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The Swamp

  • #126,341
  • Jan 22, 2026 5:39am Jan 22, 2026 5:39am
Quoting johncen
{quote} if bearish scenario plays out maybe down back to 1593 by the end of the week
If you get a short signal now.. I wanted to see it against some R. 15m is 1705
I closed a long 1701
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  • #126,342
  • Jan 22, 2026 6:01am Jan 22, 2026 6:01am
Looking for some short sign for the eur/cad. The 12h closed bearish pointing. It may run to 1.6130 support. It may be a buy with a sign in that area.
Its testing 15m R atm 6178. It may be attracted to -6145
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  • #126,343
  • Jan 22, 2026 6:25am Jan 22, 2026 6:25am
I got no signal on the eu to short yet. it broke 15mR
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  • #126,344
  • Jan 22, 2026 6:27am Jan 22, 2026 6:27am
Quoting gatorinla
Looking for some short sign for the eur/cad. The 12h closed bearish pointing. It may run to 1.6130 support. It may be a buy with a sign in that area. Its testing 15m R atm 6178. It may be attracted to -6145 {image}
This setup looked better than the eu earlier. It has also broken 15m R
The eu has a 30 min R and adr 1720ish. Lc attraction 1701 and the 12h pointing down.
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  • #126,345
  • Jan 22, 2026 6:49am Jan 22, 2026 6:49am
It sucks it broke the 15m.. It engulfed. I just don't trust 1701. It would line up had it not broken the 15m + its too close to 1701 for me. It may not get to 720. But i would rather that setup.
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  • #126,346
  • Jan 22, 2026 10:21am Jan 22, 2026 10:21am
Quoting gatorinla
It sucks it broke the 15m.. It engulfed. I just don't trust 1701. It would line up had it not broken the 15m + its too close to 1701 for me. It may not get to 720. But i would rather that setup. {image}
I waited for 1720,, I was stopped.. The 12h does not seem to be working. 1743 should of had some affect.. Nothing so far. Its looking like a jail break unless it settles back.. I didn't think it would pass 1725.. I was wrong. ADR was at 1720 also. with 30m R.. If its making 1743 support.. Its a big deal.
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  • #126,347
  • Jan 22, 2026 12:53pm Jan 22, 2026 12:53pm
Bull took back control. No sign of bear yet
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,348
  • Jan 22, 2026 1:05pm Jan 22, 2026 1:05pm
Not much is going on. Being above 1743 would end me shorting if sustained. The 12h is right over 80% if its allowed to run away some first. It ran above 1743. The bull side. The 12h if early shows up when pa is away from LC. That wont/didn't happen today. It also can happen after LC. On the times it stalls, if may just may not be working. Other times it may work before the day closes.
Its on the bull side of 1743. No big wick rejected it.
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  • #126,349
  • Jan 22, 2026 2:03pm Jan 22, 2026 2:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
Not much is going on. Being above 1743 would end me shorting if sustained. The 12h is right over 80% if its allowed to run away some first. It ran above 1743. The bull side. The 12h if early shows up when pa is away from LC. That wont/didn't happen today. It also can happen after LC. On the times it stalls, if may just may not be working. Other times it may work before the day closes. Its on the bull side of 1743. No big wick rejected it.
not the pa i would expect if we are heading south. Oh well
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,350
  • Jan 22, 2026 2:18pm Jan 22, 2026 2:18pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} not the pa i would expect if we are heading south. Oh well
not above 1743. Early week like last week 1617, this week 1693 was taken out after the week open, Both were bullish over those. They still need to sustain above 1743..
I don't have a number yet.. +1700 Asia 6h and 12h London I think will point up.. Those are below 1734.. So if unable to get below 1743. That don't look bearish.. its teetering in the 1743 area.. a possible gap just because its large.
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  • #126,351
  • Edited 4:11pm Jan 22, 2026 3:49pm | Edited 4:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} not above 1743. Early week like last week 1617, this week 1693 was taken out after the week open, Both were bullish over those. They still need to sustain above 1743.. I don't have a number yet.. +1700 Asia 6h and 12h London I think will point up.. Those are below 1734.. So if unable to get below 1743. That don't look bearish.. its teetering in the 1743 area.. a possible gap just because its large.
seeems like 1743 is giving up
daily closed above 1750 is quite significant for the bulls
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,352
  • Jan 22, 2026 6:54pm Jan 22, 2026 6:54pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} seeems like 1743 is giving up daily closed above 1750 is quite significant for the bulls
I think that it could be significant
A week close above, next Friday ends a month.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,353
  • Jan 22, 2026 7:09pm Jan 22, 2026 7:09pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I think that it could be significant A week close above, next Friday ends a month.
not what I or bear want to see but sadly this is the case.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,354
  • Jan 22, 2026 7:36pm Jan 22, 2026 7:36pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} seeems like 1743 is giving up daily closed above 1750 is quite significant for the bulls
I'm watching 1743.. Its Asia.. So take with a grain of salt. The day closed above 1743. I think as it stands. It don't run to 169x. to close the 12h. That would make things likely bullish. (remember today 12h missed). The 6h should point North for the 12h. Bullish is the easier path for the 12h. But hear me out. It may run to 1710ish. The 12h would still likely make +169x. I view 1743 as support. No harm no file if it can get under. If it would close a 15m or 2 below 1743. 1710 may get a run. It may be a place to consider a long.
A run close to 1709/10 may be a sweep
I may need to raise 1710 with time.
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  • #126,355
  • Jan 22, 2026 9:21pm Jan 22, 2026 9:21pm
This next h close is a 6h close. I think the day close above 1743 was bullish. A 6h close below. Weakens that some, where it has the 1710 sweep chance rises some
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  • #126,356
  • Jan 23, 2026 3:43am Jan 23, 2026 3:43am
Quoting gatorinla
This next h close is a 6h close. I think the day close above 1743 was bullish. A 6h close below. Weakens that some, where it has the 1710 sweep chance rises some
in 18m if that close is below 1743. The chance to sweep 1710 is still there. Plus 1743 is a big number. Bulls need it to support. Bears have a tiny heartbeat below 1743. A 12h close below 1743 could deliver sub 1700
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  • #126,357
  • Jan 23, 2026 4:04am Jan 23, 2026 4:04am
Quoting gatorinla
This next h close is a 6h close. I think the day close above 1743 was bullish. A 6h close below. Weakens that some, where it has the 1710 sweep chance rises some
That close was a 12h -1743. The day closed above 1743. The week closed below atm. On the 4h I cant rule out an attraction to 167x.. 1h 1708. The 6 and 12h below yesterday
Since the 12h missed 1743. I don't think bears are dead. In fact that is an optimal place to repeal to run. Yesterday's close was opposite. Today it will close a new week.
One cant get too confident. This time next week closes a month.
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  • #126,358
  • Jan 23, 2026 6:41am Jan 23, 2026 6:41am
Pa is near 1743 now. ?????????????
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  • #126,359
  • Jan 23, 2026 11:13am Jan 23, 2026 11:13am
Th 6h close above 1743. If it comes back. It may be a long area 1743/57. The support can be strong.
This week closing above 1743 is likely bullish. More so if next week (month) closes above.
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  • #126,360
  • Jan 23, 2026 11:19am Jan 23, 2026 11:19am
ADR reached.. The week was reached at 1711.
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