Gold with No Drama | Page 1350 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Related Instruments

Gold/USD

Similar Threads

Make More Money - Eliminate DRAMA 11 replies

Just posting my trades, everyone is welcome but no drama 2 replies

Attachments: Gold with No Drama
Exit Attachments

Gold with No Drama

  • #26,981
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:09am Jan 13, 2026 8:09am
Quoting Tyrsson
I took a FTMO swing challenge. Here’s my analysis. we have a head and shoulders that didn’t manage to break the demand zone but represent still a little continuation of an overall uptrend so I decided to enter @4586 with a goal around 4640 (swing) {image}
Managed to take 81 euros @4620

good first trade let see tomorrow. Happy hunting guys !
Happy hunting, wolves
  • #26,982
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:13am Jan 13, 2026 8:13am
First trades of 2026, lets see how work

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 18 KB
Patience
  • #26,983
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:14am Jan 13, 2026 8:14am
Quoting bdsilvano
{quote} how could ever watch so many chart, I can do so many orders in 1 chart, but so many chart at same time. I cant do that
out of topic...sorry eu/gu similar analisis....buy one get two ...lol

Sometimes for add info...correlation etc
Mostly gold
Stay Gold
  • #26,984
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:14am Jan 13, 2026 8:14am
Quoting bdsilvano
{quote} how could ever watch so many chart, I can do so many orders in 1 chart, but so many chart at same time. I cant do that
you can buy a subscription on trading view and it allows you to play multiple charts at once
  • #26,985
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:15am Jan 13, 2026 8:15am
Quoting Goldslave
{quote} out of topic...sorry eu/gu similar analisis....buy one get two ...lol Sometimes for add info...correlation etc Mostly gold
yes I understand what you mean brother.
There is Time for Bull, and Time for Bear. and so be the Wolf.
  • #26,986
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:16am Jan 13, 2026 8:16am
Quoting SibiSh
First trades of 2026, lets see how work {image}
damn bro... you spam 4620 price.
There is Time for Bull, and Time for Bear. and so be the Wolf.
  • #26,987
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:18am Jan 13, 2026 8:18am
Quoting thebigshot
{quote} Hi, what are the drivers you anticipate to push gold downward? US CPI down BOJ free printer Trump Powell circus China continue to bid up 2 cut priced in for 2026, we can see market priced in 3 cuts. GC call skew not yet blowoff so 'large correction' less likely, and for a Year change Gold rose almost 130% with less than 8% correction. Could it be CME strike with margin rise again??? Cause the way SPX 500 react to the CPI, looks like it is a forced rise, not an easy one. Look at this $GLD chart; Weekly {image} Price near 162% Decades Wave...
GOLD

A few things could flip the switch.
It's probably not just one thing, but a combo that does it.

First off, the market's already pricing in rate cuts for next year.
If we start getting strong economic data—like a hotter-than-expected CPI or jobs report—that whole "cuts are coming" story starts to crack.
If traders have to price out a cut or two, bond yields jump, and gold loses a ton of its shine. That's the #1 fundamental killer for this rally.

The "Trump-Powell circus" you mentioned is a wildcard.
It could make everything more volatile, not just gold.
But if it makes people rush back into the U.S. dollar for safety, that's another headwind for gold.

The Plot Twist: CME Margin Hike
You mentioned this, and honestly, it's one of the sneakiest and most effective ways the game changes.
Remember last April?
The CME hiked margin requirements out of the blue, and it forced a ton of leveraged longs to either put up more cash or bail.

It's like changing the rules in the middle of the game.
If they do it again near the top, it could be the exact trigger that kicks off the sell-off.
Great spot.

China Taking a Breather
We've leaned on China's central bank buying for a long time.
But what if they slow down or stop?
They've been stacking like crazy.

If gold hits a new record and they decide to pause—even for a month—that removes a massive, steady bid from the market.
The floor suddenly feels a lot weaker.

The Sentiment Check
You're right that we haven't seen that crazy, euphoric "blow-off top" with everyone piling into calls.
That means the big drop might not happen tomorrow.
But a correction doesn't need mass hysteria to start.

Sometimes it just needs the big, smart money (like you planning your exit at 4644) to start taking profits at a clear resistance level.
Once that first wave of selling hits, it can snowball fast.


Imagine this:
Gold grinds up to 4644 target.
The headlines are cheering.
Then, we get a spicy CPI print that says "inflation's sticky," and the same week, the CME raises margins.
Bam.
Two punches at once.
That could be enough to spook the hot money, force some leveraged players to sell, and make everyone reconsider just how many rate cuts are really coming.

That's the recipe for the "major correction" you're watching for.
It's just a plan.
Ive got your level, know the risks, and looking for the cracks in the narrative.
The drop will likely start when the story shifts from "rate cuts are coming" to "maybe not so fast.


P/S
Just my opninion, not professional advice to trade gold.
I come from the future.
Karen X Mas Bonus 2025 All Time Profit: $15,104
  • #26,988
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:21am Jan 13, 2026 8:21am
Managed to pull my first payout on the master acc! Lets go lads!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: IMG_7494.jpeg Size: 124 KB
  • #26,989
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:22am Jan 13, 2026 8:22am
Quoting bdsilvano
{quote} damn bro... you spam 4620 price.
Yep full time spaming bro. Lets see if this spaming favors mein or not
Patience
  • #26,990
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:27am Jan 13, 2026 8:27am
Quoting thebigshot
{quote} Hi, what are the drivers you anticipate to push gold downward? US CPI down BOJ free printer Trump Powell circus China continue to bid up 2 cut priced in for 2026, we can see market priced in 3 cuts. GC call skew not yet blowoff so 'large correction' less likely, and for a Year change Gold rose almost 130% with less than 8% correction. Could it be CME strike with margin rise again??? Cause the way SPX 500 react to the CPI, looks like it is a forced rise, not an easy one. Look at this $GLD chart; Weekly {image} Price near 162% Decades Wave...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot 2026-01-13 at 19-56-42 china sale us treasury - Google Search.png Size: 9 KB
  • #26,991
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:27am Jan 13, 2026 8:27am
Quoting SibiSh
First trades of 2026, lets see how work {image}
huge lots mate. You must have infinite money
  • #26,992
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:28am Jan 13, 2026 8:28am
isn't GOLD making double top at 4,623$ ??
  • #26,993
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:30am Jan 13, 2026 8:30am
what do you guys think is the max for gold today?
  • #26,994
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:36am Jan 13, 2026 8:36am
Quoting firatc
{quote} huge lots mate. You must have infinite money
Nope bro its all from profit and i always try to use profit only. I am doing as per my own analysis sometimes wrong sometime right and profitable.
Patience
  • #26,995
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:41am Jan 13, 2026 8:41am
Quoting yasinfx
what do you guys think is the max for gold today?
4673 :/
  • #26,996
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:43am Jan 13, 2026 8:43am
Quoting yasinfx
what do you guys think is the max for gold today?
6000
  • #26,997
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:43am Jan 13, 2026 8:43am
waiting to sell
  • #26,998
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:44am Jan 13, 2026 8:44am
Buying whole day long, target of W1 R2 at 4638 which is same as yesterday buy of mine, beware this level, it could be a big drop, looking for some quick strong rejection at LTF of this level will be a good sell
Will is the most powerful weapon in the world.
  • #26,999
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:45am Jan 13, 2026 8:45am
Quoting thebigshot
{quote} Could be with high probab {image} Real interest rate start eating liquidity from market White line - 1y Yield Blue line- 1y inflation swaps SPX breadth start reversing {image} SPX {image} Forward curve spread priced in less cut in 2027 {image} If it continues to goes up, everything will be dragged down. Headwinds waiting for us ahead. But mot yet materialized. Watched ZT and ZF contract
03mnth sofr contract - 02Year Sofr contract.
Mar 2026 contract - March 2028 contract
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 30 KB


With spread falling down, indicating yield to follow. Yield curve are the nemesis of risk curve. With then falling, risk assets continue to bid.
Long term target, still at least 5400 to late 5600s.

Scalping setup purely price action and Support & resistance.
The dip may be triggered by profit taking, the up market structure are intact, are everything i asked the other member. Thus the price structure remains intact.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 36 KB


I still remember a red diamond member once said, market marker may manipulate candlestick, as it is cheaper and quick.
To manipulate price structure, it takes more effort and larger amount of money.

Bookmap
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 170 KB


At 4630, large green bubble (aggressive buy orders), yet price failed to break above( arger passive orders, Sell limit/ Take profit{is also a limit orders})
GC 4550 level Heatmap (internal liquidity is building), which put us to nearly 4535 for Gold spot.

P/s: Not shorting, only buy the dip. I am not Vankiewussy!
No more engagement as from today.
  • #27,000
  • Jan 13, 2026 8:47am Jan 13, 2026 8:47am
Quoting PatienceFx
{quote}{image}
That what i say, CHina continue to bid up GOLD.

Cause that the actual things they continue to buy, over the last decades, with their massive current account surplus.
No more engagement as from today.
168 traders viewing now, 10 are registered:
Jay84
,
,
Roox
,
gegarotak
,
Egzotrade
,
Muxb7
,
goldraja
,
Morufazeez
,
Dumanks
,
wasay