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EUR/USD - GBP/USD -- Clean Price Action(no indicators)

  • #181
  • Feb 25, 2026 6:26am Feb 25, 2026 6:26am
Quoting Riziq-Cap
Once Tuesday's low is taken, moving my SL at the top, basically break even - for now, I have had it at invalidation of the whole move.
Sad that it rebounded. The bullish sentiment is so strong.
When its hard to go down the rise is so fast
  • #182
  • Feb 25, 2026 12:32pm Feb 25, 2026 12:32pm
GBP: 4H candle closed outside the 4H FVG by 3.6 pips, I'm allowing some imprecision, watching carefully if the 4H FVG will be inverted and used as support by the new 4H candle which just opened.

Watching development to place my SL above current high, which saves me 17 pips, if I turn out to be offside on this trade - as current SL is placed at invalidation of the 4h fvg used for the short.

I want Daily to close below 79% retracement line, which is aprox 3.5h left - I dont expect current newly opened 4H candle to swipe the high, nor new daily candle, that would be brutal and probably suggest I am wrong in regards to order flow and this trade will be a loss - however, I dont wanna break my system to save 17 pips.
-- Trade was over 500e positive several times without me taking profit and currently its 260e down... This is the rules if you wanna catch 100+ pips swing trades.

DXY: Took out Yesterdays high and rejected(barely), than purged Yestersdays low and currently hanging on the edge of Yesterdays low, outside Yesterdays range.
- The rhythm is kinda off, it have been like that all day, waiting for both to align again.

Euro: is actually beautiful technically, seems weak in regards to dollar, but it have been hell to trade the past months and for whatever reason the week I decided to change to cable, it started acting properly

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot at 2026-02-25 19-27-50.png Size: 11 KB

(4H GBP/USD - Chart looks little messy due to LTF annotations, sorry )
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #183
  • Feb 25, 2026 12:45pm Feb 25, 2026 12:45pm
Quoting Riziq-Cap
GBP: 4H candle closed outside the 4H FVG by 3.6 pips, I'm allowing some imprecision, watching carefully if the 4H FVG will be inverted and used as support by the new 4H candle which just opened. Watching development to place my SL above current high, which saves me 17 pips, if I turn out to be offside on this trade - as current SL is placed at invalidation of the 4h fvg used for the short. I want Daily to close below 79% retracement line, which is aprox 3.5h left - I dont expect current newly opened 4H candle to swipe the high, nor new daily candle,...
I got out at 1.35575 for a loss
Will reassess after tomorrow
  • #184
  • Feb 25, 2026 12:50pm Feb 25, 2026 12:50pm
Quoting Jewel1996
{quote} I got out at 1.35575 for a loss
It have been shitty days to be frank, many fake moves, which makes getting on very difficult.

If my analysis turn out correct and the move gets confirmed, I can ping you.
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #185
  • Feb 25, 2026 1:09pm Feb 25, 2026 1:09pm
Quoting Riziq-Cap
{quote} It have been shitty days to be frank, many fake moves, which makes getting on very difficult. If my analysis turn out correct and the move gets confirmed, I can ping you.
Okay thanks. what if its decides to continuing to up, what will the likely indication?
  • #186
  • Feb 25, 2026 1:26pm Feb 25, 2026 1:26pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} More likely than not that Monday high is taken in my humble opinion. London didn't touch that high yet, but broke the low and closed the gap hence it should rise and take the top.
The engine is gently revving.
  • #187
  • Feb 25, 2026 8:23pm Feb 25, 2026 8:23pm
Stopped out earlier

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #188
  • Feb 25, 2026 9:35pm Feb 25, 2026 9:35pm
Quoting Jewel1996
{quote} Okay thanks. what if its decides to continuing to up, what will the likely indication?
resistance become support (RBS)

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #189
  • Feb 26, 2026 3:13am Feb 26, 2026 3:13am
I had to sleep yesterday and closed the position, did not wanna wake up to price flying past my SL.

Re-shorted the edge of the same 4FVG(edge of the low)
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #190
  • Feb 26, 2026 7:25am Feb 26, 2026 7:25am
Quoting Riziq-Cap
I had to sleep yesterday and closed the position, did not wanna wake up to price flying past my SL. Re-shorted the edge of the same 4FVG(edge of the low)
manual exit
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #191
  • Feb 26, 2026 8:45am Feb 26, 2026 8:45am
Still not convinced this is the bottom, but not gonna bet on it.

Longed this 15M OB, targeting the top and Daily FVG right above it, which seems where price is engineered to hit - gonna move stop very aggressive and take partials at every peak.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Edit: screenshot is actually 30m, not 15m, but its the same.
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #192
  • Feb 26, 2026 9:17am Feb 26, 2026 9:17am
Fuck me, stopped!

Taking a break the rest of the week
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #193
  • Feb 26, 2026 9:26am Feb 26, 2026 9:26am
Fuck break!

Shorted same 4h bearish FVG, targeting aprox 50% of my weekly losses.

Risk dialed down, smaller position due to many losses in a row.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #194
  • Feb 26, 2026 9:31am Feb 26, 2026 9:31am
Quoting Jewel1996
{quote} resistance become support (RBS) {image}
I was in profit aiming for the high. And suddenly this. What is going on?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDM15.png Size: 6 KB
  • #195
  • Feb 26, 2026 9:46am Feb 26, 2026 9:46am
Quoting Jewel1996
{quote} I was in profit aiming for the high. And suddenly this. What is going on?{image}
That long was offside, the small profits we were given were only teasing us, before the real trap.

Will do re-cap at the end of the week, I probably had worst trade management in 12 months this week.

I knew DXY might do some tricky stuff, hence why I said I will protect and take partials on every peak.

What really confused me was the London session, the retracement was way too deep - but in hindsight, it was actually technically correct.
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #196
  • Feb 26, 2026 9:46am Feb 26, 2026 9:46am
Quoting Jewel1996
{quote} I was in profit aiming for the high. And suddenly this. What is going on?{image}
Daily/Weekly close will signal whether next week will be bullish or bearish. No trade for me tomorrow
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #197
  • Feb 26, 2026 10:03am Feb 26, 2026 10:03am
Quoting Jewel1996
{quote} Daily/Weekly close will signal whether next week will be bullish or bearish. No trade for me tomorrow{image}
Friday closes the monthly candle, probably something like this:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot at 2026-02-26 17-02-19.png Size: 12 KB
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #198
  • Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm
Lets fucking go!!

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #199
  • Feb 28, 2026 9:58pm Feb 28, 2026 9:58pm
Just a small update:

I closed my trade on friday, which I am very glad for doing, given what happened Saturday morning.

Due to the Geo-political situation, I will not swing trade until things calm down, will only do small 10-20 pips trades and those are very tiresome to post.

- Its clear why price was stubborn, because the geopolitical situation was clearly baked into price and the decision was made probably couple of days before - I never trade news events or Geo-political events, I just suck at dissecting such things - I have no idea how price will open after the weekend, but if I had to guess, DXY down and opposing pairs up, this is my guess, but there is no skills or knowledge behind my guess - I trade purely technical.

I am also in the middle of fire due to the war, my city is right under where rocket fly in between and 200km from me was just bombed today - although I have no occupation base in my city or close, 500km within my border, there is a huge occupation base. The Jordanian air-force tend also to shoot down rockets above my country and last time, they actually shot one above my city and someone's house was hit and there was fatalities....

I will involve myself in the news section and less on trading until things calm down, if things changes, I will write here.

Last thing; I managed the trade horribly this week and I will make it up for those who lost money, I did too btw, had overall negative week - but obviously when there is events like this in the horizon, technical analysis means less - which is a good lessons to take from this.

Good luck the coming weeks and play it safe, price can be very unpredictable as manual intervention is common during such events, you never know when a black-swan event can happen and price can wick 300-400 pips in a matter of seconds, which will destroy any account on the wrong side.
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #200
  • Mar 1, 2026 2:01am Mar 1, 2026 2:01am
Quoting Riziq-Cap
Just a small update: I closed my trade on friday, which I am very glad for doing, given what happened Saturday morning. Due to the Geo-political situation, I will not swing trade until things calm down, will only do small 10-20 pips trades and those are very tiresome to post. - Its clear why price was stubborn, because the geopolitical situation was clearly baked into price and the decision was made probably couple of days before - I never trade news events or Geo-political events, I just suck at dissecting such things - I have no idea how price...
Sorry about the situation in your country. I had thought that you were trading from South Africa as per the profile
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