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The Swamp

  • #126,461
  • Jan 29, 2026 1:10pm Jan 29, 2026 1:10pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} Yea i m waiting for month end and end of the week. Still expecting some deeper retracement. eu is ranging between 1200 and 1890, still above 1890 1830 and 1743 which is on the bull side. one day to go it is unlikely to see a close below 1743
not looking for a reversal, but would like to buy low after this massive 500 pips swing.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,462
  • Jan 29, 2026 1:10pm Jan 29, 2026 1:10pm
Quoting gatorinla
A big day for the usd tomorrow. Its been a doormat lately. But like gold today, and the euro the past day+. It has some pain at the highs. The fair value for the eur/usd and others have room to raise usd some. A large red candle could still end up on the side of the line. That would clear a lot of usd shorts. Probably some capitulation. Better safe than sorry for me. The gold Fair value could be 4,33xx. The euro 1743/5x area. Still on the bullish side, but enough for a sweep.
The tier above 4,33k at 4,963.755.. Its never been tested.. Use it for a bullshit test of what I post. I dont know how it will end up. Because there is just one day for a month close. Even if 4,963 is supportive. It would still be a hell of a drop in short period..11% worth.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,463
  • Jan 29, 2026 1:16pm Jan 29, 2026 1:16pm
At 4.3xx K its about 22%. A 20% correction often brings buyers.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,464
  • Jan 29, 2026 1:24pm Jan 29, 2026 1:24pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} not looking for a reversal, but would like to buy low after this massive 500 pips swing.
Me either.. Looking for value at breakpoints. Just the law of averages makes 1/2 fail. But the fails are smaller. Most breakouts fail. I think I have a little built in edge before a signal. I think bounces are about 70% at the right place. Add in a small time frame signal may help. Combined I think its worth it. I dont need to force any trade. I just let it come to me or not. Then decide what to do, or not do. Loins and tigers dont waste effort chasing every butterfly. We can learn a lot from the hunters. Wait by the waterhole with less effort.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,465
  • Jan 29, 2026 1:33pm Jan 29, 2026 1:33pm
Since different brokers have different gold spot prices. The numbers can vary a little.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,466
  • Jan 29, 2026 1:39pm Jan 29, 2026 1:39pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The last 4h barely hung on, but it did. eur/cad. {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,467
  • Jan 29, 2026 2:20pm Jan 29, 2026 2:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Me either.. Looking for value at breakpoints. Just the law of averages makes 1/2 fail. But the fails are smaller. Most breakouts fail. I think I have a little built in edge before a signal. I think bounces are about 70% at the right place. Add in a small time frame signal may help. Combined I think its worth it. I dont need to force any trade. I just let it come to me or not. Then decide what to do, or not do. Loins and tigers dont waste effort chasing every butterfly. We can learn a lot from the hunters. Wait by the waterhole with less...
time will tell! We will just wait patiently
both bull and bear will try their best to close the month in their favour
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,468
  • Jan 29, 2026 2:31pm Jan 29, 2026 2:31pm
Bitcoin wants to go lower I suspect. Monthly chart looking difficult for the bulls.
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,469
  • Jan 29, 2026 4:41pm Jan 29, 2026 4:41pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} https://www.youtube.com/shorts/NCbe2LtKCsM {image} {image}
The stop was never hit.. I had a chance to get out.. This one was unusual. The larger time frame support at the red line is support. The aqua line is smaller time frame. PA was above both.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,470
  • Jan 29, 2026 6:21pm Jan 29, 2026 6:21pm
1.1860 still on my mind. Only 100 pips away.
  • #126,471
  • Jan 30, 2026 12:21am Jan 30, 2026 12:21am
AUD looks like it could pullback a little further....
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,472
  • Jan 30, 2026 12:54am Jan 30, 2026 12:54am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} This one was unusual. {image}
My patience for the crosses has been depleted. Can't do it anymore. I try not to even chart them.
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,473
  • Jan 30, 2026 3:02am Jan 30, 2026 3:02am
quick BTC scalp maybe on offer soon...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,474
  • Jan 30, 2026 3:16am Jan 30, 2026 3:16am
watch your Silver now....8/10 wide in there
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,475
  • Jan 30, 2026 3:43am Jan 30, 2026 3:43am
I keep hearing the BTC bulls.....


"wait till silver stops going up and BTC will go to the moon"

he's your chance lads...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,476
  • Jan 30, 2026 3:44am Jan 30, 2026 3:44am
Quoting PayTheLimit
watch your Silver now....8/10 wide in there
Nice 2 dollar drop thru par...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,477
  • Edited 5:05am Jan 30, 2026 4:05am | Edited 5:05am
Short S&P's, short BTC's....

edit

covered the short BTC for a loss...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,478
  • Jan 30, 2026 6:24am Jan 30, 2026 6:24am
eu 12h favored down side
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,479
  • Jan 30, 2026 6:42am Jan 30, 2026 6:42am
and I think BTC 4hr looking heavy still....
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #126,480
  • Jan 30, 2026 6:52am Jan 30, 2026 6:52am
Quoting gatorinla
eu 12h favored down side
maybe the daily rolls over for a 1-2 day break...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
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