The Swamp

I think if it closed the next 6h below 1791 it would help.
I made some coins on other pairs. I'm done for the week, unless one meets my threshold.

The AUD looks to have rise potential, with a window support. .6080/.7005
The last several 4h candles are closing above .7004x

it can even go to 1670 if below 1743

Some movement on the aud.

atm the usd and cad look worse than the eu. All look like the dirty shirt. compared to the aud.
I think the yen pairs want to rise. But they are near highs

aud still have room to go higher after rate hike.
not sure about yen and gold.

The eu 6h closed above 1791. the 12h h most often follows the indication. PA may still retrace some lower from here. This 6h indication places a move higher at a better chance. It reduced the chance of 1743/57 imho. At least for today. Plus the trend is up, and just being above 1743 can be bullish. I had hope the support at 1743 would be tested.

I got a weaker yen outlook. The uj is still on the bear side of 156.73.
The other majors are on the bull side.. Just the usd is lower.
That's an indication the weak yen, is still stronger than the usd for now.

Use that close of that massive bar in Silver for a pivot...

sell rallies in S&P's this week I think....

eu That 6h may help 1809/13 support.

The usd don't look in good shape. If its foreign investment leaving the equity's market. That would make sense

Follow up...Question.. This could get peoples attention if it follows through.

Is there any evidence that foreign investors are leaving the equities markets via the usd is weakening
As of
early February 2026, there is active evidence of a "Sell America" sentiment emerging among global investors, though it is characterized more by a pivot toward international diversification and currency hedging rather than a mass abandonment of U.S. equities.
While the S&P 500 reached an all-time high recently, substantial capital outflows have been documented at the start of the year. For the week ending January 21, 2026, U.S. equity funds recorded a net outflow of $16.8 billion, while regions like Europe and Japan saw inflows.
Key Evidence of Shift

1. Currency Hedging Surge: Foreign investors are increasingly staying invested in U.S. assets but "selling the dollar" via hedges. In late 2025, roughly 80% of funds flowing into foreign-domiciled U.S. equity ETFs were on a currency-hedged basis, up from just 20% at the start of that year.
2. Rotation to International Markets: Non-U.S. equities significantly outperformed U.S. markets in 2025, with the FTSE All-World ex US Index returning 32.6% compared to the FTSE USA's 18.0%. This trend has persisted into 2026, with emerging markets like Brazil seeing massive inflows—17.7 billion reais in just the first three weeks of January.
3. US Dollar Weakness: The U.S. dollar index (DXY) has dropped 9.53% over the last 12 months, closing at 97.38 on February 3, 2026. Morgan Stanley estimates the currency could lose another 10% by the end of 2026.

US Dollar Index (DXY) Trend (Jan 2026 - Feb 2026)
2026-01-022026-01-092026-01-162026-01-232026-01-302026-02-022026-02-03020406080
Market Sentiment & Policy Drivers
The current "ex-America" trade is fueled by policy uncertainties, including potential tariffs and threats to Federal Reserve independence. While November 2025 TIC data showed strong foreign net purchases of $92.2 billion in U.S. stocks, more recent reports from January 2026 indicate a sharp reversal as investors seek to avoid losses from a further sliding greenback. For foreign investors, a weakening dollar erodes the returns of unhedged U.S. holdings, making offshore markets like Europe and emerging economies more attractive in their home currency terms.

I don't know what happened,, The usd got a little boost.

looks like some Silver weakness on the short term chart...

be quick on them now...

The AUD weakened enough.

If this current h close is below .7004x.. It may be a scratch. It may become a short.

I got mixed signals on the aud now.

I think audusd should go higher after this 4h breakdown.

scalp to the low....

man they move quick...