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  • #19,341
  • Mar 13, 2026 2:49am Mar 13, 2026 2:49am
Update at 1 hour
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  • #19,342
  • Mar 13, 2026 3:21am Mar 13, 2026 3:21am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Update at 1 hour {image}
You think up to 1,1507?
  • #19,343
  • Mar 13, 2026 3:31am Mar 13, 2026 3:31am
Quoting johncen
{quote} option 1 playing out if 1500 taken. And it does not mean we will bounce at 1470, may continue to slide for some
that is done to me, we never know when is the bottom but technically to me this round is done, expect a bounce before visiting 1390.
not gonna trade today, will monitor weekly close to see what next.
now daily structure has changed, strategy remains to reload sell as high as i can.

have a lovely weekend guys
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,344
  • Mar 13, 2026 3:55am Mar 13, 2026 3:55am
Quoting Insider00
{quote} You think up to 1,1507?
Yes in case friday volatility hits later at and after us news.
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  • #19,345
  • Edited 8:07am Mar 13, 2026 7:46am | Edited 8:07am
Head and shoulders..... More trapped Bulls
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  • #19,346
  • Mar 13, 2026 8:31am Mar 13, 2026 8:31am
I think its safe to say the Bulls that jumped in at THE London Session Open who went back to sleep are going to need it this weekend?
  • #19,347
  • Mar 13, 2026 8:41am Mar 13, 2026 8:41am
Quoting Twocans
I think its safe to say the Bulls that jumped in at THE London Session Open who went back to sleep are going to need it this weekend?
A single mine at the strait can create a 100 pips gap at the opening. Not a good idea to be long right now!
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  • #19,348
  • Mar 13, 2026 8:45am Mar 13, 2026 8:45am
Quoting johncen
{quote} Yea daily level breakout point so bear will aim to get a daily close below
We're going lower and more fresh bulls from the London session covering will push it down harder... IMHO Shorts piling in near the low
  • #19,349
  • Mar 13, 2026 9:10am Mar 13, 2026 9:10am
Bulls trapped again and again. Bear will try to close the week below 1467.
if there is a bounce, it will only happen bext week i believe
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,350
  • Edited 11:15am Mar 13, 2026 10:51am | Edited 11:15am
Quoting johncen
Bulls trapped again and again. Bear will try to close the week below 1467. if there is a bounce, it will only happen bext week i believe
Since the multi year HIGH mid January in just six weeks the entire last SIX MONTHS of price action has gone 100% Bearish. Large institutions like Central Banks with Higher Time Frame rotation cannot move in and out like Market Makers that can 'rebalance' their holdings like the overnight manipulation we have seen repeatedly. Especially weekends, a 'gap up and a 'gap down' the past two weekends reopening. Sunday night coming will likely be more of the same. Once again, Deja Vu all over again, we are essentially right back where price was when London opened EXCEPT more Bulls getting the 'short end' of the stick again and again. Say it one more time; this Daily Edit: WEEKLY Chart looks like a Nasdaq Micro Cap 'Pump and Dump' piece of dog shit and turning it around except for more traps gets harder and harder as the pain becomes un'bear'able.
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  • #19,351
  • Mar 13, 2026 11:33am Mar 13, 2026 11:33am
Quoting Twocans
{quote} Since the multi year HIGH mid January in just six weeks the entire last SIX MONTHS of price action has gone 100% Bearish. Large institutions like Central Banks with Higher Time Frame rotation cannot move in and out like Market Makers that can 'rebalance' their holdings like the overnight manipulation we have seen repeatedly. Especially weekends, a 'gap up and a 'gap down' the past two weekends reopening. Sunday night coming will likely be more of the same. Once again, Deja Vu all over again, we are essentially right back where price was...
not disagreeing with you. Just my bear target for this leg is done. I wait for a pull back to reload
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,352
  • Mar 13, 2026 12:53pm Mar 13, 2026 12:53pm
Usdx also broke the Nov high
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,353
  • Edited 1:10pm Mar 13, 2026 1:00pm | Edited 1:10pm
Quoting johncen
Usdx also broke the Nov high
If E/U continues to slide into the close I will be watching to take a Long when the Market reopens while MM's are rebalancing their sell positions today using a M2 chart with 8-20 MA's as a "fence" and flip if it does just the opposite of today and still ends with more trapped bulls... ?? Gotta love the volatility!
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  • #19,354
  • Mar 14, 2026 1:14am Mar 14, 2026 1:14am
The EUR/USD failed to hold the psychological 1.1600 level earlier this week, accelerating lower to 1.1411 before closing near its lows. Resistance in the 1.1490-1.1507 zone is currently pinning the pair in an aggressive downtrend, with the next critical support found between 1.1400 and 1.1391. If this zone fails to hold, a deeper drop toward 1.1300 is expected, with intermediate support at 1.1355. Buyers need a decisive break above 1.1507 to reach the next target at the 1.1555/76 resistance zone, which previously supported the pair.


Weekly volatility (range) 147 pips

Significant news - US Industrial Production, US PPI, US Factory Orders, US Interest Rate Decision,
US Initial Jobless Claims & ECB Interest Rate.


Have great weekend!

Daily
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  • #19,355
  • Mar 14, 2026 1:45am Mar 14, 2026 1:45am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD failed to hold the psychological 1.1600 level earlier this week, accelerating lower to 1.1411 before closing near its lows. Resistance in the 1.1490-1.1507 zone is currently pinning the pair in an aggressive downtrend, with the next critical support found between 1.1400 and 1.1391. If this zone fails to hold, a deeper drop toward 1.1300 is expected, with intermediate support at 1.1355. Buyers need a decisive break above 1.1507 to reach the next target at the 1.1555/76 resistance zone, which previously supported the pair. Weekly volatility...
We see continue escalation in the Middle East, petrol price in my area up at least 30% already, govt start discussing about restricting ppl to go out to save fuels. Will we see another gap down?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,356
  • Mar 14, 2026 10:43am Mar 14, 2026 10:43am
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Looking for the 38% in the 1.1250 target before we get a pullback from downtrend. A lot of movers caught on wrong side as the table pounding trade for 2026 in international markets. The need to hedge exposure plus the reset in rate cuts expectation and wars are supercharging this move into USD. My green monthly candle prediction is rapidly disappearing. Adding to shorty early in next week. Or maybe I will just trim the hedges.

Happy trades to you,
NB
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #19,357
  • Mar 15, 2026 1:21am Mar 15, 2026 1:21am
Quoting johncen
{quote} mate where is our 1.12 bear target?
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} no hurry i ll have it. Maybe one day u ll learn to wait months before a target instead of living just eating crumbs
from here it doesn't look so far anymore
chaos is just unknown order
  • #19,358
  • Mar 15, 2026 2:32am Mar 15, 2026 2:32am
Watching the middle east closely as eu might find some temporary support at around 1.1400. The weekend EURUSD market seem quiet this weekend but gaps can still come at the weekly opening! This week also will be huge from central banks interest rates decisions so having in mind the volatility all the events will create I wait for the price to retrace at the 1.1490-1.1500 band and will then decide. Asset managers (the smart money) started selling and dealers seem to unload selling orders as the price moves down so this is the safest play unless the conditions in middle east change.
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  • #19,359
  • Mar 15, 2026 9:26pm Mar 15, 2026 9:26pm
1 Aug low 1.1391 is the next critical support for EU but i am thinking it will act as a strong support for now.

we are oversold and have broke below Nov low to get a structure change on daily level so we may see a pull back soon (don’t know from where and when) before next leg down

while situation in Iran continues to escalate fundies supporting further downward movement so bull still very fragile.

if we get a close above 1.1489… bull is probably safer

1530 1570 could trigger next leg down
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,360
  • Edited Mar 16, 2026 1:10am Mar 15, 2026 9:32pm | Edited Mar 16, 2026 1:10am
The EUR/USD is trading above 1.1400 after a shallow recovery during the Asian session, but resistance at 1.1490-1.1507 is capping any meaningful correction higher. I expect downside pressure to persist, with the risk that the 1.1391 support breaks, leading the pair toward 1.1355.

Daily volatility (range) 68 pips

Significant news - US Industrial Production


Have great week!

1H
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