The Swamp

shorted some silver....


stopped out...

What happened to the Florida condo thing you posted a while ago? Any development?
Was a interesting story!

we finally got our 1743.
bear seems to have momemtum to go lower. Let see if weekly can close below 1743.

tick tock, it worsens each day.

The cats out the bag now. The world knows at 1743.. Bounce sure. But if below sustained, its likely based on a usd war dollar.

ditto on GBP.. But it should fall faster than the euro..
The yen can be a safety play.. But it should be less against the usd. During a war with high oil. The yen's safe haven may be stressed as time goes on. The GBP and others should be stressed EZ currencies should stress too. They all rely on imported oil. The yen and chf even though they are safe havens, import oil. High oil over time hurts those who import. But initially the safe havens may look ok. The Cad and usd may do best. Australia exports crude, but imports most of its finished oil products.
Approximately 20 million barrels of crude oil, condensate, and petroleum products pass through the Strait of Hormuz daily, representing roughly 20% to 30% of total global seaborne oil shipments. This critical chokepoint connects Middle Eastern producers—including Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, and the UAE—to global markets, primarily in Asia. That can easily cause a shortage. Australia has little stockpiled
Japan is on a volcano. They import about 3 million bpd, they produce about 100k. Less than 1%. They would be fucked. I don't know how that "safe haven" would work prolonged. The one good thing that may happen. Once people don't have oil. They figure out a way to use less later. New inventions and so forth.

its a bigen... Break it sustained in a war. It may drop 10% like last year's up move. Unlike WW2. The entire world needs oil now. Or its back to third world countries.
You can thank the guys. Who are ok with war heroes being treated like shit. The Pedo elite need to wag the dog.
"completely and totally obliterated" aint what it used to be.

Conman 101....If his lips are moving, and he aint sucking Bubba, than he is lying
Following the U.S. airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in June 2025, President Donald Trump stated that Iran's nuclear enrichment facilities had been "completely and totally obliterated".
YouTube +1

1. Key Phrase: Trump emphasized that the sites were "obliterated," a term he later defended as a "strong" description of the damage.
2. Context: In his address to the nation, Trump announced, "Tonight, I can report to the world that the strikes were a spectacular military success. Iran's key nuclear enrichment facilities have been completely and totally obliterated".
3. Other Descriptions: Trump also referred to the strikes as "total obliteration" and "virtual obliteration" in subsequent comments at a NATO summit, addressing debates over the extent of the damage.

in case the uj rises 156.73 may swat it down some. Sustained above is likely a big war started. When you add in the eur gbp may be under todays support.

buying EURUSD now at 1.1770

Who would of thunk? The Pedo-carpetbagger-conman stole near 1 Trillian dollars from U.S. consumers illegally.

This new one is likely better. Its more binary. So if it works with the 15 pip stop. it has better chance to run. Its Friday and not the time to trade it. But lets see if it works anyway. Both work because the s/l can be smaller. This one has a better record. The CHF/JPY. looks to be the better short. I don't trade Fridays mostly. Below that blue line may be bearish..
This one has the yen and the usd opposite than the other one. That may be a reason not to trade UJ. It also has the chf too close to trade. The binary one is right about 60% with a 83 pip average verses a 15 pip s/l when wrong.

Example: 3 years ago Tampa had 4k homes for sale. Today in a like period, there are 18k. That means supply is growing, while demand is dropping. This is early in this cycle. It is trending to a housing price collapse. Florida is a tourism economy like Nevada. Less tourist means less employees needed. That set the rest in motion. Pissing off Canadians, and other international tourist have a cost. Migrants gone don't need housing. A lot of other things add into this. But the trend is alive.

Good questions. I'll get back to you when i know.

I told you

Stay tuned.

AI Overview
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated in December 2025 that U.S. government employment reports likely overstate job growth by roughly 60,000 positions per month due to issues with measuring new business openings and closures
. This suggests the labor market may be significantly weaker than official data suggests, potentially indicating an actual, albeit small, decline in jobs rather than growth.
Yahoo Finance +2
Key details regarding Powell's assessment include:

1. Systematic Overcount: Powell noted a continued "overcount" in payroll job numbers that Fed staff believe persists.
2. Magnitude of Error: The estimated 60,000 monthly overstatement means that if the government reports a 40,000 job gain, the actual figure could be a 20,000-job decline.
3. Reasons for Discrepancy: The issue stems from the difficulty of measuring job creation from new businesses vs. closures. Some analyses suggest this overstatement may relate to how the BLS handles employment data.
4. Policy Implications: This assessment led the Fed to consider that the job market is in a more fragile, closer-to-contraction state than headline numbers suggest, contributing to their interest rate policy decisions. YouTube +4 Fudging the numbers

I wanted to buy 1767. But my system says different.

 

1. Wait For Price To Come UP Into 1.17874 – 1.17976.
2. Enter SELL Inside This Zone.
3. Set Stop Loss At 1.18126 (15 Pips Above Top Of Zone).
4. If Price Never Touches This Zone: No Trade.

I put some crazy ass algos in. It combines the algos. So I never could really get the rules weighed right in my head. This dashboard takes me out of it.
The upper strength is more a long term. The cherries are ailing the upper with the lower bias. They are often not in agreement.
The results are bias trades. If you see one in agreement with the upper. Those can last weeks +.. A war will change all of this. The s/l is mild

I'm not giving signals.. I will try to post something on gold next h. You can judge it after. Bitcoin latter also. As soon as it tells me.