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  • #3,661
  • Mar 6, 2026 7:39am Mar 6, 2026 7:39am
Quoting Fadhl
Good day! Very bad news from the war front. The Straight of Hormuz is completely closed... OIL is above 80...it will reach 115 and may be more is this last longer... Equities won't last longer at the current levels... a sell-off is expected at any moment. Today, we've NFP. Bad NFP (undershoot) will give the green light for the sell-off. NQ is making LL-HH at Daily TF. Looking for sell opportunities only. {image}
Awful undershoot NFP....A sell-off is expected.
  • #3,662
  • Edited 9:15am Mar 6, 2026 7:49am | Edited 9:15am
Short lmt at 24696
Short at 24636
stopped with -104points
  • #3,663
  • Mar 6, 2026 8:28am Mar 6, 2026 8:28am
NY is opening... Eyes on it.
  • #3,664
  • Mar 6, 2026 8:44am Mar 6, 2026 8:44am
Sold at 24690
  • #3,665
  • Mar 6, 2026 8:49am Mar 6, 2026 8:49am
VIX at 28... if it crosses 29, a panic sell-off will extend beyond Equities.
  • #3,666
  • Mar 6, 2026 8:58am Mar 6, 2026 8:58am
Quoting Fadhl
VIX at 28... if it crosses 29, a panic sell-off will extend beyond Equities.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: VIXH4.png Size: 84 KB
  • #3,667
  • Mar 6, 2026 9:02am Mar 6, 2026 9:02am
Quoting kette
{quote} {image}
The high is 28.57 TV.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: VIX_2026-03-06_10-01-03.png Size: 37 KB
  • #3,668
  • Mar 6, 2026 9:04am Mar 6, 2026 9:04am
Quoting Fadhl
Sold at 24690
Got 70 points.
The reaction is still very strong around 24600...Large hands are sitting there.
Will wait for a break there to jump in again.
  • #3,669
  • Edited 9:42am Mar 6, 2026 9:19am | Edited 9:42am
Short at 24755
out with -82points
  • #3,670
  • Mar 6, 2026 9:43am Mar 6, 2026 9:43am
If this H1 closes below 24866, I'll sell again.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2026-03-06_10-42-38.png Size: 44 KB

Better sell entry at 24916.
  • #3,671
  • Mar 6, 2026 10:09am Mar 6, 2026 10:09am
Quoting Fadhl
If this H1 closes below 24866, I'll sell again. {image} Better sell entry at 24916.
Closed below... I got half position at market 24866 and I added 2 another Sell Lmt orders at 24916; STP=24980; TPs= 24600; 24460; and 24160.
GL!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2026-03-06_11-18-23.png Size: 52 KB
  • #3,672
  • Mar 6, 2026 2:00pm Mar 6, 2026 2:00pm
Last active hour...still have my positions. Will close at TPs or prior market closes.
  • #3,673
  • Mar 6, 2026 2:37pm Mar 6, 2026 2:37pm
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} Closed below... I got half position at market 24866 and I added 2 another Sell Lmt orders at 24916; STP=24980; TPs= 24600; 24460; and 24160. GL! {image}
TP1 hit with 260 points... very nice. STP at BE for the last 25 min.
  • #3,674
  • Mar 6, 2026 2:40pm Mar 6, 2026 2:40pm
24600 will hold or not?
  • #3,675
  • Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm
Quoting Fadhl
24600 will hold or not?
It hold at the end.
Expecting large gap in the opening:
1- No tweet for diplomatic phase with Iran: Large gap down;
2- A tweet for diplomatic phase with Iran: Large gap up!
It was a nice day and week for me.
Have a great weekend!
  • #3,676
  • Mar 8, 2026 2:16pm Mar 8, 2026 2:16pm
Weekly Analysis!
Good week!
FA Analysis:
1- The war in the M.E is in the driver seat. Oil is leading all other assets. So far, US Equities were able to avoid a crash. But this won't last.
Without a change towards diplomatic negotiations, US equities will drop.
2- Oil will reach easily $115...some speculations are talking about $200!!! Crazy.
3- Recent macroeconomic data was bad; Inflation is moving up fueled by Oil prices... Hence the potential FED rate cut is fading out.
=) In conclusion, all FA data have a negative impact on equities and NQ.
=) NQ Direction is SOUTH.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2026-03-08_14-53-41.png Size: 53 KB
Weekly candle is irrelevant for the 4th week. NQ is ranging inside early February weekly candle.
This consolidation, this accumulation will make an insane move. In my view, the move should be South.
Daily TF:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2026-03-08_14-53-16.png Size: 44 KB
NQ is making LL-HH and potentially a new HL. It will depend on the opening and the daily close.
The daily candle is also irrelevant as it's an inside the previous daily candle (Wednesday candle).
=) In conclusion: From TA perspective, direction is not clear. Price is consolidating.
So based on FA data, the least resistance is South.
Have a great week with plenty of green pips. GL!
  • #3,677
  • Mar 9, 2026 6:46am Mar 9, 2026 6:46am
Good day!
Oil triggered a worldwide panic after reaching $119!!!
NQ opened with a gap creating a new LL.
So based on FA, direction is south unless a tweet on Iran-US diplomatic negotiations.
  • #3,678
  • Mar 9, 2026 11:02am Mar 9, 2026 11:02am
Quoting Fadhl
Good day! Oil triggered a worldwide panic after reaching $119!!! NQ opened with a gap creating a new LL. So based on FA, direction is south unless a tweet on Iran-US diplomatic negotiations.
Hello
Could you please explain why NQ is rising? I don't understand.
  • #3,679
  • Mar 9, 2026 11:12am Mar 9, 2026 11:12am
Quoting jjibl
{quote} Hello Could you please explain why NQ is rising? I don't understand.
Gap Fill, almost done
  • #3,680
  • Mar 9, 2026 11:17am Mar 9, 2026 11:17am
Quoting jjibl
{quote} Hello Could you please explain why NQ is rising? I don't understand.
Gap filled
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