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The Swamp

  • #126,641
  • Feb 12, 2026 9:32am Feb 12, 2026 9:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} possible.. but adr is above.. I'm just assuming it follows the 6h
It does not look like it atm. But the 12h did agree with the 6h. Although it is at the highs now. I took a short here.. In hope the 12h was right. The R at 1894+ is my stop.
Quoting gatorinla
I don't think the eu will be able to reach 1918+ in the next 30 min. So I think it will test yesterdays low area today. Maybe 1818.5
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,642
  • Feb 12, 2026 10:01am Feb 12, 2026 10:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It does not look like it atm. But the 12h did agree with the 6h. Although it is at the highs now. I took a short here.. In hope the 12h was right. The R at 1894+ is my stop. {quote} {image}
I may close if its not starting to fall soon.. LC is over.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,643
  • Feb 12, 2026 10:11am Feb 12, 2026 10:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I may be mad at myself for closing.. I will try to get back in, if it bounces. {image}
closing was the right decision. It bounced 200 after. I re-entered at a better price.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,644
  • Feb 12, 2026 10:22am Feb 12, 2026 10:22am
I like to plan ahead. All looks good for the world now. I do see a build in copper. Nothing to worry about now. Its not likely for the aud/jpy to fall below 104.50. If it was to and sustain a day, week, and a month. It would likely be a reflection of a world downturn. It would probably need a day week close below 108.02 first. I'm say this because other pairs excluding the chf are already below their individual levels. the usd eur gbp cad have made the lower move. The Aud NZD and Chf haven't. That's the level I closed the chf short earlier, before the 200 pip bounce. I'm not predicting anything yet. Bu if all get below those levels sustained . A correction looks likely.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,645
  • Feb 12, 2026 10:25am Feb 12, 2026 10:25am
Quoting gatorinla
I like to plan ahead. All looks good for the world now. I do see a build in copper. Nothing to worry about now. Its not likely for the aud/jpy to fall below 104.50. If it was to and sustain a day, week, and a month. It would likely be a reflection of a world downturn. It would probably need a day week close below 108.02 first. I'm say this because other pairs excluding the chf are already below their individual levels. the usd eur gbp cad have made the lower move. The Aud NZD and Chf haven't. That's the level I closed the chf short earlier, before...
since I copied the chart above.. pa has dropped.
The 108.02 level looks to be tested.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,646
  • Feb 12, 2026 10:28am Feb 12, 2026 10:28am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} since I copied the chart above.. pa has dropped. The 108.02 level looks to be tested. {image}
these are live charts..
2 min later..
I would need to close the AJ short here. Because risk of bounce. . Unless I was sure.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,647
  • Feb 12, 2026 10:32am Feb 12, 2026 10:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} these are live charts.. 2 min later.. I would need to close the AJ short here. Because risk of bounce. . Unless I was sure. {image}
1 min chart
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,648
  • Feb 12, 2026 10:37am Feb 12, 2026 10:37am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1 min chart {image}
The chf level is more powerful. If the AUD lost 108.02, while the chf lost 197.81 sustained. That would raise al eyebrow for the aud test of 104.xx. Like I said the others excluding the chf aud and nzd are opposite. A complete unwind could be bad for world equities.. The aud may fair better.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,649
  • Feb 12, 2026 10:44am Feb 12, 2026 10:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The chf level is more powerful. If the AUD lost 108.02, while the chf lost 197.81 sustained. That would raise al eyebrow for the aud test of 104.xx. Like I said the others excluding the chf aud and nzd are opposite. A complete unwind could be bad for world equities.. The aud may fair better. {image}
kiwi and its support levels to watch.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,650
  • Feb 12, 2026 10:53am Feb 12, 2026 10:53am
My opinion is Australia is now posed to refine rare earth. That was enough to give it more of a façade. If not the AUD would not be this high. Just an unprovable opinion. But without the move to refine rare earth. The Aud would be below 104 now. It would had never been able to climb as high in 2026. 2026 is when the refining is supposed to be starting
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,651
  • Edited 1:01pm Feb 12, 2026 11:22am | Edited 1:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
The yenX is between s and R {image}
testing yen R breakout. yenx
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,652
  • Feb 12, 2026 11:59am Feb 12, 2026 11:59am
back to the lows for EU...would not surprise me...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,653
  • Feb 12, 2026 7:58pm Feb 12, 2026 7:58pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I may close if its not starting to fall soon.. LC is over.
I just closed the eu short..
That may allow it to drop.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,654
  • Feb 12, 2026 8:12pm Feb 12, 2026 8:12pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I just closed the eu short.. That may allow it to drop.
If the eu runs above 1889 in the next 2 hs to close. The eu 12h may align for bulls. Bears below. Its not a auto. after the close, it can move further from the indicated direction, before aligned direction
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,655
  • Feb 12, 2026 8:34pm Feb 12, 2026 8:34pm
Still above support
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,656
  • Feb 13, 2026 12:30am Feb 13, 2026 12:30am
Quoting PayTheLimit
back to the lows for EU...would not surprise me... {image}
looks like the 4hr rolling over also, maybe try for 1.1820....
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,657
  • Edited 3:24am Feb 13, 2026 12:38am | Edited 3:24am
if the shoe fits, wear it....
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,658
  • Edited 1:11am Feb 13, 2026 12:53am | Edited 1:11am
long yen scalp maybe building...took some, add on the hour...

done.
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,659
  • Feb 13, 2026 1:44am Feb 13, 2026 1:44am
Quoting PayTheLimit
long yen scalp maybe building...took some, add on the hour... done. {image}
longUJ = short yen? or have i misunderstood?
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #126,660
  • Feb 13, 2026 3:25am Feb 13, 2026 3:25am
Quoting axecap
{quote} longUJ = short yen? or have i misunderstood?
long UJ mate...sorry

closed it quick tho..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
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