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The Swamp

  • #126,501
  • Feb 1, 2026 7:26pm Feb 1, 2026 7:26pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} maybe we are forming the right shoulder. If yes then puts 1743 on the table {image}
I need to wait.
I think if it closes the 6h below 1894. It would have a shot for the 12h to look for a low below Friday's. If that's the case I may try a short 189x/1914ish (with a sign). But I need it to continue closing below that 1894 area. 15m R at 1889, 30m 1907.
Once the 6h and 12h closes it can give a direction.. That don't mean it will go that way immediately. Let it find R first, and/or use a signal.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,502
  • Feb 1, 2026 7:29pm Feb 1, 2026 7:29pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I need to wait. I think if it closes the 6h below 1894. It would have a shot for the 12h to look for a low below Friday's. If that's the case I may try a short 189x/1914ish (with a sign). But I need it to continue closing below that 1894 area. 15m R at 1889, 30m 1907. Once the 6h and 12h closes it can give a direction.. That don't mean it will go that way immediately. Let it find R first, and/or use a signal. {image}
sharing similar plan here.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,503
  • Feb 1, 2026 10:06pm Feb 1, 2026 10:06pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} sharing similar plan here.
The 6h has a close now. The trend is bullish over 1743 sustained to me. That 6h close usually lines up with the 12h. I look to short a retrace to the 189x area as in the chart shown earlier. Hopefully it will be rejected on a route to retest the 1743 support area and rise after.
Support can be 173X/175x.. The point is it closes above 1743 and rises after to a trending rise. 1.2094 has a shot.
Its already bullish to me being above 1743. I'm counting on it retesting that area. It may not. But the 6h has that bear look. The 12h has yet to show its.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,504
  • Feb 1, 2026 10:34pm Feb 1, 2026 10:34pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} sharing similar plan here.
If the 12h close is above 1895, more so +1918. Look to long if it was able to retrace 1894/73.. It may not retrace, the boat may have sailed by then.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,505
  • Feb 2, 2026 12:09am Feb 2, 2026 12:09am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If the 12h close is above 1895, more so +1918. Look to long if it was able to retrace 1894/73.. It may not retrace, the boat may have sailed by then.
Above 1907 to me puts 1743 off the table. Now let see 1830 level will be defended
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,506
  • Feb 2, 2026 6:25am Feb 2, 2026 6:25am
Quoting charlienoble
bought 1.1843, stops at break even, target 1.1940. It'll hit one of them. Beginning to wonder if it's going to get past 1.1870
stop was hit. Sidelines for now.
  • #126,507
  • Feb 2, 2026 9:14am Feb 2, 2026 9:14am
Quoting johncen
{quote} Above 1907 to me puts 1743 off the table. Now let see 1830 level will be defended
Yeah, that's a "what if". Early week the drop closer to test 1737/43/57 Once that low support is established at the b/o area 1743 area. I think we can see newer highs. 1.2094 may be like 2083. I think 1817 months back had the same mo. I may need to add a secondary I don't have yet above 2094.

I don't think 1705 is part of this retrace now. Its being below 1743 and 1757. I will place it (1705) here in case. I got many of the algos. I don't have the rules they follow in order.
The week average range is about 1731. I have a day trend support at 1721. I have the year at 1743. A normal weekly run often hits near 1757. So this area has the potential for a long term support. It would need to retake +1894.. Its relatively large also on the month. It should had cemented the 1743 support with this test its about to make.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,508
  • Feb 2, 2026 9:24am Feb 2, 2026 9:24am
Gap is now filled. We didnt get a retest to 1890 before filling the gap. Hmmmm
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,509
  • Feb 2, 2026 9:25am Feb 2, 2026 9:25am
If the support in the 1743 area is proven to be true. A week average range can be 143 pips, a month 352 pips. Since it may be 1 year fair value. A quarter or 6mth candle would be larger.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,510
  • Feb 2, 2026 9:30am Feb 2, 2026 9:30am
I never changed it.. The blue box is the old support area. PA tends to have memory.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,511
  • Feb 2, 2026 9:35am Feb 2, 2026 9:35am
The gbp behaved better. It may find support in the 1.356/7x ish area.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,512
  • Feb 2, 2026 12:22pm Feb 2, 2026 12:22pm
I don't know the tp. a 3x risk is ok.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,513
  • Feb 2, 2026 9:42pm Feb 2, 2026 9:42pm
Quoting gatorinla
I don't know the tp. a 3x risk is ok. {image}
it finally popped the last few minutes ea
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,514
  • Feb 3, 2026 4:19am Feb 3, 2026 4:19am
dont trust this bitcoin as far as I can throw it....
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,515
  • Feb 3, 2026 6:32am Feb 3, 2026 6:32am
Another 100 pips to Value Are to buy.
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  • #126,516
  • Feb 3, 2026 7:17am Feb 3, 2026 7:17am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I think its bullish North of 1743. I cant say it wont go back. Had it not gone so far up. 1743 could of been a mid week buy place. Because that's the breakout point. . Today the 6h closed on the bull side of 1888. I assume the 12h will too.
I consider after Monday mid week. The weaker pairs seem to be the usd euro and the cad. Aud has some power. I want to long the aud verses the cad. Its up so for this week. But its also mid week for it too. As bullish as it is, being mid week. A may get a chance if I wait for .9485ish.

The EU didn't make 1743/57. It printed 177x. I didn't get the entry. I don't know if i will. It is the breakout point. It does have potential support

I had to take this eur/cad long. there is a fight over last place.. the cad i think is the has the better loser potential.

The cad verse a strong pair like the aud is what I want. This all changes.. You have to get what's hot.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,517
  • Feb 3, 2026 7:32am Feb 3, 2026 7:32am
The entry I want. But not likely to get. After the run early week gives me a shot. AUD/CAD
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,518
  • Feb 3, 2026 8:16am Feb 3, 2026 8:16am
Quoting gatorinla
The entry I want. But not likely to get. After the run early week gives me a shot. AUD/CAD {image}
I think you'll get at least .9530
  • #126,519
  • Feb 3, 2026 11:35am Feb 3, 2026 11:35am
its going up, but earlier the 12h indicated down. So I don't know about not getting closer to 1743
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,520
  • Feb 3, 2026 2:17pm Feb 3, 2026 2:17pm
Quoting gatorinla
its going up, but earlier the 12h indicated down. So I don't know about not getting closer to 1743
maybe another leg down. We are ranging below 1820ish now. I wonder if we can go slightly higher before another dump to 1743
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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