The Swamp | Page 6344 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #126,861
  • Mar 2, 2026 12:12am Mar 2, 2026 12:12am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The 6h closed lower and below 3449. That's a sign of more drop. I grade the trend rejection drops with 8 characteristics. It has about 5 now. I think if the eu plays ball below 1743. It would help the gu fall faster. A war blocking the straight will weigh heavy on the GBP.
with the help from the news 1743 should be taken, but 1670ish will probably be a strong support
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,862
  • Mar 2, 2026 12:13am Mar 2, 2026 12:13am
Eur/AUD.. may be bottoming for a large rise.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 7 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,863
  • Mar 2, 2026 12:25am Mar 2, 2026 12:25am
Quoting johncen
{quote} with the help from the news 1743 should be taken, but 1670ish will probably be a strong support
You may be right.. I got 3 with a T1 rating,, Those have a better chance to run several adr's. EU is a T3, better short rating than the gu short T4. But the Gu is already below its year level. The eu not yet. EA cc and ea have their ducks in a row already. If the go my way they should go far. But like I said. These were align before the bombs. The gbp with bombs may be very weak week. Oil is the driver. Those who get less lose.. USA has a supply.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 32 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,864
  • Mar 2, 2026 12:31am Mar 2, 2026 12:31am
Australia has crude oil, but they buy most of theirs already refined (import).
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,865
  • Mar 2, 2026 12:34am Mar 2, 2026 12:34am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I got a big typo here it should be 1.3449.6 like in the chart. This may be a R now.1.3449.6 area. The eu is not below 1743 yet. Its support but it may end up being R later. The gpb and aud may suffer more. the aj may fall. {image}
I lucked out that it did come back to 3449
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,866
  • Mar 2, 2026 12:38am Mar 2, 2026 12:38am
The cad chf lines up for a short. Canada has oil, CHF is a safe haven.. The ducks said short it. With oil it may not work.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 4 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,867
  • Mar 2, 2026 12:42am Mar 2, 2026 12:42am
Quoting johncen
{quote} with the help from the news 1743 should be taken, but 1670ish will probably be a strong support
The GBP is a T4.. I shouldn't trade those as a general rule. But it gapped below the year level, if the straight is blocked the gbp falls more. As a general rule if it concerns an lower oil supply. the usd does better, maybe safe haven still works too. Although it sucked in 2025. A long war could bring it back,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,868
  • Mar 2, 2026 12:54am Mar 2, 2026 12:54am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The GBP is a T4.. I shouldn't trade those as a general rule. But it gapped below the year level, if the straight is blocked the gbp falls more. As a general rule if it concerns an lower oil supply. the usd does better, maybe safe haven still works too. Although it sucked in 2025. A long war could bring it back,
it all depends on how long this war last… if it drags on then usd gets the support.

both US and Isreal will avoid sending troops to be physically in Iran.

i have 1728 next for eu which may trigger a bounce but really 1670 matters
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,869
  • Mar 2, 2026 1:11am Mar 2, 2026 1:11am
Quoting gatorinla
Watch the Aud/NZD {image}
the signs are all there but I think its stuck in "who loses the most from the war"
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #126,870
  • Mar 2, 2026 1:49am Mar 2, 2026 1:49am
Those T2 on that chart can run also.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,871
  • Mar 2, 2026 1:57am Mar 2, 2026 1:57am
1743 may have R value now.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,872
  • Mar 2, 2026 2:11am Mar 2, 2026 2:11am
I'm long gold and silver frome here and short BTC...I think the implications of this war will take some time to play out and will be greater than is currently expected.
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #126,873
  • Mar 2, 2026 3:08am Mar 2, 2026 3:08am
selling silver now at 95.35, please don't copy
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #126,874
  • Mar 2, 2026 3:19am Mar 2, 2026 3:19am
Quoting gatorinla
1743 may have R value now.
testing this level now
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,875
  • Mar 2, 2026 7:29am Mar 2, 2026 7:29am
Quoting micho
selling silver now at 95.35, please don't copy
closed this now at 93.90. maybe too early to close though
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #126,876
  • Mar 2, 2026 8:31am Mar 2, 2026 8:31am
buying BTC now at 65800
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #126,877
  • Mar 2, 2026 12:07pm Mar 2, 2026 12:07pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} testing this level now
I never got a signal on my ea. The bombs probably distorted some thing. I took the gu earlier T4. The eu looked like a stronger short T3
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,878
  • Mar 2, 2026 2:25pm Mar 2, 2026 2:25pm
selling GBPUSD now at 1.3398
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #126,879
  • Mar 2, 2026 2:47pm Mar 2, 2026 2:47pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I never got a signal on my ea. The bombs probably distorted some thing. I took the gu earlier T4. The eu looked like a stronger short T3
i didnt add shorts but have closed some scalp longs there. It will be future retracement target for the bulls. Now i m watching 1670 level. Maybe even 1640 ish if momentum is strong
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,880
  • Mar 2, 2026 10:19pm Mar 2, 2026 10:19pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} i didnt add shorts but have closed some scalp longs there. It will be future retracement target for the bulls. Now i m watching 1670 level. Maybe even 1640 ish if momentum is strong
Hopefully its digested enough now.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
86 traders viewing now