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  • #19,061
  • Feb 10, 2026 9:42pm Feb 10, 2026 9:42pm
EU looks bullish for now after a fake breakout of the rising trendline
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,062
  • Edited Feb 11, 2026 10:24pm Feb 10, 2026 10:27pm | Edited Feb 11, 2026 10:24pm
The EUR/USD pair is cautiously bullish today as it waits for the US NFP release. The level of 1.1928 protects sellers from any spike higher towards the 1.1955–1.1965 resistance zone. Support sits below 1.1900 at the 1.1885 low, a break there should find more buyers within the 1.1865–1.1870 support zone.

Daily volatility (range) 52 pips

Significant news - US Non-Farm Employment Change & US Unemployment

Have great day!

1H
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,063
  • Feb 11, 2026 12:13am Feb 11, 2026 12:13am
Eurusd h1
Trendlines,SMC

H1 CHOCH UP 1.1897 remains valid as long as:
we hold above 1.1890–1.1895

and we do not print an H1 close below this HL
If we drop below 1.1890 → CHOCH UP is weakened / invalidated.

Key point now
We are below H4 resistance:
1.1925
1.1950

If H1 closes above 1.1925 → continuation higher becomes very likely.
If price rejects and closes back below 1.1890 → CHOCH UP has failed.
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,064
  • Edited 4:08am Feb 11, 2026 3:12am | Edited 4:08am
Quoting johncen
EU looks bullish for now after a fake breakout of the rising trendline {image}
probably poor R/R to go long here so i will stay sideline to see if we will pull back lower
nfp today and cpi on Friday. Unless the data are super bad, not sure by how much it would move the market.
if data showing resilience in US economy may support to dollars for a rebounce
however for today’s nfp we also expect to see benchmark revision and it is expected to be down! Showing job market in the US is in trouble which may lead towards earlier rate cut this year. It would be a bad news for the dollars
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,065
  • Feb 11, 2026 3:14am Feb 11, 2026 3:14am
This resistance cant hold forever, the battering ram is underway.
  • #19,066
  • Feb 11, 2026 4:14am Feb 11, 2026 4:14am
Quoting johncen
{quote} probably poor R/R to go long here so i will stay sideline to see if we will pull back lower nfp today and cpi on Friday. Unless the data are super bad, not sure by how much it would move the market. if data showing resilience in US economy may support to dollars for a rebounce however for today’s nfp we also expect to see benchmark revision and it is expected to be down! Showing job market in the US is in trouble which may lead towards earlier rate cut this year. It would be a bad news for the dollars
I will watch for a Liquidity Sweep at/below the 1.1885 before the main move. Often, the market dips to grab retail stops before the institutional buying kicks in for the real breakout.

Also I'm buying the break out only if numbers support it strong but should close at break even as 1.1965 hits! That's a difficult set-up as slipage will be huge I suppose.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,067
  • Feb 11, 2026 4:29am Feb 11, 2026 4:29am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I will watch for a Liquidity Sweep at/below the 1.1885 before the main move. Often, the market dips to grab retail stops before the institutional buying kicks in for the real breakout. Also I'm buying the break out only if numbers support it strong but should close at break even as 1.1965 hits! That's a difficult set-up as slipage will be huge I suppose.
yea i dnt see a good r/r to do much here. Have to wait after the news
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,068
  • Feb 11, 2026 5:03am Feb 11, 2026 5:03am
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  • #19,069
  • Edited 7:55am Feb 11, 2026 7:39am | Edited 7:55am
wow! All green!

Edit: annual revision down remain significant so i would say mixed signals and may limit the down

come on bear lets bring 1743
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #19,070
  • Feb 11, 2026 9:20am Feb 11, 2026 9:20am
Quoting johncen
wow! All green! Edit: annual revision down remain significant so i would say mixed signals and may limit the down come on bear lets bring 1743
Some rumors say that the big number was just from the US reopening after the shutdown and we'll need more nfp numbers to see whats really happening. I think the pair is trying to go above 1.1900 again. Not going to be aggressive on a drop for sure as the techs say up.


Also the revision was too low. -862K
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,071
  • Feb 11, 2026 9:25am Feb 11, 2026 9:25am
Quoting Luxyus
{quote} more likely a sell day to 1.1864
sitting on but wont last
chaos is just unknown order
  • #19,072
  • Feb 11, 2026 11:54am Feb 11, 2026 11:54am
Quoting josip
Eurusd h1 Trendlines,SMC H1 CHOCH UP 1.1897 remains valid as long as: we hold above 1.1890–1.1895 and we do not print an H1 close below this HL If we drop below 1.1890 → CHOCH UP is weakened / invalidated. Key point now We are below H4 resistance: 1.1925 1.1950 If H1 closes above 1.1925 → continuation higher becomes very likely. If price rejects and closes back below 1.1890 → CHOCH UP has failed. {image}
Update

If price:
holds below 1.1886
→ short bias remains → target zone 1.1820–1.1780
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,073
  • Feb 11, 2026 3:29pm Feb 11, 2026 3:29pm
DXY H1


H4 CHOCH DOWN → 96.472
H4 BOS DOWN → 96.975
We are currently between 96.472 – 96.65.
Above 96.65, the H1 bullish structure activates.


As long as DXY is below 96.975 → H4 remains bearish.
If it breaks and holds above 96.65 → short-term squeeze higher.
If it loses 96.472 → continuation of bearish pressure.

Connection to EURUSD
If DXY remains below 96.62–96.65: EURUSD can break 1.1886
next target 1.1910–1.1920
then 1.1950 (H4 R)

When would 1.1886 hold on EURUSD?
If DXY:
prints an H1 close above 96.65
confirms continuation higher
Then 1.1886 on EURUSD would likely act as resistance.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #19,074
  • Edited Feb 12, 2026 12:03am Feb 11, 2026 8:33pm | Edited Feb 12, 2026 12:03am
After the NFP data was released and the initial drive straight down to 1.18332 the market recovered to 1.18935 midday before declining again on a much more stable pullback. So here we are premarket London Session and just back off 1.18847 Up around 4 Pips. Breaking 1.18935 to the upside seems significant to me as that would new high ground after the NFP release. Still very early with lots of time and possibilities. Looking at it again later after some sleep it went back to the well to grab overnight liquidity. Oh, wait...its climbing out of the drunk tank again. lol
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  • #19,075
  • Feb 11, 2026 10:33pm Feb 11, 2026 10:33pm
The EUR/USD is currently consolidating after recovering some of the ground lost in yesterday's drop. The level of 1.1894 is acting as resistance, preventing a rise above the 1.1900 round number toward 1.1928. On the downside, support levels at 1.1851 and 1.1827/33 are protecting against a further drop toward 1.1800.

Daily volatility (range) 50 pips

Significant news - US Unemployment Claims


Have great day!

1H
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #19,076
  • Feb 12, 2026 4:26am Feb 12, 2026 4:26am
I am locking for entry
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Hi I'm Aayush.j
  • #19,077
  • Feb 12, 2026 5:11am Feb 12, 2026 5:11am
Quoting aayushjaiswa
I am locking for entry {image}
M15 middle Bollinger + 100SMA M15, fight area
  • #19,078
  • Feb 12, 2026 6:44am Feb 12, 2026 6:44am
Quoting aayushjaiswa
I am locking for entry {image}
I love seeing the SMC/ICT style charts/strategy. Great chart.
  • #19,079
  • Feb 12, 2026 8:28am Feb 12, 2026 8:28am
pullback !
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  • #19,080
  • Feb 12, 2026 8:43am Feb 12, 2026 8:43am
short it !!
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