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The Swamp

  • #126,361
  • Jan 23, 2026 11:54am Jan 23, 2026 11:54am
Quoting gatorinla
ADR reached.. The week was reached at 1711. {image}
broke above 1760 killed my bear scenario. No sell for me

eu up 200 pips this week
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,362
  • Jan 23, 2026 1:31pm Jan 23, 2026 1:31pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} broke above 1760 killed my bear scenario. No sell for me eu up 200 pips this week
1818/19 looks like interesting place. The rise is strong. A possible long may be in the blue area next week
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,363
  • Jan 23, 2026 1:48pm Jan 23, 2026 1:48pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1818/19 looks like interesting place. The rise is strong. A possible long may be in the blue area next week
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,364
  • Jan 23, 2026 2:24pm Jan 23, 2026 2:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image}
1830 then last high above 1900 next
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,365
  • Edited 3:34pm Jan 23, 2026 3:22pm | Edited 3:34pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} 1830 then last high above 1900 next
183x done too wow
but bull keep pushing to close the week with a strong candle! Might even gap up
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,366
  • Jan 23, 2026 3:34pm Jan 23, 2026 3:34pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} 183x done too wow
1845 I will look at.. I think the dogs are out now above 1743.. The chain stretched at 1845
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,367
  • Edited 5:21pm Jan 23, 2026 3:38pm | Edited 5:21pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1845 I will look at.. I think the dogs are out now above 1743.. The chain stretched at 1845 {image}
just like when UJ is getting closer and closer to 160 we see a massive sell off. Gold is now very close to 5000, wont be surprise to see us spiking up another 2-300 above but there will be a sell off at some point
Not touching it for sure
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,368
  • Jan 24, 2026 7:24am Jan 24, 2026 7:24am
It looks like the horse is out the barn. It took 1743... Its very bullish, it looks like it will make a HH over 2025's high and hit 1.2 or more. It may be too late now. It may not retrace. If given the chance 1757/32 looks like a buy to me. The breakout point could get another shot in the 1743 area. 1737 is usually enough for the week. If in that blue area a small weak signal to long may open goo opportunity. Because in that area the potential is better than 50% to win. With a much better r/r.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,369
  • Jan 24, 2026 7:59am Jan 24, 2026 7:59am
Quoting johncen
{quote} just like when UJ is getting closer and closer to 160 we see a massive sell off. Gold is now very close to 5000, wont be surprise to see us spiking up another 2-300 above but there will be a sell off at some point Not touching it for sure
I'm not so old to remember drinking out the garden hose. In the summer you had to run it first to get out the hot water, and the plastic taste. Just little life skills you pick up.There were no "cheat codes" allowed by society. Later in life I remember. The kids getting a participation certificate for just playing sports. Even if the kid sucked, and warmed the bench. That later progressed to a trophy today. That may sound a little harsh. The way things were in my time. You got teased if you sucked by your peers. That's worked for the evolution of man. The weaker human found a skill they were better at. Maybe a healing skill, or science (just something to make them useful). It works in nature too. The weaker chick in the nest is weeded out by the siblings. The weaker animals often die young before they can reproduce. I think the art of teasing a loser needs to be brought back. You shouldn't be able to cry like a child to win an essay contest. You shouldn't be allowed to flip the Monopoly board over when you loose. You definitely shouldn't be rewarded by your peers. Its totally opposite of society normal. Unless of course your dealing with a mentally inferior human. Anyway I think I should get a "Noble Peace Prize". I know I was warming the bench like most of you. So where is my Noble Peace Prize? Should I burn city because I didn't get one? I learned about the "Chicken Little" and the "King with no Clothes" as a toddler. Did those books get burned too? Our peers are voting with their feet some. Canada is making trade deals with China. Canada's largest trade deficit was the USA (its starting). The orange stain will screw the middle class for decades. Our peers see the child throwing a tantrum. Most societies don't allow it. We make him our leader. That don't help the USA or the USD.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,370
  • Jan 24, 2026 9:41am Jan 24, 2026 9:41am
Quoting gatorinla
It looks like the horse is out the barn. It took 1743... Its very bullish, it looks like it will make a HH over 2025's high and hit 1.2 or more. It may be too late now. It may not retrace. If given the chance 1757/32 looks like a buy to me. The breakout point could get another shot in the 1743 area. 1737 is usually enough for the week. If in that blue area a small weak signal to long may open goo opportunity. Because in that area the potential is better than 50% to win. With a much better r/r. {image}
that is the ideal situation if it will come back to offer another buy opportunity. Only when we see sustained below 1750 i will reconsider sell.
that would mean dollar is likely breaking its long term rising channel. Opened up more room to go down
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,371
  • Jan 24, 2026 10:04am Jan 24, 2026 10:04am
Quoting johncen
{quote} that is the ideal situation if it will come back to offer another buy opportunity. Only when we see sustained below 1750 i will reconsider sell. that would mean dollar is likely breaking its long term rising channel. Opened up more room to go down
1.175x/43 is my buy zone. Sl about 1732.. tp 1 Probably 1847, tp 2 1900ish. I 'm skeptical on the retrace on the week. But since its about to close a month. i don't know.. It looks like I may miss it.. I see others on other pairs.
I hope the eu hits 1743, so my s/l is small. I'm not confident it will retrace to 1743/5x. That's just wishful thinking. Its already above my bullish zone and may not come back. The old tl around 1.2 looks in its future to me.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,372
  • Edited 2:09pm Jan 24, 2026 1:37pm | Edited 2:09pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1.175x/43 is my buy zone. Sl about 1732.. tp 1 Probably 1847, tp 2 1900ish. I 'm skeptical on the retrace on the week. But since its about to close a month. i don't know.. It looks like I may miss it.. I see others on other pairs. I hope the eu hits 1743, so my s/l is small. I'm not confident it will retrace to 1743/5x. That's just wishful thinking. Its already above my bullish zone and may not come back. The old tl around 1.2 looks in its future to me.
yea dnt know if we will get another retracement before 1.2

1.2 looks promising
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,373
  • Jan 24, 2026 3:06pm Jan 24, 2026 3:06pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} broke above 1760 killed my bear scenario. No sell for me eu up 200 pips this week
my abc bear scenario towards 1.12 or 1.13 does not play out
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,374
  • Jan 24, 2026 4:33pm Jan 24, 2026 4:33pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} my abc bear scenario towards 1.12 or 1.13 does not play out {image}
I'm unable to be bearish now. If next Friday gets a foothold below 1743.. That switch turns bearish to me. I don't think its going to happen since the week closed up. I reserve the right to change if Friday closes below 1743.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,375
  • Edited 11:53pm Jan 24, 2026 11:38pm | Edited 11:53pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I'm unable to be bearish now. If next Friday gets a foothold below 1743.. That switch turns bearish to me. I don't think its going to happen since the week closed up. I reserve the right to change if Friday closes below 1743.
we may even get a gap up then continuation when the market opens
ig.com showing 1850 atm
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,376
  • Jan 25, 2026 5:12am Jan 25, 2026 5:12am
Quoting johncen
{quote} we may even get a gap up then continuation when the market opens ig.com showing 1850 atm
I don't see weakness now. But mid week often will comeback. As it stands I look to buy a retrace.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,377
  • Jan 25, 2026 2:33pm Jan 25, 2026 2:33pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I don't see weakness now. But mid week often will comeback. As it stands I look to buy a retrace.
yup likely a gap up too
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,378
  • Jan 25, 2026 2:59pm Jan 25, 2026 2:59pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yup likely a gap up too
I have to think it will hit 1843ish. The EU likes to travel those 100 pips. 1906 seems like a stretch point
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,379
  • Jan 25, 2026 3:29pm Jan 25, 2026 3:29pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I have to think it will hit 1843ish. The EU likes to travel those 100 pips. 1906 seems like a stretch point
1,1878 big gap?
  • #126,380
  • Jan 25, 2026 3:40pm Jan 25, 2026 3:40pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yup likely a gap up too
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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