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  • #126,961
  • Mar 11, 2026 4:58pm Mar 11, 2026 4:58pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} i m getting mixed signals - short term remain bearish but higher tf is a good spot to buy
Its hard to see this sometimes. Right now pa is below the year, it also is below 1578. Sustained below should be bearish. Earlier pa was near the week high. Its less a viable short than when it was mentioned.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,962
  • Mar 11, 2026 5:30pm Mar 11, 2026 5:30pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its hard to see this sometimes. Right now pa is below the year, it also is below 1578. Sustained below should be bearish. Earlier pa was near the week high. Its less a viable short than when it was mentioned.
yea i have been expecting a retest to 1743 before coming back down but nope. I guess i will have to wait. I still expect a pull back
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,963
  • Mar 11, 2026 6:28pm Mar 11, 2026 6:28pm
Lets see. Israel bombs Irans oils facilities. Iran bombs regional oil facilities of their neighbors. Hurmuz closed is about 20% of the oil supply. I know oil dropped from the high this week. But why is it not 160 pb+. If you were Iran, what else would you bomb? In the desert maybe the desalination plants? I mean if Iran wants Putin to be happy. Make the demand for Russian oil higher. China will buy it. So will many more. More demand would help Russia. Russia in turn helps Iran. Ukraine killing Russian oil is a wildcard. Either way oil should rise.
The reprieve the last few days may reverse. The euro and gbp can slip with it. Equities world wide may suffer. The Cad may be the better bet.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,964
  • Mar 11, 2026 6:36pm Mar 11, 2026 6:36pm
Quoting gatorinla
Lets see. Israel bombs Irans oils facilities. Iran bombs regional oil facilities of their neighbors. Hurmuz closed is about 20% of the oil supply. I know oil dropped from the high this week. But why is it not 160 pb+. If you were Iran, what else would you bomb? In the desert maybe the desalination plants? I mean if Iran wants Putin to be happy. Make the demand for Russian oil higher. China will buy it. So will many more. More demand would help Russia. Russia in turn helps Iran. Ukraine killing Russian oil is a wildcard. Either way oil should rise....
yea this conflict is going to last long….
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,965
  • Mar 11, 2026 6:48pm Mar 11, 2026 6:48pm
the eur/aud looks very bullish on my 1h.. But this R is a place to beat or fail. The larger time frames are bearish. euro verses oil.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,966
  • Mar 11, 2026 9:28pm Mar 11, 2026 9:28pm
https://sana.sy/en/international/230...were%20damaged.
Iran hit the oil tanks. They can do more damage if they take out the gantries.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,967
  • Mar 12, 2026 10:36am Mar 12, 2026 10:36am
If the Iran situation would end today. It would not fix this. CF produces chemical fertilizers. CF is up 81% this year alone. This adds to the cost of food grown. added with fuel cost. equals inflation on steroids. Pain is coming world wide. More money spent on food (necessity), leaves less money spent on all other things.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,968
  • Mar 12, 2026 10:49am Mar 12, 2026 10:49am
Its looking like we are a year out from much higher beef prices. Much higher than today's. Add in the higher feed and transportation. It elevates even higher. Not long ago I could buy a day old dairy bulls.. For 5/10/25$, today they are 250 to 1200..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,969
  • Mar 12, 2026 5:20pm Mar 12, 2026 5:20pm
eu bear wants Nov low 1.1467 badly
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,970
  • Mar 12, 2026 6:17pm Mar 12, 2026 6:17pm
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,971
  • Mar 12, 2026 6:23pm Mar 12, 2026 6:23pm
Quoting Ferna
{quote} Are they doing the fake scarcity tricks like here in Sweden perhaps? Like they find a bird with salmonella, then they shoot 200 000 other birds to "make sure" and then they put chickens or eggs off the shelves for a couple of weeks, and then they are back with a 20% price increase of some unverifiable story.
Its true here.. Beef was high, grain was high. many sold beef at high prices instead of buying feed. Now the breed stock is down. Even as corn is falling. People are bidding up the prices to build heards. Between now then, there will be a domestic shortage. Now with less fertilizer and the sulfuric may drive the price even higher. Less cattle just adds to it.. Less sulfuric means less fertilizer, it means less copper plus. More expensive will be everything
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,972
  • Mar 13, 2026 2:58pm Mar 13, 2026 2:58pm
EU is still bearish to me, it may gap down. I closed 1421 to be safe. A possible re-entry 1530 short area as a sweep. 1560 area may resist next week. The week and day are bearish. The 4h and 1h have some divergence in the 1420 area. Not bullish looking, just to be safe over the weekend.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,973
  • Mar 13, 2026 3:01pm Mar 13, 2026 3:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
EU is still bearish to me, it may gap down. I closed 1421 to be safe. A possible re-entry 1530 short area as a sweep. 1560 area may resist next week. The week and day are bearish. The 4h and 1h have some divergence in the 1420 area. Not bullish looking, just to be safe over the weekend.
closing day and week below 1467 is significant. But i will not short here. I will wait for pull back. No sign though
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,974
  • Mar 13, 2026 3:04pm Mar 13, 2026 3:04pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} closing day and week below 1467 is significant. But i will not short here. I will wait for pull back. No sign though
It could re-test that area as R next week.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,975
  • Mar 13, 2026 3:07pm Mar 13, 2026 3:07pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It could re-test that area as R next week.
I would like to see 1670 at some point for the next leg down
not sure about 1743 yearly open
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,976
  • Edited 2:06am Mar 14, 2026 1:55am | Edited 2:06am
since the early 1970s every recession was started by a spike in petrol prices. With the exception of the largest spike. That one ended with no recession, and some all time low unemployment rates. with some all time high job creation. This may have forced the spike. But it didnt cause the normal 50 year recession trend after. The plane landed without a crash. This current year spike is probably going higher. Its a 40+% spike, but job creation is negative already. This time will not end with a safely landed plane. The history is "ALL" spikes in oil ended in recession. This is the spike already. Stagflation is a bitch. Young people have never lived through this. They may not see lower interest rates without 10$ apples.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,977
  • Mar 14, 2026 2:42am Mar 14, 2026 2:42am
Winning?
Near a 53% spike.
It seems large post operation obliteration.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,978
  • Mar 14, 2026 2:50am Mar 14, 2026 2:50am
knowledgeable former pilots speculating on the plane crash.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,979
  • Mar 14, 2026 3:07am Mar 14, 2026 3:07am
Quoting Ferna
{quote} Looks like it's a full invasion now. On monday only a few boots on the ground from the south. Now from all over the gulf and nw. They using kurds in the nw?
I don't know. I heard Isis is fighting Iran. Who really knows with the current idiot. He rewarded the guys who funded the 911 attacks. He helps all the USA enemies of the past decades, while fucking the USA allies. He is transactional to whoever gives his family personal wealth deals. Everything he does hurts the USA.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,980
  • Mar 14, 2026 3:11am Mar 14, 2026 3:11am
Situation continues to escalate with no sign of cooling down, may see another gap down unless something miracle happens
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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