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  • #126,661
  • Feb 13, 2026 2:14am Feb 13, 2026 2:14am
possible aj short 108.87ish.. A short signal is needed. The 12h aligns.
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  • #126,662
  • Feb 13, 2026 2:21am Feb 13, 2026 2:21am
possible eu short after a run to 1885 area later. Needs a short sign.. the 12h aligned
Not a signal to long to 1887.. But its a LC. It may be attracted to it.
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  • #126,663
  • Feb 13, 2026 2:32am Feb 13, 2026 2:32am
Quoting gatorinla
possible aj short 108.87ish.. A short signal is needed. The 12h aligns. {image}
Look for a possible sweep hh to take shorts before a drop on the AJ..
108.02 ish worked perfect as the bounce point yesterday.. See yesterday's post.
the 12h aligned but often sweeps above some
The same as the eu post has a sweep. head fake or whatever you want to call it. It looks built in.
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  • #126,664
  • Feb 13, 2026 2:35am Feb 13, 2026 2:35am
1.1860/65 held on the 4hr mostly...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,665
  • Feb 13, 2026 2:40am Feb 13, 2026 2:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Look for a possible sweep hh to take shorts before a drop on the AJ.. 108.02 ish worked perfect as the bounce point yesterday.. See yesterday's post. the 12h aligned but often sweeps above some The same as the eu post has a sweep. head fake or whatever you want to call it. It looks built in. {image}
NZDyen may have one too.
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  • #126,666
  • Feb 13, 2026 2:46am Feb 13, 2026 2:46am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If the eu runs above 1889 in the next 2 hs to close. The eu 12h may align for bulls. Bears below. Its not a auto. after the close, it can move further from the indicated direction, before aligned direction
This did align for a bear move. It can be wrong. But most often it sweeps before. Before the day ends it will often drop.
It can take all day to drop often after the new lc. The sweep rise can be before lc. It may be like paint drying. It can be slow. It can be a sleeper. That's why its overlooked.
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  • #126,667
  • Edited 3:30am Feb 13, 2026 3:00am | Edited 3:30am
run those lows before the data, why not...

done quick also
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,668
  • Feb 13, 2026 3:08am Feb 13, 2026 3:08am
Quoting gatorinla
I like to plan ahead. All looks good for the world now. I do see a build in copper. Nothing to worry about now. Its not likely for the aud/jpy to fall below 104.50. If it was to and sustain a day, week, and a month. It would likely be a reflection of a world downturn. It would probably need a day week close below 108.02 first. I'm say this because other pairs excluding the chf are already below their individual levels. the usd eur gbp cad have made the lower move. The Aud NZD and Chf haven't. That's the level I closed the chf short earlier, before...
The chf usd euro gbp cad 12h did not line up for the day drop. But all others but the chf, are already below their year number. The aud and kiwi did close below their individual day number. They are still above their individual month number. The CHF is too. They are not aligned verse the jpy, There is s chance they will align. If the aud drops to take the month, and the year level. That's usually a blood bath for equities say. I can not say what one is the trigger. But it would be visible. It can be bullshit I'm writing. The chf aud and nzd losing a foothold, while the others are already in the unwind mode. Can be a trigger sign. Not there yet.. But its possible. It can all pullback from the edge and be fine still.. If not it will be visible to watch..
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  • #126,669
  • Feb 13, 2026 3:23am Feb 13, 2026 3:23am
visible to me is taken -108.02 on the AUD. That would be the first speed bump that was hit yesterday. I posted it live yesterday. The second 104.5... If we closed today below on a week. That may be a deer in the headlight rare event. If a black Swan comes. See if 104.50 is lost. A close below it as the others fall can capitulate equities falling. Its not their yet. But the 12h indicated teasing 108.02.
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  • #126,670
  • Feb 13, 2026 3:49am Feb 13, 2026 3:49am
jpyx year chart. A 26% repeat is a large move.
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  • #126,671
  • Feb 13, 2026 4:00am Feb 13, 2026 4:00am
15 min
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  • #126,672
  • Feb 13, 2026 4:02am Feb 13, 2026 4:02am
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  • #126,673
  • Feb 13, 2026 4:07am Feb 13, 2026 4:07am
Heads up.. Its unlikely to happen,, most fail. If its starts falling capitulation style. We may see 104.5 today
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  • #126,674
  • Feb 13, 2026 4:10am Feb 13, 2026 4:10am
watching 7020 and 7090 on the aussie....prolly wont trade the first touch...

4hr is negative, daily still looking bullish tho..
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,675
  • Feb 13, 2026 4:35am Feb 13, 2026 4:35am
The years before 2008 mixed.. after humpty dumpty fell. it happened again. timing wise its in that 6 to7 year run. It can continue up. This is what its done in the past. Its ok to acknowledge it. Believe me in June 2008 many people didnt know. What was coming in July. It always "can happen"
7 green candles in a row is not normal
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  • #126,676
  • Feb 13, 2026 5:13am Feb 13, 2026 5:13am
A new 4-8h close is next hour..
107.93 has a indicator dynamic support. But I think 108.02 is more important. Both is a better signal. Both are supportive. Breaking is also a sign. If it all goes to hell for equites. It may test 104.5. If able to close below. That is more bear evidence. Even if that happens. A sweep back to 108.02 area may still happen again.
Lets see if bears can push it down this hour.
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  • #126,677
  • Feb 13, 2026 5:24am Feb 13, 2026 5:24am
aud/jpy
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  • #126,678
  • Feb 13, 2026 6:01am Feb 13, 2026 6:01am
Quoting PayTheLimit
1.1860/65 held on the 4hr mostly... {image}
looks more like it held now if we are honest...late in the week, time to wind it down...

look at that MA, dont have much bend to it, that's for sure....
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,679
  • Feb 13, 2026 6:04am Feb 13, 2026 6:04am
watching 77.25 for a clue in the silver...could turn it back down...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,680
  • Feb 13, 2026 6:08am Feb 13, 2026 6:08am
Quoting gatorinla
possible eu short after a run to 1885 area later. Needs a short sign.. the 12h aligned Not a signal to long to 1887.. But its a LC. It may be attracted to it. {image}
It missed the mark atm, but this is what I was talking about. A sweep, or headfake. EU. The 12h indicated a test of the lows and maybe 1818. But this sweep happens first often,
It cost me many millions of dollars to learn this,
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