance and the 1.1600 psychological level. On the other hand, if 1.1483 breaks, a further drop to 1.1443 or lower is likely. Daily volatility (range) 68 pips Significant news - German CPI Have great week! 4H {image}
my broker is showing 1.1487 as the low for today. Yea 1.1484 has to hold otherwise more drops coming. Its already not ideal for bull as bear in control.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,512
  • Mar 29, 2026 10:53pm Mar 29, 2026 10:53pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} my broker is showing 1.1487 as the low for today. Yea 1.1484 has to hold otherwise more drops coming. Its already not ideal for bull as bear in control.
First test should be at near 1535 but I'll wait some higher. Of course if a deal with Iran comes I'll cancell/close any orders as 1.1700 could come. Good luck!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,513
  • Mar 29, 2026 10:55pm Mar 29, 2026 10:55pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} First test should be at near 1535 but I'll wait some higher. Of course if a deal with Iran comes I'll cancell/close any orders as 1.1700 could come. Good luck!
yea very good rr to go long here to be honest…. I want to wait for a good signal on lower tf to see.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,514
  • Edited 1:42am Mar 30, 2026 12:38am | Edited 1:42am
Quoting josip
{quote} update2 EURUSD – current state (reset) Trend: H1: bearish H4: bearish (pressure toward 1.1460) CHOCH DOWN: 1.1530 (H1) BOS DOWN (H4): 1.1460 (H4 closed below) Price: has returned to the 1.1538–1.1545 zone is making a pullback within a downtrend we are in a SELL ZONE SHORT if: rejection below 1.1545 weak candles / upper wicks Invalidation ...
UPDATE
Trend is your friend, still bearish.
If the price does not get above 1.1530, (H1 closed above) then for now:

Current Situation

  1. Trend = Bearish Reasons:

    1. Lower Highs
    2. Lower Lows


Price is:

  1. Below 1.1530 (CHOCH level)
  2. Below 1.1555 (Last LH)

What it means in practice:

  1. Trend is your friend → SELL bias Look for:

    1. Shorts
    2. Not longs


BUT: Don't short blindly

  1. Correct mindset:

    1. Trend = Bearish
    2. Price = Sometimes in correction


waiting for: Sell from a better price
Key Zones Now:

  1. 1.1530 – 1.1540 → Main sell zone
  2. 1.1555+ → Invalidation of bearish bias

SUPPORTS:
Weak 1.1485
Medium 1.1460
Strong 1.1435

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: H4.jpg Size: 40 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,515
  • Mar 30, 2026 2:22am Mar 30, 2026 2:22am
Let’s also look at a possible bounce, profit, (support) according to trendlines.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: d1.jpg Size: 32 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,516
  • Mar 30, 2026 2:28am Mar 30, 2026 2:28am
Quoting josip
{quote} UPDATE Trend is your friend, still bearish. If the price does not get above 1.1530, (H1 closed above) then for now: Current Situation Trend = Bearish Reasons: Lower Highs Lower Lows Price is: Below 1.1530 (CHOCH level) Below 1.1555 (Last LH) What it means in practice: Trend is your friend → SELL bias Look for: Shorts Not longs BUT: Don't short blindly Correct mindset: ...
Often, your absence is better than your presence.
  • #19,517
  • Mar 30, 2026 2:35am Mar 30, 2026 2:35am
Quoting josip
Let’s also look at a possible bounce, profit, (support) according to trendlines. {image}
nice channel, while whinin the channel no buy
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,518
  • Mar 30, 2026 2:37am Mar 30, 2026 2:37am
Quoting johncen
{quote} nice channel, while whinin the channel no buy
Or "No Buy" while Donald is sleeping.
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,519
  • Mar 30, 2026 2:42am Mar 30, 2026 2:42am
Quoting josip
{quote} Or "No Buy" while Donald is sleeping.
his tweeks are losing effect…. Diminishing values whille situation unchanged
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,520
  • Mar 30, 2026 2:46am Mar 30, 2026 2:46am
eurusd h1
we have a dynamic support line...Right green line.

H1 Chart Key: Falling wedge

  1. Signals weakening downtrend

BUT:

  1. Not a reversal yet

Dynamic support

  1. Holding price in the short term
  2. BUT it is:
  3. Counter-trend

1.15013 (Pivot) This is now:

  1. The decisive level
  2. "If we stay below (H1 CLOSED) 1.15013 → we go deeper"

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: H1.jpg Size: 46 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
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