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The Swamp

  • #126,321
  • Jan 20, 2026 11:13pm Jan 20, 2026 11:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} A 15m close below breaks 1707. 30m below 1697 breaks it. 1h below 1674 beaks it.
yea have to take it step by step for now bull in control
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,322
  • Jan 20, 2026 11:16pm Jan 20, 2026 11:16pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea have to take it step by step for now bull in control
the 6h is often right
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,323
  • Edited Jan 21, 2026 12:28am Jan 20, 2026 11:38pm | Edited Jan 21, 2026 12:28am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the 6h is often right
there is chance that we turn from here and continue down though. It was my original plan but the upmove was too fast

as of now i wont consider selling unless i see we go below 1700
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,324
  • Jan 21, 2026 2:47am Jan 21, 2026 2:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} A 15m close below breaks 1707. 30m below 1697 breaks it. 1h below 1674 beaks it.
Testing 1707 now. No close under yet.
Change 30m to 1699
The 12h has not closed yet.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,325
  • Jan 21, 2026 3:57am Jan 21, 2026 3:57am
15m broke.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,326
  • Edited 4:18am Jan 21, 2026 4:04am | Edited 4:18am
The 5m has a possible R at 1718.
The 12h did indicate a down day. the 15m possible R at 1732
The current low 1700.4. The 5m and 15m drop if the low does. 30m support at 1699.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,327
  • Jan 21, 2026 4:46am Jan 21, 2026 4:46am
Quoting gatorinla
The 5m has a possible R at 1718. The 12h did indicate a down day. the 15m possible R at 1732 The current low 1700.4. The 5m and 15m drop if the low does. 30m support at 1699. {image}
trump speech in a few hrs, which may accelerate things or change it completely
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,328
  • Jan 21, 2026 5:21am Jan 21, 2026 5:21am
Sustained below -1714.9 may be a day bear b/o. The 12h has a bear bias in line with a grind on 1699 with adr at 1681. But LC is above 1714.9 at 1726. Lc has that attraction chance. With the 12h down bias possibly dropping it after either. The 1h support at 1677, with adr just above at 1681.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,329
  • Jan 21, 2026 6:48am Jan 21, 2026 6:48am
I took the short with a 1738 stop. Above 1735 may of been enough
I took it because the 12h indicated a down day. 15m is at 1732
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,330
  • Edited 8:34am Jan 21, 2026 8:21am | Edited 8:34am
Quoting gatorinla
I took the short with a 1738 stop. Above 1735 may of been enough I took it because the 12h indicated a down day. 15m is at 1732 {image}
S/o this scalp. Sustained back below 1714, would line up with the 12h bear bias. The bounce this morning stayed under 1743x.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,331
  • Jan 21, 2026 8:37am Jan 21, 2026 8:37am
Quoting johncen
{quote} trump speech in a few hrs, which may accelerate things or change it completely
Yeah, 2017/20 whipsaws all over again. A toddler with matches.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,332
  • Jan 21, 2026 8:44am Jan 21, 2026 8:44am
Watching for a eur/cad bounce.
6162 ish
Shooting for 50ish pips.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,333
  • Jan 21, 2026 9:14am Jan 21, 2026 9:14am
Quoting gatorinla
Watching for a eur/cad bounce. 6162 ish Shooting for 50ish pips. {image} {image}
I closed my 4+ stop was hit.
The eu 12h may be influencing it
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,334
  • Jan 21, 2026 11:11am Jan 21, 2026 11:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I closed my 4+ stop was hit. The eu 12h may be influencing it {image}
closing was the right move.. I was going to long again but missed. ec 6135ish
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,335
  • Jan 21, 2026 1:24pm Jan 21, 2026 1:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} closing was the right move.. I was going to long again but missed. ec 6135ish {image}
I closed shorts
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,336
  • Jan 21, 2026 2:00pm Jan 21, 2026 2:00pm
Quoting gatorinla
Sustained below -1714.9 may be a day bear b/o. The 12h has a bear bias in line with a grind on 1699 with adr at 1681. But LC is above 1714.9 at 1726. Lc has that attraction chance. With the 12h down bias possibly dropping it after either. The 1h support at 1677, with adr just above at 1681. {image}
I may regret not longing
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,337
  • Jan 21, 2026 2:23pm Jan 21, 2026 2:23pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I may regret not longing
Instead I regret not holding the short
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,338
  • Jan 21, 2026 10:24pm Jan 21, 2026 10:24pm
To me the 6h is pointing to the 12h being bearish.. The 12h has yet to vote. Anyway I doubt it could make it back to the 1730s. One never knows. 1733 has b/o R.. I have to wait for the 12h. But as trade I can sleep with 1733/43 may catch a rouge rise spike. I don't think it will get there but worth a shot leaving a pending order. I will tweak this later. I'm sure you already see the attraction to 1701/02.
Shit happens in Asia overnight sometimes.
on a rise with the current low 1721 is adr
6h support is at 1663.. That may cause some bounce... if 1702 pivots. 1733 may be the mirror image.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,339
  • Jan 22, 2026 4:36am Jan 22, 2026 4:36am
Quoting gatorinla
To me the 6h is pointing to the 12h being bearish.. The 12h has yet to vote. Anyway I doubt it could make it back to the 1730s. One never knows. 1733 has b/o R.. I have to wait for the 12h. But as trade I can sleep with 1733/43 may catch a rouge rise spike. I don't think it will get there but worth a shot leaving a pending order. I will tweak this later. I'm sure you already see the attraction to 1701/02. Shit happens in Asia overnight sometimes. on a rise with the current low 1721 is adr 6h support is at 1663.. That may cause some bounce... if...
The 12h did close bearish also.. I don't know how high above 1701. 1701-1743 may have a short opportunity. Some possible R 1705 15m. 1720 30m, 1737 60m.
1733 has day b/o R. its best its above 1737 60m close above. Also 1734 with closes too (for a b/o long). Not that I think it will get there. You may want to give up a short if it did. I think the 12h points down. If pa is sustained below 1683, that may strengthen a down move. I chose to let it rise although (1701+) I think it will fall later.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,340
  • Jan 22, 2026 4:37am Jan 22, 2026 4:37am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The 12h did close bearish also.. I don't know how high above 1701. 1701-1743 may have a short opportunity. Some possible R 1705 15m. 1720 30m, 1737 60m.
if bearish scenario plays out maybe down back to 1593 by the end of the week
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
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