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EUR/USD - GBP/USD -- Clean Price Action(no indicators)

  • #61
  • Jan 15, 2026 9:42am Jan 15, 2026 9:42am
Quoting Twocans
No charts looking like Picasso art gallery. {image}
ok.... are you making money though????
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #62
  • Jan 15, 2026 11:09am Jan 15, 2026 11:09am
Quoting Twocans
9 scalps today. 8 winnere one loser. My loser was 10% of the total net. Thought I should explain that 8 to 1 business. A 'winner' is any trade that is net positive and the bulk of my scalps are always small winners. Almost 80% of the net positive today came from ONE trade. I don't trade for big profits as I have found that holding positions that start deteriorating is mentally frustrating and it just pisses me off to have green go red. After years of not finding the secret sauce I gave up and just apply the setups I like and let the ones that have...
There is no "secret sauce" you either can read price or you gamble - to learn to read price you need to drawn yourself some years studying the chart, just like you would need to practice some years to be an athlete or any other thing. Independent research say 10.000 hours before you become a professional in sports, if we look at a master degree, it requires around 10.000 hours before a diploma. To master a specific motion, you need 10.000 repetitions, and so on.

What is most important is if you can actually withdraw money each week/month from your broker, whatever you strategy is and most people lie about this, 95% of traders don't withdraw money consistently hence why we have this flourishing business of brokers catering to retail traders.

I have been part of professional trading desks as intern and I can tell you no one trades 10 trades per day, not even per week. You learn to be a specialist, focus on 1-2 markets and flip between them based on conditions.

Your strategy sounds like the perfect entry strategy and cutting it loose once you dont have the perfect entry, which tells me you cant form weekly bias or the draw on liquidity for the week.

I average 2-3 trades per week with +80% accuracy, once in a blue moon I am wrong in terms of the weekly draw on liquidity(market direction) and another blue moon, I would have too tight stop, thinking we topped/bottomed already, but this is not something I can fix, its part of the game - sometime you see something that is not there for whatever reason.

If you check out real profitable traders(which you should) you will notice we all fit into the same pattern: few trades, high accuracy, good money management and mostly imperfect entries.
- Why imperfect entries? Because you wanna make sure you are part of the move instead of trying to catch the absolute top or bottom of the swing.

Now if you are chasing 2-5 pip moves, that's another thing!

Your explanation regarding NY trading session, London and Asia is entry level knowledge, most volatility will happen during these sessions.
- If I had to enter the market every day trying to pick the bottom/top I would also be stressed.

What I advocate for is pure price action, no indicators, lines or any other external input - with this skill, within weeks of studying any ticker, I can start extracting money - because I can read price, I know which direction the week will draw to with high accuracy - although I will almost never guess the absolute top or bottom, but in a 100 pip week move, I can extract 50 pips.
- This week, I entered during NY Tuesday, exited NY Thursday, 48h and got +50 pips.
-- Did I catch the absolute top? NOPE!
--- Did I exit at the absolute bottom? NOPE!
---- Was my trade in draw down? Yes, but barely, after NY session on Tuesday, my entry was never touched again.
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #63
  • Jan 15, 2026 1:33pm Jan 15, 2026 1:33pm
We got the test of 1.16 and if we are holding in the lower boundaries from the daily chart (see my previous post), er can await much room closing to the north next months. All depends on price respecting it.
Perfection is the enemy of good enough!
  • #64
  • Jan 15, 2026 4:19pm Jan 15, 2026 4:19pm
I plan to do 2-3 more of the weekly predictions, including trade management(basically signal) and move on to the next phase of the project.
--- Next phase include the following:

  1. Sunday predictions coming in video format
  2. Trade management on the forum
  3. Weekly recap in video format
  4. Launch a discord server
  5. Build a website

  1. All the above will be free, no paid signals, no training newbies, nada - my goal is to create equally minded group of traders who wish to make change in the world.

This way I hope to start generating extra income(through videos and ads), which will be donated, including a portion of my profits from trading into a fund. This fund will be donated once it reaches a certain threshold to someone who I or as a group we deem deserving - my name Riziq means wealth, health, knowledge and prosperity, in Arabic and Islamic culture, Riziq only comes to those who do good deeds, translation into western thinking it can be understood as karma.

I want people from all over the world to be part of this, including Atheist, Christians, Africans, Europeans, Americans, Latinos, Buddhists, Asians etc - once the fund reaches a threshold, in a democratic fashion, we decide who receives the financial help. We can even do projects, like building a well for a village, helping a homeless person in US or getting a hard working trader who have studied but missing capital, his own trading account - the options are endless, which can also be decided democratically.

This was my plan before I made this account on this forum, the coming weeks I hope to build a good setup where I can process and record videos, than I need to learn video editing
I'm not sure about the time plan for all of this, but hopefully within the first quarter I hope to be well underway.

"The days of life pass away like clouds, so do good while you are alive" - Imam Ali

A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #65
  • Jan 16, 2026 8:09am Jan 16, 2026 8:09am
I really like the idea of your good deeds.
I’ll do my best to actively contribute to this forum and give back where I can.
EURUSD outlook:
I’m currently watching for price to reach 1.1649 at most. The longer price takes to pull back, the earlier downside pressure is likely to begin.
For example, by Monday 1.1642 should be the maximum, and that level lowers with time.
That said, it’s not even guaranteed we’ll revisit these prices soon.
This view is intraday-based; a sustained move above these levels would change my short-term bias.
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Upper Magenta R.
  • #66
  • Jan 16, 2026 8:29am Jan 16, 2026 8:29am
Quoting LennartDE
I really like the idea of your good deeds. I’ll do my best to actively contribute to this forum and give back where I can. EURUSD outlook: I’m currently watching for price to reach 1.1649 at most. The longer price takes to pull back, the earlier downside pressure is likely to begin. For example, by Monday 1.1642 should be the maximum, and that level lowers with time. That said, it’s not even guaranteed we’ll revisit these prices soon. This view is intraday-based; a sustained move above these levels would change my short-term bias. {image}...
It can be something symbolic as little as 5$ or more generous as much as 50$, all mixed into a pot until it reaches a respectable sum, like 1-3k - but most important avoid huge sums to not entertain temptation and greed.

I can attest from my own experience, helping people is one of the best feelings, especially people who need it - and if we are in a privileged position to actually do that, we should!
-- But once discord, website etc are setup, things can be formulated more clearly as of now, this is spitballing rather than reality.

Euro/Usd:
Be careful, we just took out a major low and its Friday, which is one of the trickiest days to trade, they like to destroy both sides or clear the weak highs by going against the trend.
- DXY basically retraced the whole pump from yesterday...
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #67
  • Jan 18, 2026 11:08am Jan 18, 2026 11:08am
Hope everyone had a great weekend!
I didn’t trade on Friday and I’m curious to see how Asia and London will react to the weekend news. Looks a bit messy right now
I’ll build my trading plan based on that price action.
Not sure how welcome harmonic patterns are here,
but I’m watching a potential Cypher
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  • #68
  • Jan 19, 2026 3:53am Jan 19, 2026 3:53am
Quoting LennartDE
I really like the idea of your good deeds. I’ll do my best to actively contribute to this forum and give back where I can. EURUSD outlook: I’m currently watching for price to reach 1.1649 at most. The longer price takes to pull back, the earlier downside pressure is likely to begin. For example, by Monday 1.1642 should be the maximum, and that level lowers with time. That said, it’s not even guaranteed we’ll revisit these prices soon. This view is intraday-based; a sustained move above these levels would change my short-term bias. {image}...
Back to the 1.1642 level I mentioned on Friday, that marked the morning high today.
Now let’s see whether price can actually break above it.
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Sharing from my phone, will be back at my desk pre New York.
  • #69
  • Jan 19, 2026 8:43am Jan 19, 2026 8:43am
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.. in the early morning have got a nice reaction (look my last posts, lower border in the daily) and with an entry like the classical 2b pattern you are now in a great trade.
Perfection is the enemy of good enough!
  • #70
  • Jan 20, 2026 11:31am Jan 20, 2026 11:31am
I'm on the road most of the week, managed to catch this on the retest:
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(2H)

We had an ugly stop hunt during NY today, if we reclaim weekly imbalance(green area according to TP) I will lean bearish narrative, but it needs to break below the lower barrier of the weekly imbalance, to show respect after it was disrespected today.

If not, we are going for the highs... meaning I am counter trading.... which is not something I wish to do.
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #71
  • Jan 20, 2026 10:57pm Jan 20, 2026 10:57pm
Quoting Riziq-Cap
I'm on the road most of the week, managed to catch this on the retest:{image} (2H) We had an ugly stop hunt during NY today, if we reclaim weekly imbalance(green area according to TP) I will lean bearish narrative, but it needs to break below the lower barrier of the weekly imbalance, to show respect after it was disrespected today. If not, we are going for the highs... meaning I am counter trading.... which is not something I wish to do.

closed manually

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A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #72
  • Jan 21, 2026 2:15am Jan 21, 2026 2:15am
Eur/usd It's kinda in no mans area - we are in a premium array, making long difficult to justify, however, short cannot be justified either as you will be shorting a possible short term trend shift.

The two boxes in this picture explains my play.

  1. The top is a 1D FVG - inverted
  2. The bottom is a weekly FVG

The play will either be long the top one, after a break out above and hope for a retest in LTF, would need 4H body close or more to convince me to long that top. Eventually can TP at the swing high from December.

OR

Bottom box is regained and hoping for a retest on LTF, 4H body close below - If this is properly rejected, we would visit bottom of the swing in a hurry.

When there's no clear idea what to do, its best to either be sidelined or just grab small pips here and there...

I will return in front of the screen tonight, will then see how the market done and hoping to catch the rest of the weeks move.

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A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #73
  • Jan 23, 2026 11:31am Jan 23, 2026 11:31am
I was away from the screen pretty much all week, but price seems to have acted pretty straight forward, no HTF stop hunts, no chop and NY leading sessions.

If I was dialed in, I would have longed Wednesday NY PM session.

When price is in a such hurry to go one direction, compared to the downward chop the 2 previews weeks, this is called low friction price action, it happens when price reached its objective at the opposing end(in this instances, down) and runs directly against opposing side(in this instance up), often with no remarkable stop hunts or time wasting... obviously trading in this environment is much more enjoyable - Wednesday's late long would have given easy reachable 70 pips by Thursday, from Wednesday to Friday, over 100 pips - I managed to grab 20 pips this Friday as well(during 10:40 - 11:20 NY macro)

It's pretty clear at this point we are going for the top, which will act as a magnet towards price, in this kind of environment I prefer to trade, after last week closed, I was very lost for target and struggled to shape a narrative - now we can create a narrative and build justification for long positions! I just hope the xmas top is not taken today, leaving some juice for next week.
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(4H)
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #74
  • Jan 25, 2026 4:49am Jan 25, 2026 4:49am
Just to recap what price have showed so far and try to shape a narrative based on certain principles.

Monthly:
- DXY touched prev month(dec/25) open before attacking the same months low
- Fiber swiped prev month(dec/25) low before attacking the same months high

We see a divergence(NOT SMT Divergence), since DXY did not manage to take out the high, it shows the dollar being weak, while the fiber took out the pivot at opposing end when the real move started - the real move being the one we witnessed the most recent trading week.

I have some personal rules I abide by, which is never short/long price once it clears an important pivot, especially at the end of a monthly candle + a big low friction move.
- Price could most certainly continue towards end target as shown in the chart, that would be a shame
- Or my preference, is that we actually consolidate, do couple fake break outs, build liquidity, wait for monthly candle to close, run that liquidity, before launching for the top.

Focus/strategy:
- I will see how Monday develops, possibly Tuesday as well, if we create a range for consolidation, I will focus on range trades, meaning no break out, perhaps swipe of highs/lows and target low hanging liquidity targets within range and - No open positions during FOMC Wednesday and wait until price settles 1 hour later - session based trades with short TPs.
- However, if price show strong bullish tendencies, I will not fight the wave.

News:
- FOMC on Wednesday, while EU GPD growth YoY on Friday
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(fiber weekly)
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #75
  • Jan 26, 2026 10:19am Jan 26, 2026 10:19am
We just had the first fake out!

I think price will consolidate until daily close and swipe Monday Low, which makes it a logical target for any short.

Depends on the reaction upon the swipe of Monday low, I will decide the play for the week.

I already shorted twice, during London and now during the first fake out, but kept short TP, as I dont wanna invest power into trading against the order flow.
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #76
  • Jan 26, 2026 5:01pm Jan 26, 2026 5:01pm
Opening price after the weekend made the likelihood of chop suey very unlikely, but at least I am seeing a good trade shaping up.

- We gapped up and price took out the high again during NY, leaving us 12 pips from closest draw on liquidity, an old pivot.
- Monday range created, close to a pivot which is perceived as draw on liquidity
- Daily liquidity void right below Monday low(arrow on Chart)
- DXY had weekend gap too

Will post play tomorrow LO
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A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #77
  • Jan 27, 2026 2:46am Jan 27, 2026 2:46am
Quoting Riziq-Cap
We just had the first fake out! I think price will consolidate until daily close and swipe Monday Low, which makes it a logical target for any short. Depends on the reaction upon the swipe of Monday low, I will decide the play for the week. I already shorted twice, during London and now during the first fake out, but kept short TP, as I dont wanna invest power into trading against the order flow.
We are close to Monday low. If there is appetite for a huge SL, longing the low is good play.

Price can take the law, do a fake rejection and attack the low AGAIN, before the proper rejection, or it could dig deep before rejection, however the most likely scenario is small sweep before rejection.

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A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #78
  • Jan 27, 2026 5:48am Jan 27, 2026 5:48am
Price came close within Monday low, but was rejected and had a good reaction, I don't think we will reach those lows again.

A long along the weekend gap(liquidity void) is my play during NY, gotta stomach a big SL though.

Targeting Monday high and macro pivot.

Posting charts shortly.
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #79
  • Edited 6:11am Jan 28, 2026 3:32am | Edited 6:11am
None of my setups materialized, price kept climbing, forcing engagement in premium POI while longing(which is not my style)

I struggle to see the top being taken again, perhaps this will be the weekly and monthly top - Monday there is a new monthly candle opening.

DXY done its job, if DXY gets accepted above the recently cleared macro low(red line on chart), there are some easy targets for Fiber in terms of low hanging liquidity, such as Tuesday NY Open - double bottom.

I hope others made money, yesterday was the perfect environment for aggressive traders.

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A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
  • #80
  • Jan 28, 2026 9:25am Jan 28, 2026 9:25am
DXY got accepted, Fiber got slapped.

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I would not be surprised if we go for the weekly open gap, after all new months next week and FOMC soon.


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Calling the day here! Caught a nice short from London open and let it ride almost to the bottom of current wick
A fool prays for an easier road, a wise man prays for stronger legs
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