Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

EUR/USD Chart Analysis: Pair Rebounds from the Year’s Low


Analysing the EUR/USD chart five days ago, we:
→ constructed a downward channel, noting signs that the bears remained in control;
→ outlined a scenario in which the rate would decline to a new yearly low (and test the lower boundary of the channel).

Yesterday’s price action confirmed these assumptions – the low at H is below the low of 3 February (F), refining the lower boundary of the channel. At the same time, the sharp upward reversal (shown by the arrow) indicates increasing demand, driven by a shift in sentiment due to several factors, including:
→ Trump’s speech, in which the president stated that the war in Iran is progressing successfully and that he has contingency plans for any scenario. This cooled demand for the USD as a safe-haven asset.
→ Expectations of US inflation data scheduled for release tomorrow.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Gold Price Holds Near Key Support


As the XAU/USD chart shows, the gold price has been holding within the $5,060–$5,200 range over the past several sessions.
Bullish view: the key support is the lower boundary of the long-term channel that has been in place since the beginning of 2026.
Bearish view: pressure on the price comes from statements by President Trump suggesting that the conflict in the Middle East could end soon. Yesterday, the US president described the operation in Iran as a “small incursion” and a “short-term” measure, which helped ease geopolitical risks and reduce demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Euro Recovers Early-Week Losses Ahead of Key Inflation Data


The euro is strengthening after declining earlier in the week. During the first trading sessions the single currency remained under pressure, but was later followed by a sharp rebound. The recovery was supported by easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, where signs have emerged of a slowdown in the escalation surrounding Iran. The reduction in geopolitical risks has weakened demand for safe-haven assets and allowed European currencies to partially recover their losses.

At the same time, market participants remain cautious as important inflation figures from both the eurozone and the United States are due to be released soon.
Inflation data remain a key factor shaping expectations for the future policy path of central banks. Higher inflation in the US could strengthen the dollar by reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a tight monetary policy stance. Meanwhile, accelerating inflation in Europe could support the euro, as it would strengthen arguments for the European Central Bank to keep interest rates elevated for a longer period.

Overall, the current movement in major euro pairs appears largely corrective, while the next directional move will likely depend on the upcoming macroeconomic releases.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

XTI/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Prices Remain Volatile


Against the backdrop of military developments in the Middle East, the situation in the oil market is evolving rapidly. Only two days have passed since 9 March, when we published a morning analytical note in which we:
→ highlighted the rise of XTI/USD above $100 and a sharp spike in volatility (as reflected by the ATR indicator);
→ outlined an ascending channel and pointed to signs of a bearish engulfing pattern, suggesting that sellers were gaining the initiative.
Subsequent price action in the following hours confirmed that selling pressure was strong enough to break below the lower boundary of the channel later that same day. This occurred amid statements from President Trump, and a wide bearish candle formed on the XTI/USD chart.

On 10 March, the former lower boundary of the channel (marked by red arrows) acted as resistance while traders closely monitored developments around the Strait of Hormuz. According to The Wall Street Journal, the International Energy Agency proposed the largest oil reserve release in its history, which added another bearish factor for the market.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

S&P 500 Fluctuates Ahead of CPI Report


As the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) shows, the index is trading near the 6,800 level this morning. However, the balance between supply and demand could change significantly after the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report scheduled for 15:30 GMT+3.
Against the backdrop of military developments in the Middle East and sharp movements in oil prices (as we previously noted, the WTI market remains volatile), today’s data will be an important factor for traders assessing the future policy path of the Federal Reserve. According to Forex Factory, analysts expect headline inflation to remain at 2.4%.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Market Analysis: EUR/USD Reclaims Ground While USD/JPY Momentum Fades


EUR/USD is recovering losses from 1.1500. USD/JPY is correcting gains from 159.00 and might decline further if it stays below 158.30.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY Analysis Today
- The Euro struggled to stay in a positive zone and declined below 1.1700 before finding support.
- There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 1.1580 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
- USD/JPY started a decent increase above 157.00 before the bears appeared near 158.90.
- There is a key contracting triangle forming with resistance near 158.30 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from 1.1825. The pair broke below 1.1665 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1500 zone. A low was formed at 1.1507, and the pair is now recovering losses.

There was a move above 1.1550 and a connecting bearish trend line at 1.1580. The pair surpassed the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1826 swing high to the 1.1507 low. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 50% Fib retracement at 1.1665.

The first major hurdle for the bulls could be 1.1705. A break above 1.1705 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1775.

If not, the pair might drop again. Immediate support is near the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1620. The next key area of interest might be 1.1565. If there is a downside break below 1.1565, the pair could drop towards 1.1505. The main target for the bears on the EUR/USD chart could be 1.1440, below which the pair could start a major decline.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

USD/JPY Approaches Key Resistance Level



The USD/JPY chart shows a bullish trend at the start of March, influenced by the escalation of military activity in the Middle East.
On one hand, the US dollar is strengthening due to increased demand for safe-haven assets. On the other, the Japanese economy is under pressure because of its heavy reliance on oil imports from the Middle East.
These factors have pushed the pair above 159.20 JPY per USD this week, surpassing the January high (point A). The 2026 peak lies nearby; however, technical analysis suggests that bullish momentum may be fading.




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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Oracle (ORCL) Shares Jump Above $160



Following a strong earnings report, Oracle shares surged above $160, marking roughly a 1.5-month high:
→ Earnings per share: expected $1.70, actual $1.79;
→ Revenue: expected $16.7bn, actual $17.2bn.
This is the first quarter in 15 years in which both revenue and earnings rose by more than 20%. Additional optimism came from:
→ Cloud infrastructure revenue, which jumped 84% to $4.9bn;
→ Oracle confirming a five-year, $300bn deal with OpenAI (Project Stargate);
→ Total backlog (future revenue) surpassing $553bn.


These developments have the potential to significantly ease downward pressure on ORCL shares, which had been in a downtrend following a record high last autumn.
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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

USD/JPY and USD/CAD Continue to Rise Ahead of Key Data Releases



The US dollar continues to strengthen against major counterparts as markets await important macroeconomic data scheduled for release in the coming hours. Investors are focusing on US GDP figures, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, and Canada’s labour market statistics. These releases could significantly influence expectations regarding the future policy path of the Federal Reserve and set the tone for currency market movements.

The strengthening of the US currency has also been supported by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Over the past 24 hours, the conflict involving Iran, the US, and Israel has intensified, leading to a sharp rise in oil prices and increased demand for safe-haven assets. Reports indicate strikes on tankers in the region, along with conflicting information about the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Rising energy prices and heightened geopolitical risks are supporting the dollar as demand for liquid defensive assets increases. At the same time, market participants remain cautious ahead of key data releases that could alter expectations for interest rates.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

US Dollar Index (DXY) Rises Above the 100 Level


Today the US Dollar Index (DXY) climbed above the psychological 100 mark for the first time in 2026, supported by a tense fundamental backdrop, with the military conflict in the Middle East acting as the main driver.
→ Financial market participants are selling riskier assets (such as equities and emerging market currencies) and reallocating funds into the US dollar, which is traditionally viewed as a safe haven during periods of war.
→ Iran’s statements about potentially closing the Strait of Hormuz, along with strikes on fuel infrastructure, are driving oil prices higher and increasing global inflation risks.
→ The strength of the US economy is also supporting the dollar. Yesterday’s labour market data showed no increase in unemployment.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Netflix (NFLX) Shares Pull Back After a 30% Surge



On 21 January, while analysing the NFLX chart, we:
→ identified a descending channel and a resistance zone around the $100 level;
→ noted that Netflix shares were showing a sustained downtrend. Selling pressure had been triggered primarily by reports of a potential acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery assets, with the market concerned that Netflix might take on multi‑billion-dollar debt and face intense antitrust scrutiny.
Since then, the situation has shifted markedly. After reaching the lower boundary of the channel near $75, the stock reversed higher, following Netflix’s official announcement that it was walking away from the deal, opting to preserve capital rather than pursue a risky expansion. This sparked a strong relief rally: NFLX shares gapped up significantly and moved into the upper half of the channel.
Further bullish momentum was driven by analyst upgrades, with target prices revised upwards, suggesting a potential transition into a new uptrend.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Market Insights with Gary Thomson: Where Are Oil, Gas & Global Indices Heading?


In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for insights into financial markets to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson looks at the key themes traders may monitor in the coming days. Recent developments in energy markets and rising volatility across global equity indices may play an important role in shaping market sentiment in the week ahead.

Key topics covered in this episode:
- Energy Markets
Energy markets remain highly sensitive to the US–Iran conflict, as disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz push oil prices higher and raise concerns about global supply. Even after the IEA’s record oil release, traders remain skeptical that it will fully offset potential supply shortages. Natural gas markets in Europe and Asia have also surged due to fears over LNG flows from the Gulf region. If disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz persist, could energy prices rise further?

- Global Stock Indices
Global equity markets have become highly volatile after the escalation of the US–Iran conflict, as investors moved away from risk assets. Major indices such as the KOSPI, Nikkei 225, and Euro Stoxx 50 posted sharp declines, reflecting rising geopolitical uncertainty and concerns about higher energy prices. Will geopolitical tensions and rising energy costs continue to pressure global stock markets in the coming days?

In summary, traders will focus on two main themes during the week ahead: developments in oil and natural gas markets and volatility across global equity indices.
Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.

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Disclaimer: This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Market Analysis: EUR/USD Reclaims Ground While USD/JPY Momentum Fades


EUR/USD is recovering losses from 1.1500. USD/JPY is correcting gains from 159.00 and might decline further if it stays below 158.30.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY Analysis Today

- The Euro struggled to stay in a positive zone and declined below 1.1700 before finding support.
- There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 1.1580 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
- USD/JPY started a decent increase above 157.00 before the bears appeared near 158.90.
- There is a key contracting triangle forming with resistance near 158.30 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from 1.1825. The Euro declined below 1.1750 and 1.1700 against the US Dollar.
The pair even declined below 1.1665 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1500 zone. A low was formed at 1.1507, and the pair is now recovering losses. There was a move above 1.1550 and a connecting bearish trend line at 1.1580.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Gold Price Falls to a Monthly Low



As the XAU/USD chart shows, gold prices today dropped below the 3 March low, reaching levels last seen in the third week of February.

Why Is Gold Declining Despite the War?
Geopolitical turmoil typically supports demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, in the current environment — with the Middle East conflict now lasting more than two weeks — the surge in oil prices and the associated inflation risks have moved to the forefront.
Market participants appear to believe that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer. This increases the attractiveness of US dollar-denominated instruments, particularly US Treasuries and money market assets. Rising yields on US government bonds confirm this shift in expectations and simultaneously weigh on gold, which does not generate interest income.




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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

XTI/USD Chart Analysis: WTI Oil Price Fluctuates Near $100



For the third Monday in a row, trading in the oil market has opened with a bullish gap, although this time it is not as wide as the gap seen, for example, on 9 March. The reason for the volatility is clear — the ongoing military conflict in the Middle East, with no visible signs of de-escalation so far.
According to the latest media reports:
→ the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed;
→ over the weekend the United States struck Iran’s Kharg Island, a key hub for the country’s oil export infrastructure;
→ Iran launched an attack on the oil port of Fujairah in the UAE.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

The ICT Silver Bullet Trading Strategy: Mechanics and Application


The ICT Silver Bullet strategy is a short-term trading approach derived from the Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology. It focuses on identifying high-probability price movements that tend to occur during specific intraday trading windows, particularly around the London and New York sessions.

Unlike many conventional forex trading strategies that rely primarily on indicators, the Silver Bullet strategy emphasises market structure, liquidity pools, and fair value gaps (FVGs) to identify potential entry points. By concentrating on defined time windows and liquidity-driven price movements, traders attempt to capture short-term market inefficiencies that may appear during periods of increased institutional activity.

In this article, we explain what the ICT Silver Bullet strategy is, how it works, and how traders analyse price action, liquidity, and fair value gaps when applying this method in forex markets.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Diamond Chart Pattern: Structure and Market Context



The diamond chart pattern is a technical analysis formation that appears on price charts after a strong trend and often signals a trend reversal. The structure consists of a broadening phase (higher highs and lower lows) followed by a contracting phase (lower highs and higher lows), creating a shape that resembles a diamond. Traders analyse this pattern to identify trend exhaustion, breakout levels, and possible changes in market direction.

This article explains the structure of the diamond chart pattern, the market psychology behind it, and how to trade the diamond pattern.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Set a March High


Nvidia shares experienced heightened volatility yesterday, with the price jumping to a March high during the Nvidia GTC 2026 conference, where Jensen Huang made several major announcements. According to media reports:

→ Nvidia unveiled a next-generation platform named after the astronomer Vera Rubin. The new chips are designed for “agentic AI” (AI agents).
→ The company expects total orders for current-generation AI systems (Blackwell) and next-generation systems (Vera Rubin) to reach $1 trillion by 2027. This is double the company’s previous $500 billion forecast announced earlier.
→ Huang also noted that market demand is shifting. While chips were previously purchased mainly for training AI models, demand is now increasingly driven by companies such as OpenAI, Meta and Anthropic, which must serve hundreds of millions of users in real time.
As the NVDA chart shows, the share price rose above the $188.50 level, but later pulled back, which may suggest excessive optimism among buyers and aggressive selling pressure.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

EUR/USD Chart Analysis: Pair Recovers Ahead of Fed News


On 10 March, analysing the EUR/USD chart, we:
→ considered the long-term descending channel, which remains relevant;
→ noted that the sequence of lower lows A–H was broken with the appearance of a higher peak I, with 1.1680 potentially acting as resistance.

At peak I, bulls exhausted their strength: after forming a consolidation zone near the channel’s median, bears regained control and pushed the price to a new yearly low, driven by a bearish fundamental backdrop.

Tomorrow, the Fed is expected to release its interest rate decision, while the ECB will issue comments the day after. These events could significantly shift market sentiment regarding EUR/USD, and current price behaviour suggests that bulls may attempt a comeback.


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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

USD/JPY and USD/CAD Near Key Levels Ahead of Central Bank Meetings



The US dollar is trading mixed against its major counterparts following a sustained rally last week. The market is now entering a phase of moderate correction, as investors adopt a wait-and-see approach ahead of key macroeconomic releases and central bank decisions that could determine the next direction in the FX market.
Market participants are focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve decision, updated FOMC economic projections, and the Bank of Canada meeting. Additional influence is coming from US inflation and producer price data, as well as statistics on industrial orders and commodity markets.

Geopolitical tensions remain another source of uncertainty, continuing to impact commodity markets and demand for safe-haven assets. Reports of renewed escalation in the Middle East and risks to energy supply routes are increasing volatility in the oil market, which in turn directly affects the Canadian dollar.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.