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The Swamp

  • #126,601
  • Feb 9, 2026 9:51am Feb 9, 2026 9:51am
Quoting gatorinla
done for the day/wk unless I get a decent entry.
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EU 1894* see if it has some support there.
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  • #126,602
  • Feb 9, 2026 10:13am Feb 9, 2026 10:13am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The gold close I have this week is 4,964.62. That's just 1.055$ above 4,963.475
The slight bull side close. favored gold up
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  • #126,603
  • Feb 9, 2026 11:19am Feb 9, 2026 11:19am
Quoting PayTheLimit
Below 69400ish, looking for shorts in BTC.. {image}
I have it a little higher may form R as an old support before.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,604
  • Feb 9, 2026 11:46am Feb 9, 2026 11:46am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I have it a little higher may form R as an old support before. {image}
noted...looks like I wait a while more...no rush
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,605
  • Edited 3:01pm Feb 9, 2026 2:51pm | Edited 3:01pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} noted...looks like I wait a while more...no rush
I cant say for sure if it means much. I had 70,860 as a possible place of interest on the drop, I thought could support. It hasn't supported, but it may have the residual R there now. Over it's history even when less than 40$, after a ATH. Bitcoin retraced 75%. Stalled a year+ in that area before making a new ATH. 44.118 would be about right.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,606
  • Feb 9, 2026 3:20pm Feb 9, 2026 3:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image} EU 1894* see if it has some support there.
1894 supporting so far. I m on sideline
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,607
  • Feb 9, 2026 6:42pm Feb 9, 2026 6:42pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} 1894 supporting so far. I m on sideline
to be honest with you, to me 1743 is larger than 1894. In the big scheme both are large. The trades I closed this week already. I may take the same trade again if it comes back
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,608
  • Feb 9, 2026 6:50pm Feb 9, 2026 6:50pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} to be honest with you, to me 1743 is larger than 1894. In the big scheme both are large. The trades I closed this week already. I may take the same trade again if it comes back
yea above 1743 is bullish no doubt in a larger time frame and that remain unchanged. Meaning bull in control and still can go higher.
same for dxy as we didnt claimed back the long term rising trendline and to me we set to go lower and lower.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,609
  • Feb 9, 2026 6:52pm Feb 9, 2026 6:52pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} 1894 supporting so far. I m on sideline
You may want to give 1894 some room.. Maybe 40 pips. It closed a day above. 1874ish could support some.
It has the attraction to 1911.. So if it failing to retrace or stalling.. In the air at or below 1894.. It may catch a bull move. 1874 gives about 37 pips.. s/l can be based on its r/r.
You may find an entry in that 0/40ish pips zone.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,610
  • Feb 9, 2026 9:30pm Feb 9, 2026 9:30pm
Last week the yen was weak. That looks to have changed. On the majors, all but the aj has crossed the bear line to me. The aud is close to testing it on this fall. 109.869/109.55 is where I wanted to long.. But that's not so clear now because the other crosses are so weak. /the aud I had as the strongest last week.
Its still the stronger one, but the yen is stronger than last weeks on all the others.
The aud may join them against the yen
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,611
  • Feb 9, 2026 9:45pm Feb 9, 2026 9:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
Last week the yen was weak. That looks to have changed. On the majors, all but the aj has crossed the bear line to me. The aud is close to testing it on this fall. 109.869/109.55 is where I wanted to long.. But that's not so clear now because the other crosses are so weak. /the aud I had as the strongest last week. Its still the stronger one, but the yen is stronger than last weeks on all the others. The aud may join them against the yen {image}
If the next h closes below 109.869.. That's a 6h close. That more often leads to a down day. That should indicate the yen retrace on strength. Above is more a bullish line up.. LC would look doable.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,612
  • Feb 9, 2026 10:02pm Feb 9, 2026 10:02pm
I think it has a better chance to rise 60 pips.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,613
  • Feb 9, 2026 10:19pm Feb 9, 2026 10:19pm
Quoting gatorinla
I think it has a better chance to rise 60 pips. {image}
My 6h on the bear side of the AJ. I will try a long 109.70ish. s/l about 109.56.. need a small long trigger.. LC tp would be about 75 pips, verse a 14 pips s/l
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  • #126,614
  • Feb 10, 2026 4:22am Feb 10, 2026 4:22am
Quoting gatorinla
I think it has a better chance to rise 60 pips. {image}
this right here is the 12h,, it closed opposite of the 6h close. plus , the 6h indicator earlier was at odds with that 6h close. 2 out of 3 things pointed down.
It cut the odds of the LC run. I closed with a few pips.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,615
  • Feb 10, 2026 4:52am Feb 10, 2026 4:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} this right here is the 12h,, it closed opposite of the 6h close. plus , the 6h indicator earlier was at odds with that 6h close. 2 out of 3 things pointed down. It cut the odds of the LC run. I closed with a few pips. {image}
The ea and eu confirmed the aud is weaker looking today. The yen looks the strongest today over euro and aud. the usd even weaker
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,616
  • Feb 10, 2026 4:56am Feb 10, 2026 4:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The ea and eu confirmed the aud is weaker looking today. The yen looks the strongest today over euro and aud. the usd even weaker
some pressure to go North on eu..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,617
  • Feb 10, 2026 2:18pm Feb 10, 2026 2:18pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} some pressure to go North on eu.. {image}
bull didnt manage to close above 1919-20.
we still can see a close above this week, may need some help from bad nfp or cpi figures.

i would prefer some further drop but as of now. No bear yet
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,618
  • Feb 10, 2026 2:54pm Feb 10, 2026 2:54pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} bull didnt manage to close above 1919-20. we still can see a close above this week, may need some help from bad nfp or cpi figures. i would prefer some further drop but as of now. No bear yet
The way the 12h closed last to me made the support have a better chance to hold, the R a better chance to break. That don't mean it will. It made a LL and a HH in that period since the 12h close.
That LL after a hh is suspect now. To rise it would need to hang above 1913 I think
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  • #126,619
  • Feb 10, 2026 6:13pm Feb 10, 2026 6:13pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} bull didnt manage to close above 1919-20. we still can see a close above this week, may need some help from bad nfp or cpi figures. i would prefer some further drop but as of now. No bear yet
I cant give this 100 %. If the 6h closes above 1914. The 12husualy follows. If the 12h close is above 1914. It usually means it wants to test a break out area. In this case above 1914 points North.

Below 1913 6h, and 12h points South in a mirror was as the longs for shorting. Trend wise pa is above 1743 and 1818.5. If its to fall, the area around 1818 is the likely fall.

ATM pa is below 1913. If its to be bullish its may have a unexplained rise above 1914 in the next 4hs. A likely larger green candle.

In 4hs it may give the clue.
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  • #126,620
  • Feb 10, 2026 6:22pm Feb 10, 2026 6:22pm
It can stay where it is to be on the bear side of 1894. A green candle above those R's should be a b/o. But the adr is just above 50 pips..
If it jumps above 1894, it may be trying for 1914+
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