Only EURUSD

Thought we will go to 1857 first before bear kicks in but not. Unable to close back above 1805 is not a good sign for bull

The EUR/USD stayed below the 1.1835 and 1.1810 resistance zones overnight after a break below the 1.1800 round number. Support is near 1.1770, and a break will lead to a further drop to 1.1741 and possibly 1.1721.

Daily volatility (range) 48 pips


Have great day!

1H

nothing much i can do while pa in the middle

Yes looks boring today. At least if we get 1.1795 should help to get a sell done. With caution real selling should be higher!

yea i want to sell 1857 wanna buy 1710 or even 1670

The EUR/USD is trading in a range mode near the 1.1800 round number while waiting for direction. For now, 1.1810 and 1.1835 are capping the upside, with 1.1857 acting as a key resistance level toward higher ground. On the downside, support at 1.1766 should hold unless sellers manage a strong break below, in that case, the price should find its next level of support at 1.1741.

Daily volatility (range) 46 pips


Have great day!

1H

Critical price 1.18..time for the truth. The structure LH LL on daily started at the end of gen can be broken or confirmed today.
Personally despite the geoeconomic scenario i m stil embracing a bearish view of the pair

my plane for eu trade

FX option expiries for 25 February 10am New York cut

EUR/USD


1.1900 (EUR 5.09 bn)
1.1850 (EUR 2.19 bn)
1.1800 (EUR 3.91 bn)
1.1750 (EUR 1.82 bn)

We are near the end of February so the options that expire are bigger than normal

EURUSD H1
trendlines, SMC

The active signal on H1 is: BOS UP 1.17902

1. Price has broken the last H1 lower high
2. A sequence of HL → HH has formed
3. The internal bearish order flow on H1 has been broken

Currently, a short-term bullish impulse is in play.

H1 = short-term bullish
H4 = still bearish (below 1.1805)
So H1 is moving against the higher timeframe.

1.1805–1.1808 (H4) ← Main level

CHOCH + BOS DOWN on H4
This is the higher-timeframe control zone.
Above it, the H4 bearish bias is neutralized.
This is where the larger move is decided.

DXY H4
trendlines, smc

If we’re talking about DXY – H4, then 97.64 can be swing level.
Below 97.64 = H4 bearish continuation scenario
Why:

1. It is likely the last H4 higher low
2. A break below it would create a new LL
3. The LH → LL sequence would be confirmed

That would mean:

1. continuation of the downtrend
2. pressure toward lower liquidity levels below

On a strong drop below 97.63:

1. break of the last HL
2. beginning of a bearish phase

CHOCH DOWN = break below 97.63
If a new low formed afterward and continuation followed,
then we also have:
BOS DOWN below this level.

Correlation with EURUSD
If DXY:
drops below 97.64 → EURUSD has more room to rise
holds above 97.64 → EURUSD will struggle to break 1.1805–1.1833

Yes market is bearish looking at the weekly perspective

still keen to see 1857 taken before going down

It s close to another drop. Only after the break we have direction, in my view, now, it s steady, no direction. We wait for Iran stuff.

The EUR/USD is trading with a bullish to neutral stance today but faces significant resistance at the 1.1857 high. The 1.1800-1.1798 weekly pivot should hold for the buyers to move at or above the resistance level toward 1.1885. The sellers need to take out the pivot so the road to 1.1766 can open.

Daily volatility (range) 46 pips

Significant news - US Initial Jobless Claims


Have great day!

1H

EURUSD H1

From the H1 perspective:

1. H1 CHOCH UP → ~1.1808
2. H1 BOS UP → ~1.18144

H4 close above the blue zone.
This means:

1. Neutralization of the H4 bearish structure
2. Invalidation of the H4 CHOCH + BOS DOWN
3. Transition from bearish → neutral / transitional

The market is saying:
“The previous downtrend no longer has control.”

H4 close above 1.18332–1.1842

1. Break of the last LH
2. CHOCH UP (H4)
3. Start of a bullish structure

Only then:

1. a HH will form
2. followed by BOS UP

Simplified process (mental map):
Below 1.1805 → H4 bearish
H4 close above 1.1805 → H4 neutral
H4 close above 1.18332 → H4 bullish

DXY H1

DXY – H1
Key levels:

1. 97.445 → H1 resistance / supply
2. 97.302 → H1 BOS DOWN (micro structure)
3. 97.226 → H1 CHOCH DOWN / S–R flip
4. 96.964 → H4 liquidity low (lower-TF target)

DXY Structure
On H1:

1. DXY formed a CHOCH DOWN around 97.23
2. Followed by a BOS DOWN below 97.30
3. Price is now in a pullback / correction within a descending channel

H1 is bearish
On H4:

1. CHOCH DOWN below ~97.63 is still valid
2. H4 is bearish or at least neutral → bearish

H1 and H4 are aligned to the downside
Link to EURUSD (very important)
When:

1. DXY H1 is bearish
2. DXY is below 97.30 / 97.23

this supports H1 bullish pressure on EURUSD

But watch one key detail
If DXY:

1. gets a rejection from 97.23–97.30
2. and returns above 97.45

EURUSD will very likely:

1. fail at 1.1805–1.1815
2. and move back down

If DXY stays below 97.30, then 96.96–96.97 is a very logical target.

Good Mornin... Deja Vu "All over again". MORE Overnight Bulls are trapped just like the Sunday night opening. My directional bias is down. Obviously overnight Bulls are trapped and all the Bulls under 1.18050 with profits will start seeing profit erode if that zone of resistance is broken? I see support around 1.179 if the Levy breaks?

opened a long on EU

Consolidation and choppy market. Dollar doesn't quit and EU is vulnerable trading at lows but I most believe we are going to stack near 1.1800 for longer unless Iran - US talks take the wrong way or anything else favours the dollar. There is a bearish tit so I prefer selling rallies towards 1.1857.