The US Employment Situation -- December 2025 | Forex Factory

  • The US Employment Situation -- December 2025

    From bls.gov

    Both total nonfarm payroll employment (+50,000) and the unemployment rate (4.4 percent) changed little in December, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in food services and drinking places, health care, and social assistance. Retail trade lost jobs. This news release presents statistics from two monthly surveys. The household survey measures labor force status, including unemployment, by demographic characteristics. The establishment survey measures nonfarm employment, hours, and earnings by industry. For more information about the concepts and statistical methodology ... (full story)

Added at 7:36am

  • U.S. payrolls rose 50,000 in December, less than expected; unemployment rate falls to 4.4%

    From cnbc.com

    The U.S. labor market ended 2025 on a soft note, with job creation in December less than expected, according to a report Friday from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Nonfarm payrolls rose a seasonally adjusted 50,000 for the month, lower than the downwardly revised 56,000 in November and short of the Dow Jones estimate for 73,000. At the same time, the unemployment rate fell to 4.4%, compared to the forecast for 4.5%. The report presented a muddy view of the labor market, with companies reporting a low level of hiring but households showing employment gains. In addition, revisions brought totals down for the prior ... (full story)

Comment Options
LightchaserG
Jan 9, 2026 7:46am
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Quoting Nordling
{quote} Bro is trying the same joke over and over again. It's not funny you stupid cunt...
Lets keep it clean
Reply
Nordling
Jan 9, 2026 8:07am
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Quoting Ferna
{quote} Usually there is a lot of job creation in December due to christmas/holidays. Exception being the covid pandemic. These are very low numbers considering the population.
Nope, 2020 December was worse.
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Nordling
Jan 9, 2026 12:07pm
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Quoting W0lfram
{quote} {quote} {image} added: {quote} Actually no, December is bottom 2 on monthly average after August since the 70s {image} It's low (not only for Dec), everything else - false
Nice research. Ferna won't understand it, he is not good with numbers but it's a very insightful post for others. Thanks for your contribution
Reply
W0lfram
Jan 9, 2026 10:25am — Edited
Permalink
Quoting Ferna
{quote} Usually there is a lot of job creation in December due to christmas/holidays. Exception being the covid pandemic. These are very low numbers considering the population.
Quoting Ferna
This is one of the lowest numbers for this period since the 70s.
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added:
Quote
Usually there is a lot of job creation in December due to christmas/holidays
Actually no, December is bottom 2 on monthly average after August since the 70s
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: WolframNB_67K9egTins.png Size: 5 KB

It's low (not only for Dec), everything else - false
SunTrader
Jan 9, 2026 11:09am
Permalink
Quoting Ferna
{quote} Usually there is a lot of job creation in December due to christmas/holidays. Exception being the covid pandemic. These are very low numbers considering the population.
Correct, as you said originally ................... for this period
Reply
W0lfram
Jan 9, 2026 12:14pm
Permalink
Quoting Nordling
{quote} Nice research. Ferna won't understand it, he is not good with numbers but it's a very insightful post for others. Thanks for your contribution
Thanks, man. Mutual. I like your fundamental break-downs on any topic
future911
Jan 9, 2026 8:28am
Permalink
Quoting Windstrown
Someone said buy nasdaq. Lol if you are not american buying nasdaq now is just stupid. Usd is devaluating and will only get worse as trump wants it. Whatever you make on nasdaq you'll lose converting it. It's time to kiss the american bubble bye bye
A devalued dollar is a valued stock
Reply
ww3361
Jan 9, 2026 7:39am
Permalink
Quoting LightchaserG
100% Plus the revision just dropped as well. + how can Unemployment Rate be 4.4% if numbers of jobs dropping.... FFS
Lots of reasons.

Participation rate, just one of them.

Happy studies.
Reply
Blessed-man
Jan 9, 2026 7:52am
Permalink
Quoting Ferna
This is one of the lowest numbers for this period since the 70s.
But few months ago was 22k and some months ago too was 12k.

How is this now the lowest since the 70s even if we disregard the losses in COVID era
Reply
LightchaserG
Jan 9, 2026 7:33am
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100% Plus the revision just dropped as well.
+ how can Unemployment Rate be 4.4% if numbers of jobs dropping.... FFS
Reply
LightchaserG
Jan 9, 2026 7:51am
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GOLD Long :-p
Reply
Nordling
Jan 9, 2026 7:57am
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Quoting Blessed-man
{quote} But few months ago was 22k and some months ago too was 12k. How is this now the lowest since the 70s even if we disregard the losses in COVID era
He is just trolling and thinks he made a good joke
Reply
LightchaserG
Jan 9, 2026 7:50am
Permalink
Quoting Trader#74FC
Usd will be weak for the main time
we talking about the courts decision? 100% though saying that Lutnick's sons are going to benefit major on this change. if it goes against Trump
Reply
Windstrown
Jan 9, 2026 8:26am
Permalink
Someone said buy nasdaq. Lol if you are not american buying nasdaq now is just stupid. Usd is devaluating and will only get worse as trump wants it. Whatever you make on nasdaq you'll lose converting it. It's time to kiss the american bubble bye bye
Reply
Momofrmnyc
Jan 9, 2026 7:38am
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Markets trying to figure out what it wants to do honestly.
Trader#4754
Jan 9, 2026 7:43am
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Quoting Momofrmnyc
Markets trying to figure out what it wants to do honestly.
No they aren't, institutions are doing their liquidity sweeps. You people never noticed how they sweep EXACTLY when the data is released? The moves are already priced in regardless of what the numbers are.
Reply
Nordling
Jan 9, 2026 7:43am
Permalink
Quoting Ferna
This is one of the lowest numbers for this period since the 70s.
Bro is trying the same joke over and over again. It's not funny you stupid cunt...
Reply
LightchaserG
Jan 9, 2026 7:37am
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I have stayed out on this news alert . - couldnt help but think they will zigzag this B with an Itch for at least 15 min. hehe
Reply
LightchaserG
Jan 9, 2026 7:38am
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BLS if full of BS
Reply
objective
Jan 9, 2026 8:04am
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Fake data. Soon unemployment numbers will be 0%
Reply
Momofrmnyc
Jan 9, 2026 7:46am
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I think the tariff thing might have big implications for the markets as well. Which should be released around 10 or so.
frioslegend
Jan 9, 2026 7:32am
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WOW.
Reply
Trader#71A3
Jan 9, 2026 7:39am
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markets will go full long
Reply
Lafrance
Jan 9, 2026 1:40pm
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The NFP data did not affect the US 10-year yield, and there was no new data on the US 2-year yield beyond the usual routine. The FedWatch Tool had already anticipated this, maintaining interest rates between 3.50% and 3.75%. All the data is already priced into the market, so there were no surprises. The Fed is uncertain and lacks direction. We'll see what happens next.
Reply
_shurik_
Jan 9, 2026 8:08am
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EURUSD will go UP or DOWN
Reply
_shurik_
Jan 9, 2026 8:25am
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Will the price of the EURUSD currency pair rise or fall?
Reply
Abbatyy
Jan 9, 2026 7:35am
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The Policymakers Watch
Reply
kishan96957
Jan 9, 2026 7:41am
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Hi
Reply
Traderpoltu
Jan 9, 2026 7:44am
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what happen guyzzzz'
Reply
Ferdas
Jan 9, 2026 7:50am
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NASDAQ #BUY
Reply
Trader#4754
Jan 9, 2026 7:55am
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Anybody making trades today is foolish. Your stops wont protect you during major institutional order moves, especially if the tariff ruling is announced today. You can get liquidated even with a stop.
Reply
raffay.
Jan 9, 2026 8:01am
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buy nasdaq hold it for 1.5 hrs
Reply
Trader#D6C6
Jan 9, 2026 7:33am
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Daanm
Reply
Trader#EFC5
Jan 9, 2026 7:39am
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bom
Reply
Trader#2F3C
Jan 9, 2026 7:41am
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Lol
Reply
Trader#B614
Jan 9, 2026 7:42am
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Something that is just not tally ……… fake data lolzzzz
Reply
Trader#0E2E
Jan 9, 2026 7:43am
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I have seen it coming
Reply
Trader#74FC
Jan 9, 2026 7:47am
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Usd will be weak for the main time
Reply
Trader#9F0B
Jan 9, 2026 7:54am
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There is obviously a contradiction in the news
Reply
Trader#EE69
Jan 9, 2026 7:55am
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Just reading the comments
Reply
Trader#CD22
Jan 9, 2026 7:58am
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i love this market
Reply
Trader#7772
Jan 9, 2026 8:00am
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XAUUSD
Reply
Trader#64D8
Jan 9, 2026 8:06am
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Employment continued to trend up in food services and drinking places, health care, and social assistance.
Reply
Trader#84BE
Jan 9, 2026 8:29am
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Sell Gold
Reply
Trader#45E1
Jan 9, 2026 9:57am
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Quoting LightchaserG
GOLD Long :-p
how did you know?
Reply
Trader#30AB
Jan 9, 2026 11:50am
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https://www.reuters.com/world/us/tru...ly-2026-01-09/
Reply
Trader#0598
Jan 10, 2026 9:01am
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In two more weeks things will start to get worse!

Amirite TDS guys?

Two more weeks?
Reply
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