{quote} Congratulations. And thanks for sharing. Looking forward to your insight for next week.
EUR/USD - GBP/USD -- Clean Price Action(no indicators)
- #222
- Mar 16, 2026 2:39am Mar 16, 2026 2:39am
- Joined Dec 2025 | Status: Trader | 2,529 Posts
{quote} Possible range before FOMC imo {image} {image}
I like if we swipe monday high after close, fill in the FVG that we create(depends how Monday close)
The bottom lines are my final targets on GU, or as close to them as possible.
I will let Monday do its thing and think of a good play to catch the top, but FOMC is dangerous, I want it to be a driving force to dump, not stay close to Monday range, this is preferable.
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #225
- Mar 17, 2026 11:49am Mar 17, 2026 11:49am
- Joined Dec 2025 | Status: Trader | 2,529 Posts
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #227
- Mar 18, 2026 2:08pm Mar 18, 2026 2:08pm
- Joined Dec 2025 | Status: Trader | 2,529 Posts
Entered right before FOMC and caught a position close to the top of FOMC.
- Entered before in case it dropped straight down(based on TA)
- Filled my biggest position inside previous weeks NWOG (new week opening gap) around the top of FOMC wick and inside 2H FVG
--- red lines are short, bottom green lines are TP - in total 3 positions to put resting TP orders instead of manual trade.
(
1H GU)
- Entered before in case it dropped straight down(based on TA)
- Filled my biggest position inside previous weeks NWOG (new week opening gap) around the top of FOMC wick and inside 2H FVG
--- red lines are short, bottom green lines are TP - in total 3 positions to put resting TP orders instead of manual trade.
(
1H GU) A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #228
- Mar 20, 2026 4:00am Mar 20, 2026 4:00am
- Joined Dec 2025 | Status: Trader | 2,529 Posts
Entered right before FOMC and caught a position close to the top of FOMC. - Entered before in case it dropped straight down(based on TA) - Filled my biggest position inside previous weeks NWOG (new week opening gap) around the top of FOMC wick and inside 2H FVG --- red lines are short, bottom green lines are TP - in total 3 positions to put resting TP orders instead of manual trade. {image} (
only came back late night right before daily close.Position is currently underwater and im looking for an exit and managing the loss as best as possible, because friday and weekly close approaching.
Was 600e positive, now under water that amount.
I am still bearish, as price is currently within the range, just an ugly stop hunt - if my analysis is still correct.
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #229
- Mar 20, 2026 9:52am Mar 20, 2026 9:52am
- Joined Dec 2025 | Status: Trader | 2,529 Posts
{quote} Had an emergency all yesterday, forgot to move stops, was too focused on the prize
- Blue line was my invalidation, which price came close to
- Very bad management, I should have been stopped out yesterday at break even or even taken some partials, as price moved almost 100 pips in my favor
- Day P/L reflect underwater position upon yesterdays close price, I did not make 990e in profits, just negative profit turned into 0 profit.
- This time I was lucky, because in the event of being wrong, this could have cost me 1k - any trader letting a 600e profit turn into 1k loss need to check-himself.
---- Next week should be better, since the ugly work was done this week.
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #231
- Mar 22, 2026 1:44pm Mar 22, 2026 1:44pm
- Joined Dec 2025 | Status: Trader | 2,529 Posts
A simple top down technical analysis: GU (Cable)
Weekly:
Lethargic and choppy last week, which is common given our break of range to the downside the week earlier.
- First week of March, we broke the weekly structure with a wick, week after, price violated the wicks low and had body close, confirming the break of structure(chart 1)
- Last weeks price action, price peaked perfectly touching consequent encroachment (equilibrium) of the weekly breaker and rejected (chart 1) - sensitive!
(GU 1 week Chart 1)
Daily:
- On Wednesday, price touched the closest bearish FVG and rejected (very sensitive, which is what you want), however, on Thursday, price reversed taking out the weekly highs, including disrespecting the bearish FVG and closed above. (chart 2) - reaching consequent encroachment (equilibrium) of the weekly breaker (chart 1)
- In this instance, the bearish FVG gets inverted (becomes bullish) , if approached, it should act as a catapult for another leg up - instead, price broke down and closed below it (chart 2)
(GU 1 Day Chart 2)
--- Although we do have relative equal highs on top (chart 2), the fact that price did not push higher or give indication of wanting to do so, by maybe having an indecisive close or a strong close on Friday, adds another confluence that the trend is still intact and Thursday was a brutal stop hunt.
--- When a weekly BOS happens, 4h BOS opposing the trend provides less emphasis - however, BOS in sync HTF trend are very valuable.
--- Market makers do like to bait retail traders, by encouraging them to counter the HTF trend by dangling a liquidity pool which is commonly raided (double top) or BOS on LTF (to run liquidity) - YES, the game is rigged!
------------- With all that said, I dont view next weeks weekly candle to be an obvious red candle.
-- DXY is still ranging, it could break down and run some liquidity, providing little relief for GU, however, I am not flipping trend until I see a remarkable shift in price action on DXY and GU
- Making the safest play for the new week in analyzing Monday's price action and see what price try to tell us.
Notice: I did not analyze DXY, which is my main compass usually, because DXY currently its still ranging - Thursdays price action on DXY made much more sense than on GU, it both ran liquidity and filled a volume imbalance from the week earlier - USD/JAP had a pretty good recovery on Friday from its Thursday dump.
Bonus Chart 3 - GU 4H: This is what I am anticipating - something along this line, maybe on GU CPI Wednesday, this will be catalyst for dump? personally I dont want the price to hover close to the liquidity pool (doubel top) at the top when CPI is close by.
***** I will read through this couple of times after publishing and edit the typos and mistakes ****
(GU 4H Bonus Chart 3)
Weekly:
Lethargic and choppy last week, which is common given our break of range to the downside the week earlier.
- First week of March, we broke the weekly structure with a wick, week after, price violated the wicks low and had body close, confirming the break of structure(chart 1)
- Last weeks price action, price peaked perfectly touching consequent encroachment (equilibrium) of the weekly breaker and rejected (chart 1) - sensitive!
(GU 1 week Chart 1)Daily:
- On Wednesday, price touched the closest bearish FVG and rejected (very sensitive, which is what you want), however, on Thursday, price reversed taking out the weekly highs, including disrespecting the bearish FVG and closed above. (chart 2) - reaching consequent encroachment (equilibrium) of the weekly breaker (chart 1)
- In this instance, the bearish FVG gets inverted (becomes bullish) , if approached, it should act as a catapult for another leg up - instead, price broke down and closed below it (chart 2)
(GU 1 Day Chart 2)--- Although we do have relative equal highs on top (chart 2), the fact that price did not push higher or give indication of wanting to do so, by maybe having an indecisive close or a strong close on Friday, adds another confluence that the trend is still intact and Thursday was a brutal stop hunt.
--- When a weekly BOS happens, 4h BOS opposing the trend provides less emphasis - however, BOS in sync HTF trend are very valuable.
--- Market makers do like to bait retail traders, by encouraging them to counter the HTF trend by dangling a liquidity pool which is commonly raided (double top) or BOS on LTF (to run liquidity) - YES, the game is rigged!
------------- With all that said, I dont view next weeks weekly candle to be an obvious red candle.
-- DXY is still ranging, it could break down and run some liquidity, providing little relief for GU, however, I am not flipping trend until I see a remarkable shift in price action on DXY and GU
- Making the safest play for the new week in analyzing Monday's price action and see what price try to tell us.
Notice: I did not analyze DXY, which is my main compass usually, because DXY currently its still ranging - Thursdays price action on DXY made much more sense than on GU, it both ran liquidity and filled a volume imbalance from the week earlier - USD/JAP had a pretty good recovery on Friday from its Thursday dump.
Bonus Chart 3 - GU 4H: This is what I am anticipating - something along this line, maybe on GU CPI Wednesday, this will be catalyst for dump? personally I dont want the price to hover close to the liquidity pool (doubel top) at the top when CPI is close by.
***** I will read through this couple of times after publishing and edit the typos and mistakes ****
(GU 4H Bonus Chart 3)
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #233
- Mar 23, 2026 3:44am Mar 23, 2026 3:44am
- Joined Dec 2025 | Status: Trader | 2,529 Posts
{quote} Once again I missed buy with my stupid limit orders. I dont just know how to fix thisBuy limit orders deleted {image}
In any case, price will be sensitive when touching those areas and you would want to scale your orders accordingly: 1 at the top edge, barely inside of the box and down all the way to consequential encroachment(50% level) this way you at least get some filled.
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #235
- Mar 23, 2026 7:06am Mar 23, 2026 7:06am
- Joined Dec 2025 | Status: Trader | 2,529 Posts
{quote} After deleting the buy limit orders and then this {image}
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #236
- Edited 7:31am Mar 23, 2026 7:16am | Edited 7:31am
- Joined Dec 2025 | Status: Trader | 2,529 Posts
Could have been worst!!
I moved one short order I had already placed at the daily FVG, trying to catch liquidity on LTF(1min), I promise on my life I moved the order 10 seconds before the pump, I did not even get to edit my SL - once I pushed confirm I noticed the order was 80e underwater, I thought something was glitching and closed the app - reopened and saw this huge green 160 pip 2 minute candle.
10 seconds!! I was looking for something small, 3-4 pip move to run liquidity
I moved one short order I had already placed at the daily FVG, trying to catch liquidity on LTF(1min), I promise on my life I moved the order 10 seconds before the pump, I did not even get to edit my SL - once I pushed confirm I noticed the order was 80e underwater, I thought something was glitching and closed the app - reopened and saw this huge green 160 pip 2 minute candle.
10 seconds!! I was looking for something small, 3-4 pip move to run liquidity A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
- #237
- Mar 23, 2026 9:34am Mar 23, 2026 9:34am
- Joined Dec 2025 | Status: Trader | 2,529 Posts
Could have been worst!! I moved one short order I had already placed at the daily FVG, trying to catch liquidity on LTF(1min), I promise on my life I moved the order 10 seconds before the pump, I did not even get to edit my SL - once I pushed confirm I noticed the order was 80e underwater, I thought something was glitching and closed the app - reopened and saw this huge green 160 pip 2 minute candle.
Ate a big!
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
