The Swamp | Page 6314 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #126,261
  • Jan 15, 2026 6:10pm Jan 15, 2026 6:10pm
This looks like a bear flag atm forming.. It still may fill in upper some more. On the day, the b/o level is sustained below 1598.. Its best if sustained below 1593.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 14 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,262
  • Jan 15, 2026 6:13pm Jan 15, 2026 6:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
This looks like a bear flag atm forming.. It still may fill in upper some more. On the day, the b/o level is sustained below 1598.. Its best if sustained below 1593. {image}
yea but then we have 1580 as the next support. Not sure if we will see a bouncd towards 1700 level before further drops
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,263
  • Jan 15, 2026 7:26pm Jan 15, 2026 7:26pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea but then we have 1580 as the next support. Not sure if we will see a bouncd towards 1700 level before further drops
What are you using as the 1580 support?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,264
  • Jan 15, 2026 8:45pm Jan 15, 2026 8:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} What are you using as the 1580 support?
mainly just where trendline sits..
i have 1585-87
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_1626.jpeg Size: 185 KB
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,265
  • Jan 15, 2026 8:46pm Jan 15, 2026 8:46pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} mainly just where trendline sits.. i have 1585-87 {image}
I have 1593 12h.. its in the area,
The 6h at 1662. Somewhere between can be R.
I suspect the next 6h will be below 1635. I think that may be followed by the 12h bearish leaning below 1635.
In a little over an h the 6h will close.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,266
  • Jan 15, 2026 11:12pm Jan 15, 2026 11:12pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I have 1593 12h.. its in the area, The 6h at 1662. Somewhere between can be R. I suspect the next 6h will be below 1635. I think that may be followed by the 12h bearish leaning below 1635. In a little over an h the 6h will close.
The 6h close is below 1635. The 12h close will most often follow the lead. Tomorrow should be a down day. It may still rise closer to 1639 tonight.. I cant say it will hit 1639 tonight. I will say the odds of it falling toward the lows tomorrow are better. The 12h closes in early London. It looks like that close will be below 1635. Adr is about 50 pips. So if pa did reach close to 1639. If may still not break much deeper than 1593. Or 50ish pips from the high tonight. The high ATM in the 1614 area. Support 1593ish. + 50 1643ish. R 1639. In the same area.
Break below 1693 and it may hit the 1550s/60s
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,267
  • Jan 15, 2026 11:27pm Jan 15, 2026 11:27pm
the bounce off 1617 12h trend support was over 80 pips. 1639 is less. That was the Powell news spike. I think it will be less this time.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 25 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,268
  • Jan 15, 2026 11:36pm Jan 15, 2026 11:36pm
the first red down leg is about 150ish pips., the rises 82 ish
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 15 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,269
  • Jan 15, 2026 11:52pm Jan 15, 2026 11:52pm
Bitcoin is also testing the 12h Resistance at 97,911. The day R is close at 99,259. If rejected the 6h S is at 93,322. The 4h S at 91,657. If unable to break the 12h, or day. A slip back to the 6h, followed by a loss of 91k. could mean a temp top for Bitcoin below 100k. With a shot at 70,860
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,270
  • Jan 16, 2026 5:17am Jan 16, 2026 5:17am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The 6h close is below 1635. The 12h close will most often follow the lead. Tomorrow should be a down day. It may still rise closer to 1639 tonight.. I cant say it will hit 1639 tonight. I will say the odds of it falling toward the lows tomorrow are better. The 12h closes in early London. It looks like that close will be below 1635. Adr is about 50 pips. So if pa did reach close to 1639. If may still not break much deeper than 1593. Or 50ish pips from the high tonight. The high ATM in the 1614 area. Support 1593ish. + 50 1643ish. R 1639....
The 12h indicated the same as the 6h, bearish. That does not mean it wont reach higher first. It just means its likely going to test the low area today sometimes. Not in stone. That yellow line is about 82 pips. But there could be a strong R 1639/45ish
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,271
  • Jan 16, 2026 3:52pm Jan 16, 2026 3:52pm
Quoting gatorinla
This looks like a bear flag atm forming.. It still may fill in upper some more. On the day, the b/o level is sustained below 1598.. Its best if sustained below 1593. {image}
It never sustained below 1693, next week it may be in play as the bear/bull divider
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,272
  • Jan 16, 2026 8:04pm Jan 16, 2026 8:04pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It never sustained below 1693, next week it may be in play as the bear/bull divider
market remains a bit slow aye~ let see what it brings next week. Hopefully more downside
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,273
  • Jan 17, 2026 2:48am Jan 17, 2026 2:48am
Bounce from current level or from 1550-60 then another 80ish pips bounce to 162x
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_1639.jpeg Size: 203 KB
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,274
  • Jan 17, 2026 8:39am Jan 17, 2026 8:39am
Quoting johncen
Bounce from current level or from 1550-60 then another 80ish pips bounce to 162x {image}
Its very simple for me. 1593 is support, but sustained under is bearish, and it becomes R. It may gap.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,275
  • Jan 18, 2026 2:25pm Jan 18, 2026 2:25pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its very simple for me. 1593 is support, but sustained under is bearish, and it becomes R. It may gap.
It may gap lower.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 18 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,276
  • Jan 18, 2026 4:23pm Jan 18, 2026 4:23pm
Possible short 1593ish, with a signal
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,277
  • Jan 18, 2026 5:11pm Jan 18, 2026 5:11pm
If its going to be bearish. I don't think it will stray much more than 1593. Maybe 1606/17/ oh shit 1639/45. But to drop if needs to settle below 1593... The day support at 1510.
My day breakout has a different reading. It has day b/o R at 1720 (bullish above). bear b/o support 1598..bearish below.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,278
  • Jan 18, 2026 5:34pm Jan 18, 2026 5:34pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its very simple for me. 1593 is support, but sustained under is bearish, and it becomes R. It may gap.
Its looking like above.. Its already near reaching adr at 1624.. Just like last Sunday
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,279
  • Jan 18, 2026 6:06pm Jan 18, 2026 6:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
Bitcoin is also testing the 12h Resistance at 97,911. The day R is close at 99,259. If rejected the 6h S is at 93,322. The 4h S at 91,657. If unable to break the 12h, or day. A slip back to the 6h, followed by a loss of 91k.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 19 KB

. With a shot at 70,860
97k held bitcoin
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,280
  • Jan 18, 2026 7:07pm Jan 18, 2026 7:07pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its looking like above.. Its already near reaching adr at 1624.. Just like last Sunday
now 1624 is taken, not sure if this is a liquidity grab or a reversal
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
247 traders viewing now