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The Swamp

  • #127,041
  • Mar 19, 2026 10:08am Mar 19, 2026 10:08am
B U Y gold !!
  • #127,042
  • Mar 19, 2026 10:47am Mar 19, 2026 10:47am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} The monthly pivots pivots of EU and GU are so high up and we're missed. But it's rare for monthly pivots to get missed, especially for these pairs. Maybe those may draw price up.
PA is above 1488 and 1456 atm. Those were my augments. That and Wednesday set the high or low most often. Since it was near the week high. The logical place for me was to attack 1488 and 1456 with the recent trend direction. Using the rise as a sweep logic. I thought it was already finished sweeping when yesterday closed below 1488 and -1456. I traded against that high holding, and the trend continuing lower. At the time the divergence pointed down,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,043
  • Mar 19, 2026 10:52am Mar 19, 2026 10:52am
Quoting riko3
B U Y gold !!
at what price, what stop loss and what tp.. When to buy it. That narrows it down.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,044
  • Mar 19, 2026 11:09am Mar 19, 2026 11:09am
Quoting gatorinla
The usd flow dont seem right. Something is happening. Gold is dropping. the eu back above 1488.. Are cb selling gold to stand up/buy eur and gbp (selling usd)? That dont make sense, selling gold demands usd, in the noted gold drop price. something else

I think that during times like this, there are many moves that do not seem logical. There are interests that are far too large at play, and the US dollar is always a weapon in times of crisis.
It is worth watching USD/JPY to see whether the BOJ intervenes. Today I also read that the SNB wants to resume interventions. These are difficult moments for the low income population, and many politicians will begin promising populist measures.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #127,045
  • Mar 19, 2026 2:31pm Mar 19, 2026 2:31pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} The monthly pivots pivots of EU and GU are so high up and we're missed. But it's rare for monthly pivots to get missed, especially for these pairs. Maybe those may draw price up.
EU monthly pivot just above 1800 now looks like easy meat. Looking to start layering buys. I bought 154 but closed early.
  • #127,046
  • Mar 19, 2026 3:29pm Mar 19, 2026 3:29pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah but this is not new. He has done this his entire life. I don't get why people are just seeing it. The guy went bankrupt with casinos. He was on the news each night in the early 1990s. He screwed the small business guys. It was on the news each night back then. He bragged about it. I don't get how people are just getting it. He has been a con in the spot light for nearly 40 years. Bankrupt 6 times is a trend.
sure but its new for an American president....the implications are different
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #127,047
  • Mar 19, 2026 4:23pm Mar 19, 2026 4:23pm
Things are definitely different. High oil normally would hit the importing currency harder. The GBP Euro Yen should be weaker than the usd. Oil should be rising. There is no peace yet. The USA is normally a safe haven and does not need to import oil. Either one weighed against those who need to import a shrunken supply of oil. Should had weakened those crosses. Instead the usd is being taken to the wood shed. Chindia is probably buying some in none usd currencies. I see the proof in the movement of the forex markets with the weaker usd. I just don't think its natural. He may have broken the system like anything else he ever touched. He bankrupt the USFL, he bankrupt casinos, he stole from charities. The joke is on me, to think he couldn't destroy the normal. Putin got his pawn to do what he wanted. Without firing a shot. The proxy Iran was just waiting in the weeds. The plan was perfect.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,048
  • Mar 19, 2026 4:33pm Mar 19, 2026 4:33pm
Quoting gatorinla
Things are definitely different. High oil normally would hit the importing currency harder. The GBP Euro Yen should be weaker than the usd. Oil should be rising. There is no peace yet. The USA is normally a safe haven and does not need to import oil. Either one weighed against those who need to import a shrunken supply of oil. Should had weakened those crosses. Instead the usd is being taken to the wood shed. Chindia is probably buying some in none usd currencies. I see the proof in the movement of the forex markets with the weaker usd. I just don't...
Iran is selling its oil and getting paid in yuan, reportedly 1.5 Billion in US equivalent so far. US cant touch the money.
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #127,049
  • Mar 19, 2026 4:35pm Mar 19, 2026 4:35pm
Quoting axecap
{quote} sure but its new for an American president....the implications are different
I know a few con artist. We all went to school with one or two. The insecure guy who bragged on being, or having the best, fastest, most expensive crap. We would call those guys "One-up" as a joke. Mostly they were harmless. But no matter what anyone had, theirs was better (real or not). The guys who grew up with them knew they were full of shit. But once unleashed on the gullible world. This can happen. The people from Brooklynn knew what he was and warned us.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,050
  • Mar 19, 2026 4:43pm Mar 19, 2026 4:43pm
Quoting axecap
{quote} Iran is selling its oil and getting paid in yuan, reportedly 1.5 Billion in US equivalent so far. US cant touch the money.
That may slow the demand in usd verse oil. For every rise in oil 10$.. that's about 1 billion dollars a day. At 60$ pb.. its about 6 billion per day worldwide. I don't know how many days in the 1.5 number. If its 1 day at 100$ oil, its about 15%. If spread out a few weeks maybe 2%. Who sold a bunch of gold or traded gold for oil?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,051
  • Mar 19, 2026 5:24pm Mar 19, 2026 5:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} That may slow the demand in usd verse oil. For every rise in oil 10$.. that's about 1 billion dollars a day. At 60$ pb.. its about 6 billion per day worldwide. I don't know how many days in the 1.5 number. If its 1 day at 100$ oil, its about 15%. If spread out a few weeks maybe 2%. Who sold a bunch of gold or traded gold for oil?
Unconfirmed reports that Pakistan has bought one tanker load with Yuan.
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #127,052
  • Mar 19, 2026 5:37pm Mar 19, 2026 5:37pm
Quoting axecap
{quote} Unconfirmed reports that Pakistan has bought one tanker load with Yuan.
He pissed off all the world with his bullshit. He starts a war on his own. Now he acts like NATO is supposed to send ships. The NATO treaty is if someone attacked any member. I guess he didn't understand that. He attacked Iran. Its like he shit his pants, now he expects NATO to clean up the mess. What does this idiot think? NATO is the Whitehouse staff? The idiot had to make a point that ships were made of steel, not aluminum. What idiot besides him thought war ships were made out of aluminum?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,053
  • Mar 19, 2026 5:45pm Mar 19, 2026 5:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} He pissed off all the world with his bullshit. He starts a war on his own. Now he acts like NATO is supposed to send ships. The NATO treaty is if someone attacked any member. I guess he didn't understand that. He attacked Iran. Its like he shit his pants, now he expects NATO to clean up the mess. What does this idiot think? NATO is the Whitehouse staff? The idiot had to make a point that ships were made of steel, not aluminum. What idiot besides him thought war ships were made out of aluminum?
Joe Kent on whether there was or wasnt a threat.

Inserted Video
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #127,054
  • Mar 19, 2026 5:54pm Mar 19, 2026 5:54pm
Quoting axecap
{quote} Joe Kent on whether there was or wasnt a threat. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Sce8-PvKOI&t=327s
Yep.. all the people who put the moron on a pedestal, now act like they are so smart. They are the ones that promoted the village idiot. In a few years 1/2 of the guys who helped him will deny it. Just like the pro Iraq attack guys try to rewrite history. They spend 8 trillion on bullshit, on later cry about the deficit. The orange guy on his own added more than 8 Trillian in 4 years. That ongoing now even higher.

Those 2 fuckups added 16 trillion to the deficit without any infostructure.. This Iran thing adds nothing to infostructure.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,055
  • Edited 9:39am Mar 20, 2026 9:22am | Edited 9:39am
The UJ needs to break North. I have a tiny long.
I think if it get established above the R at 159.13 it could run.. Potential slap down if it cant maintain above. Japan imports most of its oil used. That negative for Japan. But as a safe haven it could slap it down. I think its lets a safe haven when oil is high. Brent at 108 atm.
SOS about eu and 1488 1457... Established below to me should be a R once established, to lead to a deeper fall. But it needs to be respected when above as support.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,056
  • Mar 20, 2026 9:33am Mar 20, 2026 9:33am
What happens after eu 1515?.. My week wanted me to short. GBP the same with 1450 earlier and now 3296 if sustained below. 3296 can support, or lead the next leg drop when R
Maybe something for next week to contend with
A week close below could be the catalyst gbp 3296, eu 1488 or 57, uj 159.13
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,057
  • Mar 20, 2026 10:17am Mar 20, 2026 10:17am
Chuck Norris RIP
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,058
  • Mar 20, 2026 10:49am Mar 20, 2026 10:49am
Very interesting chart, seems like the market is still interested in US tech (1) & that the war is hitting exUS markets harder given their oil dependency (2); my take is that the fall or the IRGC regime will accelerate as other countries feel compelled to intervene in the Strait of Hormuz. Yes, they made a big show of saying 'no way' re: intervention like 2 days ago, but they're now changing their tune to avoid total collapse. See: France rules out joining any forceful intervention in Strait of Hormuz (+similar headlines).

My take is that they want to intervene to secure the Strait but don't want to be seen siding with Trump too much, so what they're gonna do is park military assets in the Strait and either force the Iranians to back off or capitalize on an Iranian attack to justify using more force. These people are all about the politics of consensus and they tend to avoid taking the initiative until 'just cause' has been established. See: Keir Starmer weighing up legality of risking UK lives in Middle East

The IRGC is running out of time, their military and cash generating capabilities are being degraded, Russia is tied up in Ukraine, and China wants cheap Iranian oil and they're happy to see the US struggle with this, but they don't want total US collapse, and if Japan + Europe are chipping in, they're not gonna want to poke them in the eye just to save the regime.
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  • #127,059
  • Mar 20, 2026 11:42am Mar 20, 2026 11:42am
That land has been fought for in prehistory. Iran has already weighed the cost. They had agreed to give up all their nuclear ambitions last month. Yet a few hours later were attacked. This after tearing up the first agreement 2015 agreement. The orange stain in history has 0 credibility. He had to make a new NAFTA just to have his name on it. That was done in the first term. Yet when running again he belittled the deal he made. He actually called the people who did it "stupid". He called himself stupid. Last year he made a new deal with Canada, and just a few months later tore it up. This is what he has done his entire life in business. The reason he has been sued thousands of time. For refusing to honor deals. The art of a steal. Iran would be stupid to trust Trump. So would anyone else be stupid to trust him. Any country who sides with Trump will get screwed. Because he cant be trusted. He is out for himself first. Iran has already stated anyone helping the US will be a target. The straight isn't closed. Its just closed to U.S. and Israel and anyone helping them. China is still able to move oil. The pos orange stain fucked the USA with his stupidity. All the u.s. bases were attacked. The supply lines are stretched. The ships bugged out. Because the moron Trump and Pete didn't listen to the experts who warned them. This is what you get when you fill the cabinet with loyalist. To this point how did those loyalist help Putin in his 2 day war? Face the facts. Loyalist destroy the country. You need truth tellers. Trump ignored the truth tellers. Iran can send drones and take out a fleet. 20k drones verse 4 million dollar rockets is a stupid way to go broke. The experts told Trump. He fucked the USA. And 1/3 of us still cant see it. That's a cult. A cult tells you what kind of beer you cant drink. If that you, well you got what you asked for.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #127,060
  • Mar 20, 2026 12:17pm Mar 20, 2026 12:17pm
wti atm 97.36 brent 110. 28
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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