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  • #19,461
  • Mar 25, 2026 10:24am Mar 25, 2026 10:24am
EU is looking to break a low again. Will this time achieve its goal towards 1.1530, 1.1557 should give up. To me looks like another sideways day.
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  • #19,462
  • Edited 11:30am Mar 25, 2026 11:17am | Edited 11:30am
Quoting josip
{quote} update EURUSD H4 rising wedge, diamond patterns 1.1617 remains a key level today, now with even greater weight (H1 + H4 confluence). Why 1.1617 is so important: H4 resistance (HTF level) flip zone (previous support → now resistance) confluence with trendline / pattern just below liquidity high (1.1640) = main market decision point BELOW 1.1617: the market respects it as resistance higher probability of: pullback move back to...
update
eurusd h4
Fractal Rising Wedge pattern H4

  1. Failure at "Goliath" (1.1617)
    Price approached this white line but failed to show even a hint of a breakout. What we see now is a gradual decline (bleed), suggesting that buyers have definitively run out of momentum after Trump’s tweet.
  2. Battle for the blue line (1.15543)
    Price is currently reacting to a new blue horizontal line.
    This line acts as the last safety net before a free fall toward the lower edge of the wedge.

If an H4 candle closes below 1.1554, it will confirm that we are in a bearish cycle within the Rising Wedge.

  1. Rising Wedge vs. Red Channel
    Green wedge (Rising Wedge): Still pushing price from above.

Red descending lines: Price is moving back under the influence of these older bearish structures.
Conclusion: We are in a “decision triangle.” If the blue line breaks, the market is likely to accelerate toward 1.1500.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: H4.jpg Size: 32 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,463
  • Mar 25, 2026 1:02pm Mar 25, 2026 1:02pm
opened a long at 1.15787
  • #19,464
  • Mar 25, 2026 1:37pm Mar 25, 2026 1:37pm
Quoting josip
{quote} update eurusd h4 Fractal Rising Wedge pattern H4 Failure at "Goliath" (1.1617) Price approached this white line but failed to show even a hint of a breakout. What we see now is a gradual decline (bleed), suggesting that buyers have definitively run out of momentum after Trump’s tweet. Battle for the blue line (1.15543) Price is currently reacting to a new blue horizontal line. This line acts as the last safety net before a free fall toward the lower edge of the wedge. If an H4 candle closes below 1.1554, it will confirm that we are in a...
I appreciate your insightful analysis. I wish you great profits.
Often, your absence is better than your presence.
  • #19,465
  • Edited 2:39pm Mar 25, 2026 2:09pm | Edited 2:39pm
Quoting Meer-Shayhak
opened a long at 1.15787
I think it is early to open long,,,,Waiting for price to touch the upper red line. (DXY H1)
but
On the DXY H1 chart, the 99.40 level (currently at 99.371) is a key local resistance, but not the final one.
If DXY breaks and closes above it, a direct path opens toward the higher red line (approx. 100.00).

The moment DXY surges above 99.40, EURUSD on the chart will likely:
Break the blue line: This "bulls' last hope" will fall.

99.40
This is a key swing level (LH) on H1
CHOCH UP (H1) (change of character)

The market was making lower highs.
This is the last LH.
Break = Change of character (bearish → bullish intraday)

Still just a correction within a downtrend.
CHOCH = the first signal, not a confirmation.

If it breaks above 99.40:
EURUSD will likely ↓
but only if DXY holds and continues.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 12.jpg Size: 34 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,466
  • Mar 25, 2026 2:28pm Mar 25, 2026 2:28pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
EU is looking to break a low again. Will this time achieve its goal towards 1.1530, 1.1557 should give up. To me looks like another sideways day.
yea another range day and now back to the bottom of the range
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,467
  • Mar 25, 2026 2:51pm Mar 25, 2026 2:51pm
trendlines
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: H1.jpg Size: 39 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,468
  • Mar 25, 2026 11:35pm Mar 25, 2026 11:35pm
The EUR/USD remained below 1.1600, trading near 1.1550 during the Asian session. With a neutral to bearish bias, it is targeting 1.1530/00 should the earlier low of 1.1552 break. If bulls manage to clear 1.1600 and hold above it, the 1.1640 resistance zone becomes the next target, with further scope toward the 1.1653/67 upper resistance area.


Daily volatility (range) 67 pips

Significant news - US Initial Jobless Claims


Have great day!

1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-03-26_06-28-37.png Size: 47 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,469
  • Mar 25, 2026 11:38pm Mar 25, 2026 11:38pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea another range day and now back to the bottom of the range
Trading that way after the big upside move, waiting for peace news until Friday dead end. Not sure to where next just following techs.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,470
  • Mar 26, 2026 12:56am Mar 26, 2026 12:56am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Trading that way after the big upside move, waiting for peace news until Friday dead end. Not sure to where next just following techs.
yea remain pretty much sideways… should see some movement today. Let see which direction
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,471
  • Mar 26, 2026 1:06am Mar 26, 2026 1:06am
The new orange line at 1.15726 is now the “verdict” for intraday movement.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: H1.jpg Size: 41 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,472
  • Mar 26, 2026 1:20am Mar 26, 2026 1:20am
dxy update
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dxy.jpg Size: 33 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,473
  • Mar 26, 2026 3:19am Mar 26, 2026 3:19am
Quoting Meer-Shayhak
opened a long at 1.15787
closed with -30 pips
  • #19,474
  • Mar 26, 2026 5:54am Mar 26, 2026 5:54am
So far, the H4 timeframe is respecting the support level at 1.15550. No candle has closed below this support level yet. If the H4 candle closes below the 1.15550 support level, we will visit the 1.15350 level.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-03-26_13-50-11_7c5d1.png Size: 51 KB
Often, your absence is better than your presence.
  • #19,475
  • Mar 26, 2026 7:01am Mar 26, 2026 7:01am
I smell a tweet.
Often, your absence is better than your presence.
  • #19,476
  • Mar 26, 2026 7:07am Mar 26, 2026 7:07am
I bought at a price of 1.15250.
Often, your absence is better than your presence.
  • #19,477
  • Mar 26, 2026 7:08am Mar 26, 2026 7:08am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD remained below 1.1600, trading near 1.1550 during the Asian session. With a neutral to bearish bias, it is targeting 1.1530/00 should the earlier low of 1.1552 break. If bulls manage to clear 1.1600 and hold above it, the 1.1640 resistance zone becomes the next target, with further scope toward the 1.1653/67 upper resistance area. Daily volatility (range) 67 pips Significant news - US Initial Jobless Claims Have great day! 1H {image}
Selling orders closed need to get back now to reload. Watching for the us initial jobless claims
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,478
  • Mar 26, 2026 7:11am Mar 26, 2026 7:11am
Quoting Ahmedskaf
I smell a tweet.
The drop caused by negative news from tweets about the middle east war. Not the same conditions as Monday risk on move.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,479
  • Mar 26, 2026 7:17am Mar 26, 2026 7:17am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} The drop caused by negative news from tweets about the middle east war. Not the same conditions as Monday risk on move.
That makes sense. This week, in general, is volatile due to conflicting news.
Often, your absence is better than your presence.
  • #19,480
  • Mar 26, 2026 7:34am Mar 26, 2026 7:34am
Quoting Ahmedskaf
I bought at a price of 1.15250.
It was closed with a profit of 10 points.
Often, your absence is better than your presence.
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