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Only EURUSD

  • #19,081
  • Feb 12, 2026 8:56am Feb 12, 2026 8:56am
Dxy H1
Trendlines
It looks bad for USD

What this means for DXY (H1)
96.62–96.65 = BOS UP zone
Current price ~96.52 → we are below the break level.

This means:
BOS UP is not yet a confirmed continuation
price is back below the breakout zone
the market is in a decision area

Technically now:
If DXY: remains below 96.65
→ more likely a move back to 96.47
→ below 96.47, room opens toward 96.20

If: closes an H1 above 96.65
→ reactivates the bullish structure
→ targets 96.97 → 97.45

For EURUSD, this means:

As long as DXY is below 96.65:
upward pressure on the euro remains
1.1886 can be attacked again

If DXY breaks above 96.65:
the euro will come under downside pressure
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,082
  • Feb 12, 2026 9:25am Feb 12, 2026 9:25am
Traders are still "digesting" that strong January jobs report from yesterday. If the market decides that 227K claims is just a one-off "blip," they will buy the USD back up, expecting a hot CPI print tomorrow to keep the Fed hawkish.

1.1900-1.1894 should hold or quiting from selling just above
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,083
  • Feb 12, 2026 10:28am Feb 12, 2026 10:28am
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} more likely a sell day to 1.1864
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} sitting on but wont last
will be this the right time?
chaos is just unknown order
  • #19,084
  • Feb 12, 2026 2:08pm Feb 12, 2026 2:08pm
Quoting josip
Dxy H1 Trendlines It looks bad for USD What this means for DXY (H1) 96.62–96.65 = BOS UP zone Current price ~96.52 → we are below the break level. This means: BOS UP is not yet a confirmed continuation price is back below the breakout zone the market is in a decision area Technically now: If DXY: remains below 96.65 → more likely a move back to 96.47 → below 96.47, room opens toward 96.20 If: closes an H1 above 96.65 → reactivates the bullish structure →...
UPDATE DXY H1
Current situation (H1)
Price is rotating between:
96.62–96.65 → intraday supply / BOS UP zone
96.47 → intraday support / structural level
We are currently between them = compression ahead of the data release.

What does this mean ahead of CPI?
The market:

  1. holds below 96.65 → still without confirmed bullish continuation
  2. holds above 96.47 → still without a bearish breakdown

This is a neutral box, typical ahead of event risk.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,085
  • Feb 12, 2026 8:35pm Feb 12, 2026 8:35pm
Remain above support
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,086
  • Feb 12, 2026 10:04pm Feb 12, 2026 10:04pm
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  • #19,087
  • Feb 12, 2026 10:30pm Feb 12, 2026 10:30pm
The EUR/USD is holding its 1.1894–1.1833 range from yesterday while awaiting the US CPI data. A break on either side should offer a clearer view of the pair's next move, therefore, caution is advised ahead of the news. On a breakdown, 1.1800 and 1.1763 serve as lower targets. Conversely, if an upside break occurs, watch for 1.1900, 1.1928, and 1.1955/65

Daily volatility (range) 48 pips

Significant news - US CPI


Have great day!

1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,088
  • Feb 13, 2026 1:13am Feb 13, 2026 1:13am
EURUSD H1

1.1886 — what is it now?

  1. originally a structural level (H1 CHOCH DOWN)
  2. now acting as intraday resistance
  3. every rejection below this level maintains the short bias

Currently:

  1. lower highs
  2. compression into a descending micro-channel
  3. price ~1.1852

This is a classic bear flag below a structural level.

Bearish scenario (as long as we stay below 1.1886)
If H1 continues to close below 1.1886:
Targets:

  1. 1.1833
  2. 1.1820 (main intraday liquidity)

Below that, 1.1780 opens up.
This is where you would see continued short momentum.

Bullish invalidation
For a reversal:

  1. H1 close above 1.1886
  2. ideally with follow-through above 1.1900

Then:

  1. the short structure is broken
  2. potential return toward 1.1915–1.1925

If H1 closes below 1.1856:
→ confirms continuation of short pressure
→ next targets:

  1. 1.1833
  2. 1.1820 (stronger liquidity zone)

If price holds above 1.1856:
→ it is only consolidation below 1.1886
→ the main intraday resistance remains 1.1886

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,089
  • Edited 1:47am Feb 13, 2026 1:27am | Edited 1:47am
DXY H1
trendlines

96.975

  1. the last significant H1 swing high
  2. at the same time a horizontal S/R zone

Above it, a real momentum shift begins.

➜ If it stays below 96.975

  1. it is still just a pullback within the larger down move
  2. EURUSD has a chance to hold higher

  1. If DXY hits 96.975 and gets rejected
    → EURUSD should encounter its first obstacle to further decline
    → a bounce higher may occur

➜ If it breaks and closes an H1 above 96.975

  1. a new BOS UP is formed
  2. short squeeze on the dollar
  3. downside pressure on EURUSD

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,090
  • Feb 13, 2026 2:17am Feb 13, 2026 2:17am
looks like more ranging until cpi…
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,091
  • Feb 13, 2026 6:42am Feb 13, 2026 6:42am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD is holding its 1.1894–1.1833 range from yesterday while awaiting the US CPI data. A break on either side should offer a clearer view of the pair's next move, therefore, caution is advised ahead of the news. On a breakdown, 1.1800 and 1.1763 serve as lower targets. Conversely, if an upside break occurs, watch for 1.1900, 1.1928, and 1.1955/65 Daily volatility (range) 48 pips Significant news - US CPI Have great day! 1H {image}
Agree but the bias (IMO) is to the downside - look at US equities yesterday - dump because rates will be stable for another 3 months.
  • #19,092
  • Feb 13, 2026 6:48am Feb 13, 2026 6:48am
Quoting fx6996
{quote} Agree but the bias (IMO) is to the downside - look at US equities yesterday - dump because rates will be stable for another 3 months.
Looks like the us cpi will be sticky if no hot today, I believe eu should finish the correction down towards 1.1830/10 and then I'll decide if I buy again. Friday might be both sides as money gets out for the weekend. Lets wish all go well!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,093
  • Edited 8:39am Feb 13, 2026 8:18am | Edited 8:39am
'DON'T DIDDLE IN THE MIDDLE'. Same place it was 10 hrs ago.
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  • #19,094
  • Feb 13, 2026 9:19am Feb 13, 2026 9:19am
The move to 1.1885 met immediate selling pressure, I’d be cautious about jumping in long right here. We are in a "wait and see" zone between 1.1850 and 1.1875.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,095
  • Feb 13, 2026 9:34am Feb 13, 2026 9:34am
Range compression looks like it may be expanding at times? 4 small scalps (for groceries) so far. This order block that failed to be overrun becomes a brick wall here and crossing it on a Friday and holding ground is slim to none. IMHO " I’d be cautious about jumping in long right here." Agree unless its a scalp off the low end of the range for a few dimes. 3 out of 4 were longs on my scalps but small potatoes. Its easier to spot the Suckers when you've 'Been there and done that". lol
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  • #19,096
  • Feb 13, 2026 9:48am Feb 13, 2026 9:48am
Too tired waiting for eu to go up.
I'll close for the week. It was great trading with all. Have a nice weekend!
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,097
  • Feb 14, 2026 1:47am Feb 14, 2026 1:47am
The EUR/USD started strong this week, climbing from 1.1808 to 1.1928 before sellers pushed it back below 1.1900. It closed the week up but remains in a ranging mode, caught below the 1.1900/28 resistance zone and above the 1.1820/33 support levels. Moving forward, the pair needs to clear the overhead resistance to test the 1.1955/65 zone and potentially 1.2000 if momentum remains strong. Conversely, a failure to hold above support will shift the bias to a short-term bearish outlook toward the 1.1800 and 1.1767 levels.

Watch for lower liquidity on Monday, Feb 16, as US markets are closed for Presidents' Day. This often leads to "drift" or erratic movements before the main volume returns on Tuesday.

Weekly volatility (range) 96 pips

Significant news - US Durable Goods, US Industrial Production, FOMC Meeting Minutes, US Trade Balance, US Initial Jobless Claims, US PCE, US GDP & University Michigan Sentiment.


Have great weekend!

4H
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,098
  • Feb 14, 2026 3:46pm Feb 14, 2026 3:46pm
i am plane trade
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Hi I'm Aayush.j
  • #19,099
  • Feb 15, 2026 10:31pm Feb 15, 2026 10:31pm
The EUR/USD is trading in a range following the open, with resistance holding at the 1.1890/96 zone. Support sits at 1.1848 and 1.1833, ahead of the 1.1800 psychological level. As U.S. markets are closed for President's Day, thin liquidity is expected to create spikes and choppy price action.


Daily volatility (range) 44 pips


Have great week!

1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,100
  • Feb 15, 2026 11:06pm Feb 15, 2026 11:06pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD is trading in a range following the open, with resistance holding at the 1.1890/96 zone. Support sits at 1.1848 and 1.1833, ahead of the 1.1800 psychological level. As U.S. markets are closed for President's Day, thin liquidity is expected to create spikes and choppy price action. Daily volatility (range) 44 pips Have great week! 1H {image}
might be a quiet day as no NY session today
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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