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Superfly!

  • #241
  • Feb 6, 2026 10:55am Feb 6, 2026 10:55am
Quoting The Fool
try another for Monday, looking for some pullback on the day.....watching the 2/9 6925/6950 bull calls, want for < $5 {image}
REAL trade below. Simpler if not better (jury still out) just to put on the fly and move on. I don't always have time to piecemeal flys together.

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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #242
  • Feb 6, 2026 11:53am Feb 6, 2026 11:53am
Quoting The Fool
{quote}in reality, I'd probably just buy back the bull puts for good profit, but I could lock in a $3 gain and form the no-risk fly as shown. Will paper trade the latter...
maybe get a pullback into the close below 6890.

I may go bull calls on a pullback for Monday and try for cheap fly formation off that then, if we rally further. Friday rallies will usually continue into Monday, as Asia comes back to pile on.

Not gonna narrate these much anymore, you get the idea.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #243
  • Feb 6, 2026 2:17pm Feb 6, 2026 2:17pm
trying the 2-step with NDX....looking to sell the 25400/25450 for $4 or better b4 the close

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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #244
  • Feb 6, 2026 2:39pm Feb 6, 2026 2:39pm
get on up NDX!
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #245
  • Feb 6, 2026 2:45pm Feb 6, 2026 2:45pm
filled, 100-wide NDX fly for $25 has a chance to make > $4k.

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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #246
  • Feb 9, 2026 7:15pm Feb 9, 2026 7:15pm
SPX fly combo for the week. If we get a dip I might go long also.
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #247
  • Feb 9, 2026 7:19pm Feb 9, 2026 7:19pm
similarly NDX
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #248
  • Feb 12, 2026 10:43am Feb 12, 2026 10:43am
Quoting The Fool
similarly NDX
took off the put fly for $20, watching to take off the fotm put vert
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #249
  • Edited 12:36pm Feb 12, 2026 10:45am | Edited 12:36pm
Quoting The Fool
SPX fly combo for the week. If we get a dip I might go long also.
took off 2 of the 6750 put cldr for $12, watching the rest

....took off 1 of the put fly for $10.30. When I get a touch of the fly mid, I will start taking profit, regardless of time remaining.

...now flat except for 1 of the wide put flys, will take a chance on that maybe. Maybe not, as CPI tomorrow could move markets hard.

...last fly off for $10.50. I thought this was looking like a flat-to-loss week but the sell-off today saved my bacon
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #250
  • Edited 12:56pm Feb 12, 2026 12:26pm | Edited 12:56pm
btfd never far away
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easy to see a rally to 6900 by the close. I will likely cash out the flys above on any such thing. A dollar net each will be fine and I'll think about something else for CPI day.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #251
  • Feb 12, 2026 1:31pm Feb 12, 2026 1:31pm
Quoting The Fool
btfd never far away {image} {image} easy to see a rally to 6900 by the close. I will likely cash out the flys above on any such thing. A dollar net each will be fine and I'll think about something else for CPI day.
Need a completion of the inverse head and shoulders pattern forming on the /es (alongside a H&S on the /vx) 5 min chart and you will be quite happy with those calls.

The /es will have to break the 50MA (5 min) and 20MA (15 min) to achieve liftoff though. Add that to the resistance we see around 6895 and it's going to take some commitment from the bulls...
  • #252
  • Feb 12, 2026 2:56pm Feb 12, 2026 2:56pm
Quoting The Fool
easy to see a rally to 6900 by the close. I will likely cash out the flys above on any such thing. A dollar net each will be fine and I'll think about something else for CPI day.
we'll see what tomorrow brings
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #253
  • Feb 13, 2026 10:54am Feb 13, 2026 10:54am
SPX trying to rally and I will have to take what these flys are giving pretty soon. Not gonna wait for a magic finish above 6900, but that could
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be in the cards...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #254
  • Feb 13, 2026 11:20am Feb 13, 2026 11:20am
$3 tp hit, a $0.40 profit. Feeling lucky to get out w/o a loss....

Looking at bull calls for 2/17...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #255
  • Edited 12:38pm Feb 13, 2026 11:45am | Edited 12:38pm
for 2/17
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If I can grab a dollar on this by the close, I will - need SPX to break to 6900.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #256
  • Feb 18, 2026 9:31am Feb 18, 2026 9:31am
Quoting The Fool
for 2/17 {image} If I can grab a dollar on this by the close, I will - need SPX to break to 6900.
a 0dte put fly, entered when SPX was at 6900, after a 55 pt run up, I figure it will give some back

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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #257
  • Feb 18, 2026 12:36pm Feb 18, 2026 12:36pm
Quoting The Fool
{quote} a 0dte put fly, entered when SPX was at 6900, after a 55 pt run up, I figure it will give some back
watching paint dry finally took it off for a $2 gain....slow b4 the FOMC minutes, maybe that'll break things loose. I might buy a strangle a minute ahead.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #258
  • Feb 18, 2026 12:56pm Feb 18, 2026 12:56pm
looking for the 6900 pin to close
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #259
  • Feb 18, 2026 2:07pm Feb 18, 2026 2:07pm
Quoting The Fool
looking for the 6900 pin to close
lookin like a bust
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #260
  • Feb 18, 2026 3:00pm Feb 18, 2026 3:00pm
almost but no cigar

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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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