The Swamp | Page 6308 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #126,141
  • Jan 5, 2026 11:04am Jan 5, 2026 11:04am
Sustained below the blue box is bearish to me. I cant say a wick will not get passed. If its not closing above, I think ts bearish. This could be a large fall if this holds.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 7 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,142
  • Jan 5, 2026 1:03pm Jan 5, 2026 1:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
Sustained below the blue box is bearish to me. I cant say a wick will not get passed. If its not closing above, I think ts bearish. This could be a large fall if this holds. {image}
yea will need that area to hold to form a lower low to make it work. That long wick from the bottom on daily is a bit concerning though
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,143
  • Jan 5, 2026 8:05pm Jan 5, 2026 8:05pm
a daytime break out can be if sustained above 1726,,, it can also reject it here.. pa is at 1726 now
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,144
  • Jan 5, 2026 8:06pm Jan 5, 2026 8:06pm
Quoting johncen
{quote} yea will need that area to hold to form a lower low to make it work. That long wick from the bottom on daily is a bit concerning though
these numbers should be larger than a day or week.. I wonder if we went to Venezuela over protecting the USD. After Venezuela signed that deal with China. Or at least that's part of it..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,145
  • Jan 5, 2026 8:10pm Jan 5, 2026 8:10pm
testing 1725.8
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 8 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,146
  • Jan 5, 2026 8:43pm Jan 5, 2026 8:43pm
Quoting gatorinla
testing 1725.8 {image}
bull keep pushing!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,147
  • Jan 6, 2026 6:30am Jan 6, 2026 6:30am
Quoting gatorinla
Sustained below the blue box is bearish to me. I cant say a wick will not get passed. If its not closing above, I think ts bearish. This could be a large fall if this holds. {image}
Back under the blue box.. back under 1725.x (day b/o level). Lets see if 1712.5 becomes R today. The low here atm is near LC 1703.9. The lower magenta line at 1773..To really fall it would need to break those 6h supports posted yesterday. Above the blue box sustained, changes the bearish view.
Under 1743.x to me is bearish for a possible large fall, maybe trend too. I don't think the headlines support a stronger usd. But it could fall 400 pips like the other legs last year. By that time the headlines may favor a fall or not.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 10 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,148
  • Jan 6, 2026 6:37am Jan 6, 2026 6:37am
Quoting johncen
{quote} bull keep pushing!
She slipped some back under 1726. She came within 1 pip of 1743.
Quoting gatorinla
{image} If it comes back..
As long as 1743 is holding. It has a potential topping.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 47 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 12 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,149
  • Jan 6, 2026 10:33am Jan 6, 2026 10:33am
ADR is about 51 pips. ATM pa has moved 59 pips lower from the high. The 4h is a little higher than yesterday at 1681.5.. the 6h still at 1670 and now 1664.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,150
  • Jan 6, 2026 6:21pm Jan 6, 2026 6:21pm
Quoting gatorinla
ADR is about 51 pips. ATM pa has moved 59 pips lower from the high. The 4h is a little higher than yesterday at 1681.5.. the 6h still at 1670 and now 1664.
Today sustained below 1684 is a day b/o, but it would still need to take the 6h close below 1664.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,151
  • Jan 6, 2026 6:39pm Jan 6, 2026 6:39pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Today sustained below 1684 is a day b/o, but it would still need to take the 6h close below 1664.
That makes 1684 supportive..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,152
  • Jan 6, 2026 8:23pm Jan 6, 2026 8:23pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Back under the blue box.. back under 1725.x (day b/o level). Lets see if 1712.5 becomes R today. The low here atm is near LC 1703.9. The lower magenta line at 1773..To really fall it would need to break those 6h supports posted yesterday. Above the blue box sustained, changes the bearish view. Under 1743.x to me is bearish for a possible large fall, maybe trend too. I don't think the headlines support a stronger usd. But it could fall 400 pips like the other legs last year. By that time the headlines may favor a fall or not. {image}
in less than 2hs the 6h will close, not counting on news. a close below 1712x often determines the 12h close side of 1712. the 12h more often points to where the day eventually goes.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,153
  • Jan 7, 2026 1:37am Jan 7, 2026 1:37am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} That makes 1684 supportive..
we are again testing this support level
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #126,154
  • Jan 7, 2026 4:51am Jan 7, 2026 4:51am
News in 2.5 hours. The 12h pointed to a try of a lower break of the 4h and the 6h today. Bad employment news could cancel that. Good adp may help it break out. The 12h suggest selling the bounce on signals to short.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 9 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,155
  • Edited 5:20am Jan 7, 2026 5:09am | Edited 5:20am
The 12h pointed down. Under 1743 points down on the larger chart. A good unemployment number would still require breaking those the 4h and 6h supports. The 12h has a support at 1617. It needs a 12h close below it to break 1617. The day support is not until 1510, The day support last time was 1470. It held 1470 last try. I cant say it will be a good number, but if it is. These may be in play. The next 6h close is LC. If below 1660 Its likely bearish to 1617. A day close below 1617 opens more. 1617 is less than 100 pips. ADR has shrunken to 51 pips. That year close below 1743 can deliver a close below 1617 and deeper. As long as below 1743
PA like those 100 pips from large points. 1643 may show something.. What/If i don't know, 100 pips often does.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,156
  • Jan 7, 2026 5:30am Jan 7, 2026 5:30am
Quoting gatorinla
The 12h pointed down. Under 1743 points down on the larger chart. A good unemployment number would still require breaking those the 4h and 6h supports. The 12h has a support at 1617. It needs a 12h close below it to break 1617. The day support is not until 1510, The day support last time was 1470. It held 1470 last try. I cant say it will be a good number, but if it is. These may be in play. The next 6h close is LC. If below 1660 Its likely bearish to 1617. A day close below 1617 opens more. 1617 is less than 100 pips. ADR has shrunken to 51 pips....
If the outlook employment is a bad one. PA would look to raise pa. The masses would look for a rise. If it only does it briefly, and after breaks support. It may be because its repealing from 1743.

Bad employment news today or Friday. If followed by a wick forcing it below 1743 may be a sign its going to fall. If above 1743 closing it may be a rise sign. Back below closing later, a fall sign.
It may sit in the 1743 shadow a long time before moving.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,157
  • Jan 7, 2026 6:05am Jan 7, 2026 6:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/...l-hnk-01-03-26 "Wag the Dog" as the files continue to be released. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JPNmShwBL_M https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/...l-hnk-01-03-26 {image}
Watch when the oil comes to the USA fucking the oil producing states. 50$ and less oil may be coming. This may be a repeat of the 1980s oil producing states depression.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,158
  • Jan 7, 2026 7:11am Jan 7, 2026 7:11am
5 min till ADP
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #126,159
  • Jan 7, 2026 7:38am Jan 7, 2026 7:38am
Bought at 1.1680
  • #126,160
  • Jan 7, 2026 9:33am Jan 7, 2026 9:33am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Watch when the oil comes to the USA fucking the oil producing states. 50$ and less oil may be coming. This may be a repeat of the 1980s oil producing states depression.
no real affect. The 4h 6h held support. The bearish adp did not cause much bounce.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 15 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
135 traders viewing now