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  • #18,881
  • Jan 30, 2026 10:54am Jan 30, 2026 10:54am
Quoting aayushjaiswa
my next plane for eur {image}
i am in now
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Hi I'm Aayush.j
  • #18,882
  • Jan 30, 2026 12:31pm Jan 30, 2026 12:31pm
bull have to wait.
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #18,883
  • Jan 30, 2026 12:41pm Jan 30, 2026 12:41pm
Quoting DonEtienne28
bullish reversal might be forming... {image}
clean stop at 8,6 pips, breaker block invalidation level got hit anyway

see you next week my fellow warriors
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  • #18,884
  • Jan 30, 2026 2:44pm Jan 30, 2026 2:44pm
Week closed with a long wick but still above the last trading range so bull remain in favour guys
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #18,885
  • Jan 31, 2026 12:09am Jan 31, 2026 12:09am
The EUR/USD rose to 1.2082 this week after breaking the 1.1919 resistance level. However, it failed to close above the 1.2000 psychological round number before dipping to 1.1849, creating a long bearish pin bar on the weekly chart.

While the overall trend remains neutral to bullish above 1.1769, the outlook on smaller timeframes (4H) is currently bearish. There is scope for a continuation toward 1.1800/20 if the 1.1850 support level fails following the market open. Conversely, the 1.1900/19 and 1.1954 levels are expected to cap any advances unless momentum strengthens later in the week for a push toward 1.2000/50.


Weekly volatility (range) 135 pips

Significant news - US JOLTS Job Openings,Eurozone CPI, US ADP Employment Change, ECB Deposit Rate, US Initial Jobless Claims, US Nonfarm Payrolls & University Michigan Sentiment


Have great weekend!

Daily
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,886
  • Feb 1, 2026 2:55pm Feb 1, 2026 2:55pm
the week opened kinda flat, let se if we get to test 1830 level
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #18,887
  • Feb 1, 2026 5:04pm Feb 1, 2026 5:04pm
Right shoulder forming?
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #18,888
  • Feb 1, 2026 8:25pm Feb 1, 2026 8:25pm
The EUR/USD reached a low of 1.1839 following the open before recovering slightly from Friday's drop. The broken support at 1.1895 is currently limiting upward momentum, while 1.1954 is keeping the broader downtrend intact. Should the downtrend resume, the 1.1800/20 zone and 1.1769 are expected to come back into focus.

Daily volatility (range) 62 pips


Have great week!

1H
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,889
  • Feb 1, 2026 9:22pm Feb 1, 2026 9:22pm
Happy New Month To Each Members! I'm glad we are here collaborating this year again! I pray that clarity, skill mastering and opportunities be the driver of our day to day activities! TBH. Sticking With You Guys Gave Me Hope! THANKS TO SIR JAMES... I VALUE EACH OF YOU All. Blessings On Your Journey
  • #18,890
  • Feb 1, 2026 11:03pm Feb 1, 2026 11:03pm
Quoting johncen
Right shoulder forming? {image}
while i look for further shorts… have to say overall trend remain bullish above 1743.

not a reversal yet. Unless we start closing below 1743 on hourly, 4h, daily, weekly, and monthly!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #18,891
  • Feb 1, 2026 11:27pm Feb 1, 2026 11:27pm
Quoting oluchukwu01
Happy New Month To Each Members! I'm glad we are here collaborating this year again! I pray that clarity, skill mastering and opportunities be the driver of our day to day activities! TBH. Sticking With You Guys Gave Me Hope! THANKS TO SIR JAMES... I VALUE EACH OF YOU All. Blessings On Your Journey
Happy February oluchukwu01, thanks! I glad we can exchange freely our views here in this forum. Many opportunities will come and we should be sharp to profit. I wish for the same but political deadlocks and geopolitics many times stand in our way and only with patience and the right strategy we can win this "game". I hope and work for the best!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,892
  • Feb 1, 2026 11:31pm Feb 1, 2026 11:31pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} while i look for further shorts… have to say overall trend remain bullish above 1743. not a reversal yet. Unless we start closing below 1743 on hourly, 4h, daily, weekly, and monthly!
The lower it gets the better. Stops can be further away the 1.1743 for swing trading but not buying yet as sellers are expected to dominate as long resistance holds.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,893
  • Feb 2, 2026 12:03am Feb 2, 2026 12:03am
EURUSD H1
trendlines, SMC

BOS DOWN 1.1895
Break of the bullish structure on H1.

Below 1.1895, the bias is bearish.

  1. Above 1.1895 → the structure can return to UP
  2. Below 1.1895 → the market is in a DOWN structure and you look for shorts on pullbacks.

CHOCH DOWN 1.19415
First break against the UP trend.

S: 1.1845
Why this is a stronger support:

  1. the last H4 Higher Low that held the entire move up
  2. the impulse that created the HH above 1.19 started from here
  3. liquidity is accumulated here (sell-side target after BOS DOWN)
  4. this is a structural demand, not a micro H1 reaction

Below this zone, space opens toward 1.1760.

SUMMARY
H1 structure boundary: 1.1895 → below it, H1 bias is bearish
H4 structure boundary: 1.1845 → above it, H4 bias remains bullish

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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #18,894
  • Feb 2, 2026 7:16am Feb 2, 2026 7:16am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD reached a low of 1.1839 following the open before recovering slightly from Friday's drop. The broken support at 1.1895 is currently limiting upward momentum, while 1.1954 is keeping the broader downtrend intact. Should the downtrend resume, the 1.1800/20 zone and 1.1769 are expected to come back into focus. Daily volatility (range) 62 pips Have great week! 1H {image}
Will 1.1800 hold for another ride to 1.2000 + or well see 1.1769 first? What do you think! We have already seen so much movement maybe a time for a break!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,895
  • Feb 2, 2026 7:21am Feb 2, 2026 7:21am
Bear momemtum remain strong, thought we will get to 1890 area before heading down again but 1875 capped the bounce!

now the gap from previous Monday is filled, if 1800 giving up then we shall see 1743 next
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #18,896
  • Feb 2, 2026 7:41am Feb 2, 2026 7:41am
Quoting johncen
Bear momemtum remain strong, thought we will get to 1890 area before heading down again but 1875 capped the bounce! now the gap from previous Monday is filled, if 1800 giving up then we shall see 1743 next
So we are near a base I suppose...if nfp comes weak and ECB hold then we might see 1.1920 again this or next week. I wait for the dust to settle usually near round numbers.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,897
  • Feb 2, 2026 8:42am Feb 2, 2026 8:42am
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Was able to squeeze out a little profit as I rolled long term account from net long to net short. Still holding some longs in another account but now just as a hedge and I am ready to ride the forex bucking bronco. Giddy-up!

I see the Jan/Feb candles similar as in years 2018/2026 so watching for the repeat. Time will tell if my analysis is close to reality. For now, waiting on 1.1700 area to confirm.

Happy trades to you,
NB
Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #18,898
  • Feb 2, 2026 10:19am Feb 2, 2026 10:19am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} So we are near a base I suppose...if nfp comes weak and ECB hold then we might see 1.1920 again this or next week. I wait for the dust to settle usually near round numbers.
we also got nonfarm this week!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #18,899
  • Edited 10:46am Feb 2, 2026 10:23am | Edited 10:46am
Quoting josip
EURUSD H1 trendlines, SMC BOS DOWN 1.1895 Break of the bullish structure on H1. Below 1.1895, the bias is bearish. Above 1.1895 → the structure can return to UP Below 1.1895 → the market is in a DOWN structure and you look for shorts on pullbacks. CHOCH DOWN 1.19415 First break against the UP trend. S: 1.1845 Why this is a stronger support: the last H4 Higher Low that held the entire move up the impulse that created the HH above 1.19 started from here liquidity is accumulated here...
EURUSD H1
update
SMC

1.1760 is currently the strongest level in the 1.17 range.

  1. it is the H4 BOS DOWN target (main sell-side liquidity)
  2. the last significant swing low before the strong UP impulse
  3. below 1.1845 the structure has already broken → the market is now clearing lower liquidity
  4. there are multiple levels around 1.17, but 1.1760 is the one with true structural significance

As long as we are above 1.1760, we are still dealing with a reaction; below 1.1760, the next DOWN expansion begins

BOS DOWN (H4): 1.1760
This is not just a support level, but a structural confirmation of the trend on H4.

Only an H4 close below 1.1760 officially confirms the bearish trend on H4.
H1:
The bearish trend was confirmed earlier. close below 1.1895


What the 1.1845 – 1.1760 zone is
Transition / distribution zone
Not support, not resistance, not demand.

Why it is so wide (cca 100 pips)
Because:

  1. the old H4 bullish trend is breaking down
  2. the new H4 bearish trend is not yet confirmed

The market is:

  1. harvesting liquidity
  2. cleaning positions
  3. searching for a new equilibrium

this is never a narrow zone.
What typically happens there

  1. high volatility
  2. false breakouts
  3. aggressive retracements

both shorts and longs get punished without context.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #18,900
  • Feb 2, 2026 11:24am Feb 2, 2026 11:24am
Quoting johncen
{quote} we also got nonfarm this week!
oh looks like it is going to be delayed and not published on Fri
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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