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  • #18,841
  • Jan 28, 2026 10:36pm Jan 28, 2026 10:36pm
The EUR/USD traded at 1.1895 yesterday but is now back up to around 1.1985/90. Resistance at 1.2000/25 is holding back a rise toward its weekly high of 1.2082. Support at 1.1953 is keeping the upside momentum strong, but a drop below this level will turn the pair bearish in the short term, targeting 1.1914/00 and 1.1895.


Daily volatility (range) 61 pips

Significant news - US Initial Jobless Claims, US Factory Orders, US Trade Balance


Have a great day!

1H
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,842
  • Jan 28, 2026 10:59pm Jan 28, 2026 10:59pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
The EUR/USD traded at 1.1895 yesterday but is now back up to around 1.1985/90. Resistance at 1.2000/25 is holding back a rise toward its weekly high of 1.2082. Support at 1.1953 is keeping the upside momentum strong, but a drop below this level will turn the pair bearish in the short term, targeting 1.1914/00 and 1.1895. Daily volatility (range) 61 pips Significant news - US Initial Jobless Claims, US Factory Orders, US Trade Balance Have a great day! 1H {image}
drop from London yesterday almost wiped. If 1h closing back above 1205 before London i guess we are done with this pull back
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #18,843
  • Jan 29, 2026 12:50am Jan 29, 2026 12:50am
Quoting johncen
{quote} drop from London yesterday almost wiped. If 1h closing back above 1205 before London i guess we are done with this pull back
The pair is sleeping for now, choppy price action is expected until us jobless claims that seem the most accurate number today. Other us news are not trusted because the shutdown last year. I hope we get a close above 1.2000/25 but the most upside job is done so I might not even trade anymore this week.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,844
  • Jan 29, 2026 1:14am Jan 29, 2026 1:14am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} The pair is sleeping for now, choppy price action is expected until us jobless claims that seem the most accurate number today. Other us news are not trusted because the shutdown last year. I hope we get a close above 1.2000/25 but the most upside job is done so I might not even trade anymore this week.
yea thinking the same here may just monitor to see how the week/month closed.

closing above 1750 is significant for the bull!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #18,845
  • Jan 29, 2026 1:29am Jan 29, 2026 1:29am
Quoting johncen
{quote} drop from London yesterday almost wiped. If 1h closing back above 1205 before London i guess we are done with this pull back
and it went plop! lol
  • #18,846
  • Jan 29, 2026 1:42am Jan 29, 2026 1:42am
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea thinking the same here may just monitor to see how the week/month closed. closing above 1750 is significant for the bull!
We are still above 1.1919 broken high. A correction could target below 1.1962 to 1.1889 according my fibo from 1.1587 low to 1.2082 high. Yet the pair is bullish I expect some more upside at Feb. before a bearish close as next month look the worst for eu upside. I prefer 1.1800 still.
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  • #18,847
  • Jan 29, 2026 1:51am Jan 29, 2026 1:51am
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Hi I'm Aayush.j
  • #18,848
  • Edited 4:41am Jan 29, 2026 2:25am | Edited 4:41am
Quoting aayushjaiswa
{image}
You can add digital euro to make it even better!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,849
  • Jan 29, 2026 4:32am Jan 29, 2026 4:32am
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Hi I'm Aayush.j
  • #18,850
  • Edited 6:59am Jan 29, 2026 6:14am | Edited 6:59am
Quoting aayushjaiswa
{image}
ditto...

Higher lows....on retest 1.1950 area
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  • #18,851
  • Jan 29, 2026 6:23am Jan 29, 2026 6:23am
I'm long from here 1.1948 withe 8 pip stop. Imo back to the top.

If I get stopped I will try at a lower level, such is the life of a swing trader.
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #18,852
  • Jan 29, 2026 6:41am Jan 29, 2026 6:41am
I believe it will still fall till 1.18906-1.18502, MP 1.18675-1.18502. Two reasons for that: 1. The market didn't reverse with asian session liquidity sweep, so it may sweep more liquidity ie. the previous day's liquidity 2. The area i am talking about is the area from which it shot up last time.
  • #18,853
  • Jan 29, 2026 9:24am Jan 29, 2026 9:24am
What caused this drop?

It was the factory orders that came well above forecasts but it was a delayed release. So we might see a buy signal here or lower later.

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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,854
  • Jan 29, 2026 9:25am Jan 29, 2026 9:25am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} You can add digital euro to make it even better!
i am in now
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Hi I'm Aayush.j
  • #18,855
  • Jan 29, 2026 10:10am Jan 29, 2026 10:10am
Quoting aayushjaiswa
{quote} i am in now {image}
Well done!

If tomorrow number (EU GDP and inflation) come well above forecasts then it might hit your target.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,856
  • Jan 29, 2026 10:12am Jan 29, 2026 10:12am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
What caused this drop? It was the factory orders that came well above forecasts but it was a delayed release. So we might see a buy signal here or lower later. {image}
scratching my head while looking at gold…..lol what a move in the last 2 days
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #18,857
  • Jan 29, 2026 10:25am Jan 29, 2026 10:25am
Quoting johncen
{quote} scratching my head while looking at gold…..lol what a move in the last 2 days
That was some profit! Now this drop...

Watching Iran headlines that might hit this weekend or next week!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #18,858
  • Edited 12:11pm Jan 29, 2026 11:21am | Edited 12:11pm
got my blinkers on that too, maybe this dip is opp for buy gold. In other news what is this eu w8n for , let's gooooooo

There's also shutdown talk
It is what it is
  • #18,859
  • Jan 29, 2026 2:24pm Jan 29, 2026 2:24pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} That was some profit! Now this drop... Watching Iran headlines that might hit this weekend or next week!
Iran, new Fed chair announcement, US govt shut down, and Ukraine/Russia/US peace talk, so many potential news that can move the market.

Friday is month end also, price remain above 1890, 1830 and ultimate support 1743, bull is in favour for sure!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #18,860
  • Jan 29, 2026 3:36pm Jan 29, 2026 3:36pm
1890 protected well so far. We may get another attack to the upside.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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