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  • #18,921
  • Feb 3, 2026 9:24am Feb 3, 2026 9:24am
Eu seems stopped moving before s collapse below 1.1776. Its a wait and see mode before a move so waiting for the market to show its hand before any move now.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,922
  • Feb 3, 2026 9:50am Feb 3, 2026 9:50am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Eu seems stopped moving before s collapse below 1.1776. Its a wait and see mode before a move so waiting for the market to show its hand before any move now.
I was trying to short into the drop zone last night multiple times and it just would not break down. When it went back this morning after the open it felt like the movie 'Groundhog Day' so I took a starter position and still have it. Now I am leaning more towards the big boys going after the shorts overhead with lots of resting orders to cover up there but still cautious. The Support at red arrows just would not give up ground. Second image is current. I set an alert at 1.17908 and have fallen asleep twice at my computer. lol
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  • #18,923
  • Feb 3, 2026 10:13am Feb 3, 2026 10:13am
Quoting Twocans
{quote} I was trying to short into the drop zone last night multiple times and it just would not break down. When it went back this morning after the open it felt like the movie 'Groundhog Day' so I took a starter position and still have it. Now I am leaning more towards the big boys going after the shorts overhead with lots of resting orders to cover up there but still cautious. The Support at red arrows just would not give up ground. Second image is current. I set an alert at 1.17908 and have fallen asleep twice at my computer. lol {image} {image}...
Seems no more shorting here only higher or lower. Ranging mode for now. I have collected some sell orders and feel safer now. Who knows that might break higher after all that pain.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,924
  • Feb 3, 2026 10:28am Feb 3, 2026 10:28am
Quoting AmDrafax
GOOD LUCK Here's what I expect for the next few hours: A pullback towards the CHOCH formed by the double top, followed by a continuation of the decline. I speculate that the EMA50 will coincide with the CHOCH, which would give me another indication. Support level: 1.17626. If it doesn't go back, I'll look for another way in Meanwhile, I'm going to sleep to wait for NY {image}
I made the mistake of ignoring the reaction at a M5 support level; I ignored it out of overconfidence and I paid the price.
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  • #18,925
  • Feb 3, 2026 10:50am Feb 3, 2026 10:50am
I marked the 3AM (this morning) high in my time zone and the 'Pop n drop' during yesterdays NY session with red arrows. If price crosses over the overnight high its most likely going higher. If it crosses the 1.18301 +- then we're in short squeeze territory.
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  • #18,926
  • Feb 3, 2026 12:36pm Feb 3, 2026 12:36pm
eurusd H1
trendlines, SMC

Nothing new since yesterday.
1.1845 is now the correct level to watch — as a pullback boundary within an already broken H4 structure.

 

  1. Above 1.1845 → H4 can still transition into a range / pullback
  2. Below 1.1845 → H4 bearish bias
  3. H4 close below 1.1760 → fully confirmed bearish trend

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #18,927
  • Feb 3, 2026 2:13pm Feb 3, 2026 2:13pm
Quoting josip
eurusd H1 trendlines, SMC Nothing new since yesterday. 1.1845 is now the correct level to watch — as a pullback boundary within an already broken H4 structure. Above 1.1845 → H4 can still transition into a range / pullback Below 1.1845 → H4 bearish bias H4 close below 1.1760 → fully confirmed bearish trend {image}
nice chart as always
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #18,928
  • Feb 3, 2026 10:30pm Feb 3, 2026 10:30pm
The EUR/USD continues to trade in consolidation mode above 1.1800 and the 1.1776 low. It currently lacks momentum at the resistance trendline from the 1.2082 high. If the pair pushes higher, 1.1875 and 1.1895 could be the next targets. Conversely, if a drop occurs, 1.1800 and 1.1776 should be the first targets before reaching 1.1769/61.


Daily volatility (range) 57 pips

Significant news - EU CPI & US ADP Employment Change


Have great day!

1H
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,929
  • Feb 3, 2026 10:41pm Feb 3, 2026 10:41pm
Likewise bruhv
It is what it is
  • #18,930
  • Edited 10:55pm Feb 3, 2026 10:44pm | Edited 10:55pm
All you devil dogs up late or napped EUR/USD IS VERY NEAR BREAKING INTO A LIQUIDITY IMBALNCE. Just posting FYI... not pumping.. it couuld go down or sit here all night. Pivot is 1.183
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  • #18,931
  • Feb 3, 2026 10:51pm Feb 3, 2026 10:51pm
Eu opened up room for 1850 1865 level
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #18,932
  • Edited Feb 4, 2026 12:01am Feb 3, 2026 11:33pm | Edited Feb 4, 2026 12:01am
EURUSD
SMC

There has been a change on H1 compared to yesterday.

H1 – clean verdict (without H4 context)
H1 CHOCH UP
Occurred at 1.18292
Price:

  1. broke the last H1 lower high
  2. after a sequence of LH / LL → character change

CHOCH UP = confirmed
H1 BOS UP
Same level: 1.18292
After the CHOCH:

  1. price continued higher
  2. confirmed a new bullish leg

BOS UP = confirmed
What this means on H1
H1 structure:

  1. Higher Low → Higher High

H1 bias:

  1. bullish

1.1829:

  1. structural pivot
  2. current support for the H1 trend


H1 CLOSE BELOW 1.18292
Important: an H1 candle close, not just a spike.
On H1:

  1. the bullish structure has failed
  2. BOS UP is invalidated

Result:

  1. H1 returns to a bearish regime
  2. again:

    1. LH
    2. pressure toward LL




Yes, we are bearish on H1 again.

On H4:
CHOCH DOWN @ 1.19415 (confirmed)
Below 1.1845 = bearish H4 bias
Price is at 1.18xx → still below the H4 structure boundary
Therefore:

  1. H1 = counter-trend rally
  2. H4 = main trend still DOWN


Current state, SUMMARY
H1:
Short-term UP
– holding above 1.18292 (H1 BOS / CHOCH UP)
H4:
DOWN
– below 1.19415 (H4 CHOCH DOWN)
– main direction still bearish
Timeframe conflict: H1 correction vs. H4 trend

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #18,933
  • Feb 4, 2026 12:27am Feb 4, 2026 12:27am
Quoting Twocans
More and more eyeballs will start picking up on it and alerts will wake some of them up out of REM... lol Question: What do you see here just above 1.183 going on? IMHO I see Longs getting flushed out on tiny pullbacks and the deep pockets 'soaking' up shares to go along with shorts covering to build huge inventory. Question: What and who will they need to off load these positions at higher prices? I think they will manipulate Shorts into covering positions that are losing ground or or worse held to go negative. When the get done dumping their Longs...
You might want to focus on your trading and your performance and not look what others do. The market is not always right but you can get better with hard work, patience and discipline.

I look for a possible run to resistance or break of support and then wait for news to trade (some times before) but will not always get in a trade as the conditions doesn't always allow me to.

Sorry if I'm offending you! I just think you are new trader and have much to learn yet!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,934
  • Feb 4, 2026 12:35am Feb 4, 2026 12:35am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} You might want to focus on your trading and your performance and not look what others do. The market is not always right but you can get better with hard work, patience and discipline. I look for a possible run to resistance or break of support and then wait for news to trade (some times before) but will not always get in a trade as the conditions doesn't always allow me to. Sorry if I'm offending you! I just think you are new trader and have much to learn yet!
Lol... no good deed goes unpunished. I started trading with IBD newspaper about 35 years ago and bought the eTrade IPO in the mid 90's when online brokers were despised and shunned. Never look at another man's process unless you have walked in his shoes. We all find our own way by falling down and getting back up.
  • #18,935
  • Feb 4, 2026 12:41am Feb 4, 2026 12:41am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} You might want to focus on your trading and your performance and not look what others do. The market is not always right but you can get better with hard work, patience and discipline. I look for a possible run to resistance or break of support and then wait for news to trade (some times before) but will not always get in a trade as the conditions doesn't always allow me to. Sorry if I'm offending you! I just think you are new trader and have much to learn yet!
The market isn’t right or wrong — it’s indifferent. Price moves on flows, positioning, and liquidity. The narratives we attach to those moves are our own interpretations, not the market’s truth.
  • #18,936
  • Feb 4, 2026 12:45am Feb 4, 2026 12:45am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} You might want to focus on your trading and your performance and not look what others do. The market is not always right but you can get better with hard work, patience and discipline. I look for a possible run to resistance or break of support and then wait for news to trade (some times before) but will not always get in a trade as the conditions doesn't always allow me to. Sorry if I'm offending you! I just think you are new trader and have much to learn yet!
swing long target 4me is at 1.22000
  • #18,937
  • Feb 4, 2026 1:21am Feb 4, 2026 1:21am
Quoting Twocans
{quote} Lol... no good deed goes unpunished. I started trading with IBD newspaper about 35 years ago and bought the eTrade IPO in the mid 90's when online brokers were despised and shunned. Never look at another man's process unless you have walked in his shoes. We all find our own way by falling down and getting back up.
Some off topic but you have traded other markets and know the pros and cons of trading them, but you are trading EURUSD why!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,938
  • Feb 4, 2026 1:25am Feb 4, 2026 1:25am
Quoting T721
{quote} swing long target 4me is at 1.22000
I have lowered my view some but that's just market fluctuations when momentum comes back I think we'll reach 1.2300 or some higher as Its hard to stop a freight train when it moves!

If it breaks below 1.17xx...( Ill post when time comes) 1.1600 could be a hard bottom, but yet 1.1750 -/+ is holding for longs.

Thanks!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,939
  • Feb 4, 2026 3:20am Feb 4, 2026 3:20am
Was expecting 1850 since yesterday….. will we get there?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #18,940
  • Feb 4, 2026 3:59am Feb 4, 2026 3:59am
Quoting johncen
Was expecting 1850 since yesterday….. will we get there?
Hope so!
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Stop Procrastinating
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