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  • #1,981
  • Mar 14, 2026 8:11pm Mar 14, 2026 8:11pm
After it broke the low it ran for another $5,000

Another $5,000 from the highs here puts us at 79k.

Should be finding out very shortly if this is going to happen
  • #1,982
  • Mar 14, 2026 8:41pm Mar 14, 2026 8:41pm
Look at this. Notice where I am taking the points for extension from in these charts. Same structural spots.

Want to catch the whole move target 87k

All charts are inverted BTW in this. Sorry about that, Im weird
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  • #1,983
  • Mar 14, 2026 8:48pm Mar 14, 2026 8:48pm
Not realistic to expect an exact repeat in reverse with all that said, but its interesting to me.

And there is the famous saying, "history does not repeat itself, but it often rhymes".

Lets see what happens
  • #1,984
  • Mar 15, 2026 12:44am Mar 15, 2026 12:44am
Guys. hold your Longs on BTC, DXY has reached 100.5 Last Friday. the last time it reach this price was on 17.November.2025, and BTC is at 93k. I think the real support in BTC happen already around 60K. So hold your longs, youll be profitable longterm
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There is Time for Bull, and Time for Bear. and so be the Wolf.
  • #1,985
  • Mar 15, 2026 7:27am Mar 15, 2026 7:27am
Quoting Zappa
{quote} So you are scaling in as it goes against you without using leverage and its been working for you. I used to know a trader that did that and he seemed to do pretty well with it to. I never preferred that approach, but if its working for you then keep it going! I use leverage, but not always, and if I do I use very tight stops. Never more than 3x leverage. Drawdowns can be catastrophic. Must be VERY careful. In my younger days I blew up many....MANY...accounts using too much leverage (and really not that good a trader either). Id occasionally...
If you use hard stops and do not change them - i.e. set a stop loss from the beginning - high leverage is not a problem because you know how much you are going to lose from the start. And the amount you lose on each trade should not be very high, otherwise a long losing streak will destroy your account beyond repair.

The problem is using high leverage with "dynamic" stops, if the market goes against you more than you expect you could end up trapped and eventually be liquidated.
  • #1,986
  • Mar 15, 2026 10:02am Mar 15, 2026 10:02am
Quoting BlueKnight
{quote} If you use hard stops and do not change them - i.e. set a stop loss from the beginning - high leverage is not a problem because you know how much you are going to lose from the start. And the amount you lose on each trade should not be very high, otherwise a long losing streak will destroy your account beyond repair. The problem is using high leverage with "dynamic" stops, if the market goes against you more than you expect you could end up trapped and eventually be liquidated.
100%
  • #1,987
  • Mar 15, 2026 10:04am Mar 15, 2026 10:04am
We in for a wild week?

If so this broken trendline might come back into play.
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  • #1,988
  • Mar 15, 2026 10:11am Mar 15, 2026 10:11am
This looks very possible to me after last night's analysis. Might be some profit taking around 76-78. Will take off that extra 1/4 size position I added there and let the rest run unless I see something that changes my mind.
  • #1,989
  • Mar 15, 2026 10:25am Mar 15, 2026 10:25am
Another look from daily chart inverted
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  • #1,990
  • Mar 15, 2026 10:31am Mar 15, 2026 10:31am
Wouldnt be surprised to see it come all the way back to 67-69k after that, actually kind of expecting that, but let's see if this even happens first.

If it does come back to 67-69k, wont be a straight shot I dont think. Will need to go through some smaller waves (consolidation) first, but im getting way ahead of myself
  • #1,991
  • Mar 15, 2026 3:12pm Mar 15, 2026 3:12pm
BTC heading to test resistance 76-78k, a base above will take it high again..but better wait for a base above 80k as it's a psychological level no more no less...meanwhile 60k closing up as support.
Trading D/W/M Charts. https://www.cashbackforex.com/#aid_10611
  • #1,992
  • Mar 15, 2026 3:22pm Mar 15, 2026 3:22pm
Consolidating before next leg up...
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  • #1,993
  • Mar 15, 2026 4:06pm Mar 15, 2026 4:06pm
Gotta admire how creative the market/manipulators (im not sure myself) can be. Its amazing and funny if your not falling for it.

So we did get a gap higher, but only by $1,300. Not a big gap, but still big enough to entice the gap traders to try to fade it. Easy money right?

So it fills halfway then bolts for the highs

I guess the big gap trick is still too early to try again after using it in Feb 1st.

What i think happens is the traders see a big gap and try to fade it, but keep getting stopped which provides fuel to go opposite direction. So of course the market/manipulators use that trick before a big move.

Here is chart of CME Bitcoin futures for reference on where the gap was.

Nothing is easy folks, haha. If it looks easy, its probably a trap
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  • #1,994
  • Mar 15, 2026 4:14pm Mar 15, 2026 4:14pm
The thing is, almost all gaps do get filled eventually, but when is the question. Most gaps do get filled pretty quickly, and even fairly large gaps can get filled within a couple weeks. Its the really big gaps that can take much longer.

Then you have the gap like tonight, where its big enough to entice traders to try and fade it, but its a trap and blows up in their face.

Even if bitcoin comes back from here to fill it before taking off, its still a shitty r/r trade if they are still in it
  • #1,995
  • Mar 15, 2026 10:09pm Mar 15, 2026 10:09pm
If the market follows history, like on March 4-5, we should be experiencing a strong bullish move...
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  • #1,996
  • Mar 16, 2026 4:37am Mar 16, 2026 4:37am
Quoting arnabtrading
If the market follows history, like on March 4-5, we should be experiencing a strong bullish move... {image}
I do not think it is going to break those levels that easily.
  • #1,997
  • Mar 16, 2026 6:15am Mar 16, 2026 6:15am
Might see a reaction at 77k that brings back close to 75k
  • #1,998
  • Mar 16, 2026 8:24am Mar 16, 2026 8:24am
Looks like a little scare we just had to get any weak bulls to think we're going to repeat Friday....not falling for it myself, though it probably shouldn't go to 72,900 from here.

We get a pop to 76k here and I'll lock in some profit by moving stop to 72,900

This trendline should act like a magnet
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  • #1,999
  • Mar 16, 2026 8:32am Mar 16, 2026 8:32am
Going for bigger moves is like taking a long voyage on a ship. It aint going to be a smooth sailing the whole time. Gotta tough it out with some of the rough waters if you want to reach the destination.

Now sometimes the water is too rough and you jump on the life raft (stop loss to lock in some profit) or you go down with the ship. Its not usually an easy call, but trading aint easy
  • #2,000
  • Mar 16, 2026 11:15am Mar 16, 2026 11:15am
Looking out waaay ahead, if this is true bear market (not just a correction) and the cycle lasts as long as the other ones have, we're looking at a final bottom late this year. I can see some complicated structure like this through the summer months, then a final selloff to scare the hell out of bulls.

I know..."let's see if it even goes to 76k first buddy,"..haha. Its true, getting way ahead of myself, but I do try to be a few steps ahead if I can be. Always good to consider all possibilities, of which there are many, but also use some logic as well to narrow it down a little.

Always much easier....not easy, but easier...to see what the next move is as the market unfolds. But not a bad practice to try and forecast out a bit as Ive said before
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