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  • #19,381
  • Mar 18, 2026 11:37pm Mar 18, 2026 11:37pm
approaching premium sell zone till 1.1350
chaos is just unknown order
  • #19,382
  • Mar 19, 2026 12:26am Mar 19, 2026 12:26am
Quoting johncen
{quote} i dont know where are we going today, bear in control but bull is still trying. I might stay on sideline
Price is ranging below the 1.1500 level with the middle east on fire yet so institutions will sell spikes towards the round number and higher to around 1.1555. Powell was also hawkish yesterday.

For now I don't know where eu will head but currently 1.1391 is holding.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,383
  • Mar 19, 2026 12:31am Mar 19, 2026 12:31am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Price is ranging below the 1.1500 level with the middle east on fire yet so institutions will sell spikes towards the round number and higher to around 1.1555. Powell was also hawkish yesterday. For now I don't know where eu will head but currently 1.1391 is holding.
yea while 1.1391 holding there is not much room
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,384
  • Mar 19, 2026 12:58am Mar 19, 2026 12:58am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea while 1.1391 holding there is not much room
Maybe the ECB helps today!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,385
  • Mar 19, 2026 1:01am Mar 19, 2026 1:01am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Maybe the ECB helps today!
london open makes me believe that bear wants to push it lower
wonder how long can 1450 holds.

if bull wanna fight they would close above 1465
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,386
  • Mar 19, 2026 2:00am Mar 19, 2026 2:00am
Quoting johncen
{quote} london open makes me believe that bear wants to push it lower wonder how long can 1450 holds. if bull wanna fight they would close above 1465
I'm not risking a penny yet! Positioning should happen after Lagarde speaks... and before, but only from very higher. Scalping might work!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,387
  • Mar 19, 2026 3:17am Mar 19, 2026 3:17am
Tf H1 - if u have sold the 2nd touch on MA100 i think u ve done good
......or at least there s where i ve added last shorts
chaos is just unknown order
  • #19,388
  • Mar 19, 2026 3:45am Mar 19, 2026 3:45am
Quoting Luxyus
Tf H1 - if u have sold the 2nd touch on MA100 i think u ve done good ......or at least there s where i ve added last shorts
If the ECB lowers it's growth forecasts at the decision then your early entry might work.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,389
  • Mar 19, 2026 4:49am Mar 19, 2026 4:49am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} If the ECB lowers it's growth forecasts at the decision then your early entry might work.
no worries since i m bearish since 1.18 actually
i don t rush markets all covered
chaos is just unknown order
  • #19,390
  • Mar 19, 2026 8:30am Mar 19, 2026 8:30am
Lagarde sounded hawkish to me eu should head down on staglation fears (lower growth and higher prices).

1.1500 must give up until London close or we'll see 1.1555 logically.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,391
  • Mar 19, 2026 9:41am Mar 19, 2026 9:41am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: MetaTrader.png Size: 108 KB

That was disappointing. I trimmed the hedges yesterday around this same price same time and watched the wins add up. 24 hours later all the profits are gone.

Sitting tight. Unless 1.1580

Happy trades to you,
NB
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #19,392
  • Mar 19, 2026 10:31am Mar 19, 2026 10:31am
oh boy what a rally, market is forcing exit to all the weaker hands on short side
chaos is just unknown order
  • #19,393
  • Edited 3:27pm Mar 19, 2026 12:10pm | Edited 3:27pm
Quoting Luxyus
oh boy what a rally, market is forcing exit to all the weaker hands on short side
bull took back control over lower tf. Sitting on my hand was a good call. I would like to see some further pudh up before selling again

thats more from a daily tf
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,394
  • Mar 19, 2026 12:30pm Mar 19, 2026 12:30pm
assume we have seen the top of this leg and no more spike i will be watching 1.1550 and 1.1530 for potential next leg up

daily it might be good to take liquidity above 1.1665 and retest yearly open 1.1743 before breaking 1.1391
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,395
  • Mar 19, 2026 12:33pm Mar 19, 2026 12:33pm
Quoting johncen
assume we have seen the top of this leg and no more spike i will be watching 1.1550 and 1.1530 for potential next leg up daily it might be good to take liquidity above 1.1665 and retest yearly open 1.1743 before breaking 1.1391
Remember that monthly pivot is 1830. At this rate of roughly 250 pips per day price can hit that pivot easy.
  • #19,396
  • Edited 3:28pm Mar 19, 2026 12:41pm | Edited 3:28pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Remember that monthly pivot is 1830. At this rate of roughly 250 pips per day price can hit that pivot easy.
yea 1.1830 on my chart too but a bit too far to consider at this stage. Focusing on 1.1743 for now

note: 1670 1700 first
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,397
  • Mar 19, 2026 9:41pm Mar 19, 2026 9:41pm
The EUR/USD reached a high of 1.1616 after breaking through the 1.1530-1.1555 zone and the 1.1585 level. The pair is currently retracing and trading in a range below the previous resistance at 1.1585 and the 1.1616 high. These levels are currently capping further upside moves toward 1.1633 and 1.1667.

On the downside, support at 1.1530-1.1555 should hold for now, however, a break below this area would likely see the pair revisit the 1.1491-1.1500 zone.


Daily volatility (range) 64 pips


Have great day!

1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2026-03-20_06-39-42.png Size: 44 KB
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,398
  • Mar 19, 2026 10:26pm Mar 19, 2026 10:26pm
Quoting johncen
assume we have seen the top of this leg and no more spike i will be watching 1.1550 and 1.1530 for potential next leg up daily it might be good to take liquidity above 1.1665 and retest yearly open 1.1743 before breaking 1.1391
1.1800 is a possibility until the month close as it will mark the end of the first quarter and some profit taking should happen.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,399
  • Edited 2:09am Mar 20, 2026 1:55am | Edited 2:09am
If price breaks out of the wedge to the downside, the following steps apply:
1. Return to the blue line (1.1528)
A downside break from the wedge would signal local buyer exhaustion. At that point, the 1.1528 level (blue line) becomes the main magnet.
This is a classic retest of a previous breakout. The market often comes back to “kiss” a level it previously broke strongly, to confirm that buy orders are still present there.

2. Liquidity below 1.1552
Between the current price and the blue line lies the 1.1552 level.
If price drops out of the wedge, this level will likely be taken first, as aggressive late buyers will have their stop losses below it.
This provides fuel for the move down toward the blue line.

3. Bounce vs. deeper drop scenario

Bounce (Bullish):
The ideal scenario for trend continuation is that price breaks out of the wedge, touches (or nearly touches) the blue line at 1.1528, and then moves sharply upward again.
This would form a Higher Low.

Drop (Bearish):
If price fails to hold the blue line and closes below it (H1 body close), the wedge would be confirmed as a bull trap, and price would likely move back toward the lower white levels (~1.1477).
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: h1.png Size: 37 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,400
  • Mar 20, 2026 1:59am Mar 20, 2026 1:59am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} 1.1800 is a possibility until the month close as it will mark the end of the first quarter and some profit taking should happen.
ah damn. I would still expect a bearish monthly close to finish the month but yea let see what the market offers
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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