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  • #19,181
  • Edited 4:17am Mar 2, 2026 3:38am | Edited 4:17am
G/U is rebounding and E/U has more resistance to climb BUT Big Money will use that area of heavy resting orders to build positions at the low end to sell later at higher prices while they roll positions over in favor of the USD. The wall of "Trapped Bulls" I addressed on another thread last week continues to get higher and higher. 'War interference pauses my bullish plans..' (Better late than never taking the blinders off even if it is a short term event. "There are thousands of things that are correlated with EURUSD but all are secondary... tertiary.. weak.. and even noise at most of times..) Key word here is "most" for those in the know.
  • #19,182
  • Mar 2, 2026 4:27am Mar 2, 2026 4:27am
People call it different things but E/U is in a 'Fair Value Gap' or a more accurate description IMHO that makes sense logically is a 'Liquidity Imbalance' where price makes a big move in one direction when the pain is so great that one side throws in the towel.
  • #19,183
  • Edited 9:14am Mar 2, 2026 6:46am | Edited 9:14am
Seems non stop yet and below 1.1700 -> 1.1670/60 good luck!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,184
  • Edited 7:38am Mar 2, 2026 7:21am | Edited 7:38am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Seems non stop yet and below 1.700 -> 1.1670/60 good luck!
All the volume downside today ...what are Big boys doing? are they shorting? Who can they sell massive positions to if the decline never stops to 'breath' and go up? How do they roll out of large positions... easy answer is 'look left' on your larger time frame charts. H8, Daily Weekly. After every massive dump, even after the 9-11-2001 attack in America and the temporary closing of the stock market it didn't take long. When price is going up in a larger time frame (going down) the shorter term traders are not in alignment with the Big money but you can still trade both sides of the market within the Daily range. Scale in with longs as close to the bottom as possible and cut immediately if the low of day is taken out. Do the same damn thing at the top of the range in the opposite direction. This is the best R/R location at the near tippy top or bottom. "Markets range 90% of the time." Wade Gudd at Action Trader Software aka 'Trade ATS'. Smart man.
  • #19,185
  • Mar 2, 2026 7:22am Mar 2, 2026 7:22am
GOOD LUCK
It seems the bearish trend is losing momentum. I already made a good trade, and I hope my strategy helps me get back in. If not, well, until tomorrow.
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  • #19,186
  • Mar 2, 2026 7:31am Mar 2, 2026 7:31am
Quoting AmDrafax
GOOD LUCK It seems the bearish trend is losing momentum. I already made a good trade, and I hope my strategy helps me get back in. If not, well, until tomorrow. {image} {image}
So far the Low of day in the London session is holding and if price stays above it and takes out 1.17473 it will be in the rest of the 'liquidity imbalance'. After that just keep moving stops up so price can't retrace in to your profits. Volatility is where you make or lose money... sideways markets suck and chop up both Longs and Shorts.
  • #19,187
  • Mar 2, 2026 7:55am Mar 2, 2026 7:55am
Right now at 1.1700 is the best R/R possible because the max risk is LOW OF DAY. 1.6970. Just don't load the boat here... add a little if it backs down under 1.17 but DO NOT LET PRICE RUN PAST THE LOW OF DAY WITH TAKING A SMALL LOSS. tHIS CAN BE REPEATED 3 0R 4 TIMES TILL YOU HIT THE 'JACKPOT' WITH TINY LOSSES TILL THE MOVE UP DUMPING INVENTORY ON THE 'SUCKERS' THAT GET ADDED TO THE WALL... WILL IT HOLD OR FOLD?????
  • #19,188
  • Mar 2, 2026 8:10am Mar 2, 2026 8:10am
Quoting newbegger
{image} It's slowing down now. Should be a nice consolidation now between 50% (1.1800) and 61.8% (1.1745) before it continues it's downward path. And if you dabble in other markets, as the USD gets stronger, other markets... It's all lining up, wars, protests, weak US economy, and high US treasury rates, US government shutdowns'. Bad news = good news for USD History doesn't repeat itself but it does rhyme - Mark Twain Happy trades to you, NB
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It broke the 61.8 so I cashed in a lot of positions today. Not adding any more. I am keeping the profits in cash. Best to see how things play out today after weekend fireworks so just keeping MAIN position but just less exposure. Will post if I change main idea (2026 to trade like 2018). For now, watch and wait.

Happy trades to you!
NB
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #19,189
  • Mar 2, 2026 8:30am Mar 2, 2026 8:30am
Quoting Twocans
{quote} All the volume downside today ...what are Big boys doing? are they shorting? Who can they sell massive positions to if the decline never stops to 'breath' and go up? How do they roll out of large positions... easy answer is 'look left' on your larger time frame charts. H8, Daily Weekly. After every massive dump, even after the 9-11-2001 attack in America and the temporary closing of the stock market it didn't take long. When price is going up in a larger time frame (going down) the shorter term traders are not in alignment with the Big money...
Most movers are squaring up, already or will be, moving money into US treasuries and gold until the dust settles. Unlike the Tariff Tantrum last April, today is less uncertain than last year. With Iran firing up and Russia cooling off, lot's of change and change is NOT a good times to load up the positions. Best to stay on sidelines/

Happy trades to you,
NB
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #19,190
  • Mar 2, 2026 8:38am Mar 2, 2026 8:38am
Yes bubble of gold has to pop down, now or then
  • #19,191
  • Mar 2, 2026 9:22am Mar 2, 2026 9:22am
Quoting Twocans
{quote} All the volume downside today ...what are Big boys doing? are they shorting? Who can they sell massive positions to if the decline never stops to 'breath' and go up? How do they roll out of large positions... easy answer is 'look left' on your larger time frame charts. H8, Daily Weekly. After every massive dump, even after the 9-11-2001 attack in America and the temporary closing of the stock market it didn't take long. When price is going up in a larger time frame (going down) the shorter term traders are not in alignment with the Big money...
When the market dumps without "breathing," the Big Boys are often looking for Buy Side Liquidity - resting orders from retail stop-losses or breakout traders. They sell into the hands of those forced to buy (or those trying to catch a falling knife).

Markets are essentially massive ranging machines. Even a "trend" is just a range shifting to a new level. Keep your eyes on those HTF levels and let the noise on the M15 pass you by!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,192
  • Mar 2, 2026 9:28am Mar 2, 2026 9:28am
Quoting newbegger
{quote} Most movers are squaring up, already or will be, moving money into US treasuries and gold until the dust settles. Unlike the Tariff Tantrum last April, today is less uncertain than last year. With Iran firing up and Russia cooling off, lot's of change and change is NOT a good times to load up the positions. Best to stay on sidelines/ Happy trades to you, NB
Thanks for sharing... I agree if you are looking for a hold, not my cup of tea however. I am on my 7th "position" today ...lol
  • #19,193
  • Mar 2, 2026 9:43am Mar 2, 2026 9:43am
Stop hunting at Low of Day... squeeze all the blood out.
  • #19,194
  • Edited 11:40am Mar 2, 2026 11:01am | Edited 11:40am
closed day, see you tomorrow
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  • #19,195
  • Mar 2, 2026 11:26am Mar 2, 2026 11:26am
The low for now is 1671. Liquidity nelow 1670 so…. But its a area that we should expect a bounce
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,196
  • Edited 2:02pm Mar 2, 2026 1:42pm | Edited 2:02pm
Quoting johncen
The low for now is 1671. Liquidity nelow 1670 so…. But its a area that we should expect a bounce
Higher Highs and higher lows at this point... looking at an hourly chart. Also the G/U is way ahead of the curve and a sentiment move is possible as they had been mirroring lately. Now the Big boys need buyers for all the carnage they manipulated since the reopening of the 'Weekend War'. Everyone is better off except for the dictators, then again, maybe, if there's anything left of them to find....? bTW, I will go out on a limb and suggest the possibility that the old, 'pedophile', 'perv', orange will not end up looking like Mr. Potato Head but loved by countless millions for doing the dirty job nobody wanted or could without the US Military and Israel might to secure the region for all.
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  • #19,197
  • Mar 2, 2026 2:12pm Mar 2, 2026 2:12pm
Still not done beating the Bulls
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  • #19,198
  • Mar 2, 2026 2:41pm Mar 2, 2026 2:41pm
short squeeze ....$$$$ ???
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  • #19,199
  • Mar 2, 2026 2:46pm Mar 2, 2026 2:46pm
Quoting Twocans
short squeeze ....$$$$ ??? {image}
bear probably not done yet. I will need the liquidity to be taken
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,200
  • Mar 2, 2026 10:06pm Mar 2, 2026 10:06pm
This is the scenario where I'd like to sell at a slightly higher price.

I'd like LONDON to rise and take in as much fuel as possible, reaching 1.17656 or getting as close as possible to 1.17497, so I can sell at a slightly higher price in NY.

GOOD LUCK!!!
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