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The Swamp

  • #126,721
  • Feb 16, 2026 10:12pm Feb 16, 2026 10:12pm
The 6h just closed.. 108.02 month held support. But its under 108.11.. It can go either way. The month is the larger at 108.02. that 1h candle maybe be a bottoming sign. But its still under 108.11..
It may end up being a hammer pattern. A close above 108.11 is probably best for a bounce.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,722
  • Feb 16, 2026 11:01pm Feb 16, 2026 11:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
The 6h just closed.. 108.02 month held support. But its under 108.11.. It can go either way. The month is the larger at 108.02. that 1h candle maybe be a bottoming sign. But its still under 108.11.. It may end up being a hammer pattern. A close above 108.11 is probably best for a bounce. {image} {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,723
  • Feb 16, 2026 11:05pm Feb 16, 2026 11:05pm
Most of those trades are on the side I wanted. The gu has not. But it did make a hammer, it has yet to cross above. 1.3612 and close above.
Aud/chf is the other. I can still loose them all. But so far it has some positive signs. The negative is the 6h closes are not on my side. I can get out them as a group positive if I chose.
I traded off another trigger. That trigger has me wanting to hold my trades. It may be wrong.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,724
  • Feb 16, 2026 11:22pm Feb 16, 2026 11:22pm
it could be a wild day if the aj losses its footing. It may be on equities too.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,725
  • Feb 17, 2026 12:32am Feb 17, 2026 12:32am
Silver bulls wont be so happy with this...but its my weekly support...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,726
  • Feb 17, 2026 12:52am Feb 17, 2026 12:52am
Quoting PayTheLimit
Silver bulls wont be so happy with this...but its my weekly support... {image}
had a lot of fun trading silver lately (short) and yes I think you are right but it will be a bumpy ride. Flat at the moment.
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #126,727
  • Feb 17, 2026 2:20am Feb 17, 2026 2:20am
3 spikes and bull slowing down, if bear can make it to the bottom of this channel and break below…..

trend remain bullish though just thinking out loud
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,728
  • Feb 17, 2026 4:39am Feb 17, 2026 4:39am
watching these levels in cable for a clue to long...might be a few days...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,729
  • Feb 17, 2026 5:49am Feb 17, 2026 5:49am
Quoting gatorinla
The 6h just closed.. 108.02 month held support. But its under 108.11.. It can go either way. The month is the larger at 108.02. that 1h candle maybe be a bottoming sign. But its still under 108.11.. It may end up being a hammer pattern. A close above 108.11 is probably best for a bounce. {image} {image}
holding...I like a close above 108.20 for a quick long scalp then....
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,730
  • Edited 6:07am Feb 17, 2026 5:51am | Edited 6:07am
that said, hourly AU looks a little like trouble if it closes down there....

not the close I would have liked, so I pass...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,731
  • Feb 17, 2026 6:31am Feb 17, 2026 6:31am
had my finger on the trigger for some long UJ, but I passed also...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,732
  • Feb 17, 2026 9:20am Feb 17, 2026 9:20am
important level for UJ....
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,733
  • Feb 17, 2026 9:21am Feb 17, 2026 9:21am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} holding...I like a close above 108.20 for a quick long scalp then.... {image}
still....
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,734
  • Feb 17, 2026 9:31am Feb 17, 2026 9:31am
that Au turned out to be a nice short...support below now..7015/20
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,735
  • Feb 17, 2026 10:12am Feb 17, 2026 10:12am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} still.... {image}
took that bastard for 20 finally...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,736
  • Feb 17, 2026 11:24am Feb 17, 2026 11:24am
S&P tested some R.... would like to short this bastard somewhere...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,737
  • Feb 17, 2026 12:20pm Feb 17, 2026 12:20pm
euro could wake up here above 1.1850 maybe...see how it looks tomorrow, laters..
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,738
  • Feb 17, 2026 2:14pm Feb 17, 2026 2:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Every one of these trades are near being stopped out. Every one is past their fair value point. It could of easily gone either way. The odds were with a bounce. It looks to be wrong. Its at that point it can go either way. {image}
I was never stopped but close,
Quoting gatorinla
every trade here may be stopped out. Or every one can be a decent trade. I'm betting the aj takes the bounce. Its does about 70% of the time. I may be on the wrong side. {image} {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,739
  • Feb 17, 2026 2:21pm Feb 17, 2026 2:21pm
[quote=gatorinla;15577495]{quote} I took the long. Back to the edge of the bear month b/o. The teeter point. 108.02, the next one if this fails can be 104.5x The 12h had pointed up, but it was a holiday Monday. If may be waiting for Tuesday's direction. {image} {image}[/q
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,740
  • Edited 3:58pm Feb 17, 2026 2:39pm | Edited 3:58pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I took the long. Back to the edge of the bear month b/o. The teeter point. 108.02, the next one if this fails can be 104.5x The 12h had pointed up, but it was a holiday Monday. If may be waiting for Tuesday's direction. {image} {image}
The jury is still out,, Monday's reading may have been wrong with the usa holiday. The Tuesday one indicated support would be tested. The support held with a LC above 108.02. But that don't mean it wont be retested 108.11.. The 12h candle in 13.5 has, closing above 108.13 is likely bullish. The GBP was ranked high but in the shitter. It may of been due to the holiday bad reading. I got stopped out on it. The stops are 30 ish pips because that's its bounce threshold... It has already crossed the s/r 30 pips when hit. That's usually a decisive break where trend changes for a decent run. So if it comes back to that b/o point the same 30 pips stop can be used. Be sure there is a sign.. even if just on a small timeframe.
GU 3612 has R potential. But it needs a sign.
GA 9277 ditto.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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