Blue's Clues to Trading: Timing Levels and Behaviour of Price

ES RoadMap

Timing Levels Behaviour of Price !

There are three truths in religion:
1) Jewish people do not recognize Jesus as the Messiah.
2) Protestants do not recognize the Pope as the leader of the Christian faith.
3) Baptists don't recognize each other in the liquor store.


IYKYK

Took a picture of my wife standing in front of a horse and now she won’t talk to me???


Then I told her ...Why the long face ?

Heres the RUB... PRICE gives LEVEL TO LEVEL MOVES,,,,,,Every single day...without fail.

Dow ES NQ GC CL et al........

10pts ES 100NQ 100YM....Compounded its ENORMOUS !

You know 25-30 yrs ago I was trading stocks...Level to Level...Small caps
I got the idea from a guy named Wade Cook lol...Wade Crook...

He coined the term... "The Money is in the meter drop" a Taxi driver term....
Level to Level...thats the equal in trading...

Just like this Dow Jones DJI DJ30 YM chart..
100 pt bangers all day long when you figure it out. Right Driven

Except we lose focus and forget that....The money is in the Meter Drop !!!!!
Taxi drivers waiting for that big fare....but the guys making bank are
the ones just going level to level... Do you get it ???

Gold/ES

Interesting how Gold opened the week on Monthly VWAP 1SD
with ES doing exact opposite on the Monthly VWAP 1SD

Price Discovery Continuation Set Up,,,,,,







And Price Discovery continues into Globex....
Are we Balanced or Imbalanced ? what does Monthly VWAP tell us ? Weekly ? Daily ? Session ?
Cant imagine what traders on the opposite side of these trades are thinking ???

Initial Balance Levels are very important levels and Wise to be aware and keep an eye on price around them.
Do they constitute a setup...No not exactly..but they add or can add context to ones system/method perhaps

Add Volume profile,,,
Giving a Value to Value trade..... Initial Balance and Vol Profile

Now Add VWAP....Observe my chart above where I first just circled IB Levels.

Initial Balance gives hard levels that don not change no matter TF...
VWAP and VP similar Thats a hint.

Initial Balance sets the Auction Levels... VWAP and VP guide us in where the Value/Balance
are in relation to the Auction.. Fair Value or Price Discovery...only 2 options.

Have a good day.

EDGE OF VALUE,,,,,,,

Profound. Is there a pdf or any video that can help with understanding the full strategy?

Buckle up for a huge week ahead:

1. Markets React to 100% Canada Tariff Threat - Tonight
2. Markets React to 75% Chance of U.S. Govt Shutdown - Tonight
3. January Consumer Confidence data - Tuesday
4. Fed Interest Rate Decision and Press Conference - Wednesday
5. Microsoft, Meta, Tesla Report Earnings - Wednesday
6. Apple Reports Earnings - Thursday
7. December PPI Inflation data - Friday

Prepare for significant volatility this week.

I dont publish my exact rules..Simply for the fact no one can reproduce and execute as I do. And I am a firm believer
that everyone needs to find their way and make everything very much their own.

Now that does not mean you cant take this from Trader X and that from Trader Y.....
With that said,,,,,

First with Mindset,,,, I recommend none other than Tom Hougaard... He has a ton of free material on his
website and Telegram channel. Plus published book(s) And for that matter he has some excellent strategies as
well... I dont use any of them..as they dont really fit me.

I do Incorporate whats called the RoadMap .. From the forum here.. Lauras Roadmap. Some very big
trades this past week using Roadmap. You cant go wrong studying Lauras thread.

But for Volume Profile and VWAP... I have setups that are very similar to what Chris Drysdale does.
4 core setups that he publishes here.


This gives a good starting point on VALUE BALANCE etc and how to incorporate VP and VWAP with them.
Chris's youtube is TraderDrysdale
and
Cammy Capital on youtube as well ...I think both have basic videos on AuctionMarket Theory.
Cam ( I think) uses VP only and trades off multiple confluence VP levels....Also something I do or take into account.
Prev days VAH VAL POC etc...

And why not throw in TraderDale on Youtube...

Theres a ton of genuinely good content out there to learn and I liken trading to flying.
It's all graduated steps based on proficiency. Ground school to training flights to single engine
to multi engine ...VFR to IFR is a huge step....Visual flying to only flying using your instruments.

Bringing it around... alot of what I do only comes from years of experience...

Unconscious Competence,,,, Some of that is for ex...looking at the Cash opens of the week and the closes
of the market as a whole...or observing price behaviour around the opening print. Or working off a Daily
or Weekly pattern on the 1m or 5m chart as price hits certain levels.

Trading can be simple and nothing wrong with simple..But when you do any profession for decades you cant
avoid developing unconscious competence and no matter IF YOU THINK you are trading simple. There is alot
at play in the background

Just want to keep it real ....

Study Chris Drysdale and Cammy Capital or Roadmap..you can fly far from just them.... Just dont get stuck in
a loop of endless searching or feeling you always need more...Study them and EXECUTE...Execution is
where the learning really starts

Cheers


"Unconscious competence is the final stage in the Four Stages of Competence model,
representing mastery where a skill becomes automatic, effortless, and second nature,
performed without conscious thought, like driving or playing an instrument.

It's achieved through extensive practice, allowing actions to become instinctive,
freeing up mental energy for other tasks,
but can also lead to difficulty in teaching others the skill because the "how" isn't consciously processed. "

Did anyone watch Alex Honnold climb Taipei 101 !!!

OMG !!!! 1000X over

Watched it live last night and that was beyond belief !
Ive been a fan since watching Free Solo.

To me what is fascinating is the correlation to trading

MINDSET....

THE AMYGDALA,,,,

Rande Howell https://tradersstateofmind.com/

They did some MRIs of Alex's brain in 2016 ? and found his Amygdala does not fire up
so much when exposed to stimuli (scary stuff ).. He says its from repeated exposure over
decades has desensitized it... Interesting stuff.

The amygdala is the cause of many traders problems and Rande has some good exercises
to help "manage" the emotions from the Amygdala... Box breathing basically... nothing to poo poo.
Navy seals use it....It flat out works...anyways sidetracked LOL..

There was so many shit my pants moments watching Alex last night...this one in particular

Look Ma No Hands !!!!!

Some great setups on GJ using VWAP and Volume profile...

And of course AMT Auction MArket Theory...
(not going to get into the "data" and decentralized mkt debate)

Just simply applying the same methods as used in the futures markets.

WHat matters is..does the setup present itself?

GJ in charts above opened OOB and then retested the VAL confirming the IMBALANCE.

ES on the other hand Opened InBalance here's some charts to show what I look at.