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  • #19,221
  • Mar 3, 2026 8:48am Mar 3, 2026 8:48am
Quoting johncen
Got waken up by the price alert, last bear tp reached for this round! Last low back in Jan taken. This is significant
We are in the process of setting new lows for the year. The Trapped Bulls keep getting stuffed deeper and deeper in the "dog pile" or Bull Pile if you will. We may bounce off the low of day but there are a ton of sellers ready to get out up there, even from the London session.
  • #19,222
  • Mar 3, 2026 9:15am Mar 3, 2026 9:15am
Plenty of longs to dump (COT). 1.1500-1.1490 looks fisible
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,223
  • Mar 3, 2026 9:23am Mar 3, 2026 9:23am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Plenty of longs to dump (COT). 1.1500-1.1490 looks fisible
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  • #19,224
  • Mar 3, 2026 9:35am Mar 3, 2026 9:35am
Bounce! 1.1615/25 might cap but feels aggressive!
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  • #19,225
  • Mar 3, 2026 9:41am Mar 3, 2026 9:41am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Bounce! 1.1615/25 might cap but feels aggressive!
That 'feeling' is inducement. Like the plumber said to the electrician, 'I don't want to mess with something that can stare me in the face and bite me in the ass at the same time!'
  • #19,226
  • Mar 3, 2026 9:48am Mar 3, 2026 9:48am
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I was talking yesterday to another trader about the markets and why my trades weren't working. I had bought USD and shorted SPX (he shorted his favorite QQQ) and we were both baffled. Are we missing something? Was it different this time? I decided to stay short equites and long USD for another day. He took the loss and went to all cash.

Very happy that I held these positions as now the trade is doing what it should have done yesterday. DIVE, DIVE DIVE! It's the fear trade, delayed for a day

Ride this downtrend like a kid rides a pogo stick;-) It's payback time. Giddy-up!

Happy trades to you,
NB
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #19,227
  • Mar 3, 2026 10:15am Mar 3, 2026 10:15am
Quoting Twocans
{quote} That 'feeling' is inducement. Like the plumber said to the electrician, 'I don't want to mess with something that can stare me in the face and bite me in the ass at the same time!'
Trying to convince my self to add a short there, or get some support to do it if anyone sells. Buyers have the up hand here! Anyone selling!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,228
  • Mar 3, 2026 10:48am Mar 3, 2026 10:48am
Pure inducement
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  • #19,229
  • Mar 3, 2026 1:44pm Mar 3, 2026 1:44pm
wow what a move, we have done 250 pips already this week top to bottom. Was expecting 1670 1640 only but we ended up taken 1576 previous low. Now 1h looks like a strong bounce and we may see some further push up. Expected to be capped by 1743 though. 1640 - 70 first level
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,230
  • Mar 3, 2026 7:43pm Mar 3, 2026 7:43pm
Need this channel to be broken in order to go higher for the bulls
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,231
  • Mar 3, 2026 10:38pm Mar 3, 2026 10:38pm
The EUR/USD recovered after printing a low of 1.1530, subsequently consolidating in the 1.1600 zone, just below the 1.1625 high. Despite this recovery, the overall trend remains bearish. Resistance between 1.1668 and 1.1685 is currently capping any upward move toward 1.1700 or higher. On the downside, support at 1.1575 is preventing a drop toward the 1.1530 level and the 1.1500-1.1490 targets.

Daily volatility (range) 81 pips

Significant news - US ADP Employment Change


Have great day!


1H
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,232
  • Mar 3, 2026 11:46pm Mar 3, 2026 11:46pm
Quoting johncen
wow what a move, we have done 250 pips already this week top to bottom. Was expecting 1670 1640 only but we ended up taken 1576 previous low. Now 1h looks like a strong bounce and we may see some further push up. Expected to be capped by 1743 though. 1640 - 70 first level
Yea. I missed these moves by EU! 1.1500 looks hard for now but no-one guarantees that it will hold. I'm in a sell again targeting around 1.1470 low.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,233
  • Mar 4, 2026 12:06am Mar 4, 2026 12:06am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Yea. I missed these moves by EU! 1.1500 looks hard for now but no-one guarantees that it will hold. I'm in a sell again targeting around 1.1470 low.
unless we see a de-escalation the trend will be down. Stock markets taking opportunity to do long overdue correction which is supporting the dollars.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,234
  • Mar 4, 2026 12:49am Mar 4, 2026 12:49am
Quoting johncen
{quote} unless we see a de-escalation the trend will be down. Stock markets taking opportunity to do long overdue correction which is supporting the dollars.
We also hit weekly demand on eu but as you said in an above post overhead resistance at 1.1700 is hard now as the pair collapsed below.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,235
  • Edited 9:40pm Mar 4, 2026 12:53am | Edited 9:40pm
That "fear" is the results of Pain. The Bullish traders who drove the price to a multi year high starting around Jan 24th are ALL losing if they didn't cut and yesterday we undercut the pullback on Jan 18th. Why you see a little bounce here (Today) is due to the long term trend of the ERU/USD favoring Bulls on pullbacks for so long the response is practically 'hereditary'. That is OVER if/when we take out the Jan. 18th low again. The pain for the trapped Bulls even last week that got in at the open of the week last Sunday and even since several more times are begging Longs to rise up and rescue them from more losses. The charts don't hide behind any beliefs. Follow the money.
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  • #19,236
  • Mar 4, 2026 3:33am Mar 4, 2026 3:33am
I believe that the bull should try to hold 1.1600 if he wants to create a bottom with a higher target at 1.1747 or even higher but this zone around here and some below is critical. Sellers might get faked out!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,237
  • Mar 4, 2026 5:09pm Mar 4, 2026 5:09pm
Still expecting some upward movement here
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,238
  • Mar 4, 2026 10:41pm Mar 4, 2026 10:41pm
The EUR/USD faced resistance at 1.1655 yesterday, subsequently consolidating below that level before dropping toward 1.1600. However, with the 1.1575 support holding, a corrective move higher is possible if the right conditions are met. Above current resistance, 1.1668 or 1.1685 could be the next targets. Conversely, if the pair breaks support, a run toward 1.1530 is likely.

Daily volatility (range) 71 pips

Significant news - US Initial Jobless Claims


Have great day!

1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,239
  • Mar 4, 2026 11:20pm Mar 4, 2026 11:20pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD faced resistance at 1.1655 yesterday, subsequently consolidating below that level before dropping toward 1.1600. However, with the 1.1575 support holding, a corrective move higher is possible if the right conditions are met. Above current resistance, 1.1668 or 1.1685 could be the next targets. Conversely, if the pair breaks support, a run toward 1.1530 is likely. Daily volatility (range) 71 pips Significant news - US Initial Jobless Claims Have great day! 1H {image}
baby bull remain pretty fragile so far
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,240
  • Mar 5, 2026 2:25am Mar 5, 2026 2:25am
Quoting johncen
{quote} baby bull remain pretty fragile so far
This drop might be a fishing opportunity for more bulls to enter, but looks it will take some time to rise... if not going back below 1.1530
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
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