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Nasdaq-Simple Intraday Strategy

  • #3,321
  • Edited 9:22am Jan 16, 2026 9:11am | Edited 9:22am
Quoting Fadhl
Good Friday! Yesterday candle was inside the day before; so irrelevant. Both Asian and European sessions behaved exactly as yesterday; both were bullish. As mentioned by @2be, today is OPEX day. Rebalancing and repositioning with high volatility is expected. Noise from WH might circuit the day. My plan is only Sell High. So I may have the same planned position as yesterday. GL!
Nice WRB on M30 US open on NADAQ, PA has almost reached Last session closed (under 10 points). From there a possible bounce supported by VIX, other indices similar, very volatile, fits 3rd Fri scenario, anything can happen.
Shorting done, I am flat.

Editi note:
Gap to the last session closed, Last session L also achieved, have stopped trading, protecting profits, easy to loose some or all of them.
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #3,322
  • Jan 16, 2026 9:40am Jan 16, 2026 9:40am
Trump made it again!!!
  • #3,323
  • Jan 16, 2026 2:34pm Jan 16, 2026 2:34pm
Have a great weekend Everyone!
I di not trade today as well.
  • #3,324
  • Jan 16, 2026 4:49pm Jan 16, 2026 4:49pm
Quoting Fadhl
Have a great weekend Everyone! I di not trade today as well.
Reasonable week with some large moves.
Wishing all a great weekend, might be cold in places.
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #3,325
  • Jan 18, 2026 11:32am Jan 18, 2026 11:32am
Weekly Analysis!
FA Analysis:
1- Since the New-Year, US macroeconomic data came soft and inline. So no changes from this side.
2- Political and Risk noise:
2.1- Iran Front: It seems some de-escalation from this front; but we need to keep an eye on it as the war might start at any moment.
2.2- Greenland: Trumps seems committed to takeover Greenland via various means, be it tariffs or even war. This front is one of the main driver for this week.
2.3- US Internal affairs and Martial Law: US unrest and manifestations are growing up and rumors that Trump might declare the martial law are very loud. If this happens and the unrest expands, market will be very negative. This is not in play for this week, but it will be in the driver seat exponentially.
3- Head of the FED: This might fade a bit until Davos, next month.

=) From FA perspective, things are boiling in all fronts and US lost the trust of its western allies. This seems to me very negative for US equities and indices.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2026-01-18_12-12-00.png Size: 48 KB

The weekly candle close is irrelevant as it's an inside one. However it leans toward bullish more than bearish.
Price might retest the weekly high and get rejected. But with the new Greenland tariffs imposed on Europe, NQ should go south instantly.
Daily TF:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2026-01-18_12-12-34.png Size: 31 KB

The daily candle is also irrelevant as it's an inside of an inside bar. But it leans toward bearish close.
Priced made LL-LH. With the Greenland tariffs, we should see an immediate new LL.

Have a green and wonderful week Everyone!
  • #3,326
  • Jan 19, 2026 7:21am Jan 19, 2026 7:21am
Good day!
NQ opened with a nice down gap because of the Greenland tariffs.
Price made a new LL It's not completed. The next target is 24650. But before that, price should retrace up.
Martin Luther King day; so it's a short day. Most likely I won't trade today.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2026-01-19_08-17-16.png Size: 37 KB
  • #3,327
  • Edited 10:17am Jan 19, 2026 9:12am | Edited 10:17am
Small buy lmt at 25159
entered
closed at 25221 with +63points
  • #3,328
  • Edited 10:17am Jan 19, 2026 9:15am | Edited 10:17am
bigger buy lmt at 25131
cancelled
  • #3,329
  • Jan 19, 2026 10:21am Jan 19, 2026 10:21am
Shorted at 25221
tp hit at 25188 with +34points
  • #3,330
  • Jan 19, 2026 4:02pm Jan 19, 2026 4:02pm
I did not check the charts today because it is a holiday in the US.
On Tuesday, I will probably not take any trades, but I will watch the charts.
From Wednesday to Friday, I want to look for trades. I will be careful on Wednesday because Trump is speaking.
  • #3,331
  • Jan 19, 2026 4:05pm Jan 19, 2026 4:05pm
Quoting Fadhl
Weekly Analysis! FA Analysis: 1- Since the New-Year, US macroeconomic data came soft and inline. So no changes from this side. 2- Political and Risk noise: 2.1- Iran Front: It seems some de-escalation from this front; but we need to keep an eye on it as the war might start at any moment. 2.2- Greenland: Trumps seems committed to takeover Greenland via various means, be it tariffs or even war. This front is one of the main driver for this week. 2.3- US Internal affairs and Martial Law: US unrest and manifestations are growing up and rumors that Trump...
Damn thank uu!!!
  • #3,332
  • Jan 20, 2026 7:43am Jan 20, 2026 7:43am
Quoting Fadhl
Good day! NQ opened with a nice down gap because of the Greenland tariffs. Price made a new LL It's not completed. The next target is 24650. But before that, price should retrace up. Martin Luther King day; so it's a short day. Most likely I won't trade today. {image}
Good day!
Chaos is underway in US and Trump is shooting everywhere.
Market is trembling and a very red day is expected.
NQ next target is 24650.
  • #3,333
  • Jan 20, 2026 8:45am Jan 20, 2026 8:45am
Bullish OR!
I'm not interested in buying.
  • #3,334
  • Edited 9:54am Jan 20, 2026 8:53am | Edited 9:54am
Small sell already placed at 25204.
stopped
  • #3,335
  • Jan 20, 2026 9:00am Jan 20, 2026 9:00am
I just took this sell trade
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2026-01-20_09-59-12.png Size: 34 KB
  • #3,336
  • Jan 20, 2026 9:06am Jan 20, 2026 9:06am
Quoting Fadhl
I just took this sell trade {image}
nice, so we got more or less the same trade. Fills up the confidence haha!
  • #3,337
  • Jan 20, 2026 9:06am Jan 20, 2026 9:06am
Quoting Fadhl
Bullish OR! I'm not interested in buying.
never catch a falling knife
Momentum will eventually change
Have a look at the seasonality charts.
https://charts.equityclock.com/author/indexes/page/5
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #3,338
  • Edited 11:35am Jan 20, 2026 9:42am | Edited 11:35am
Quoting 2be
{quote} never catch a falling knife Momentum will eventually change Have a look at the seasonality charts. https://charts.equityclock.com/author/indexes/page/5
well momentum has changed!
It is good to remember that treasure is often found in the dragons dungeons, (Jordan Peterson - among many others - have a look - highly recommended)
One needs to confront the dragon to get the treasure.
Badly loosing traders want the treasure without confronting the dragon, then margin calls confront them.
When I am tempted with the latter proposition I instinctively know I am in dangerous territory.
Trading is not easy, often the biggest enemy of profits are the traders themselves.
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
  • #3,339
  • Edited 10:48am Jan 20, 2026 9:54am | Edited 10:48am
long at 25.180
60 Point W, manual closure.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NAS100_2026-01-20_17-47-56.png Size: 31 KB
  • #3,340
  • Jan 20, 2026 9:57am Jan 20, 2026 9:57am
Quoting JustinErwin
long at 25.180
I am done for a while, I mainly trade DOW.
Monitor VIX, USD and Bitcoin.
Make sure losses are small and profits are bigger!
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